Carl Spackler wrote:
I can't imagine Roglic not going unless he's in such bad shape that the Giro makes more sense.
Now about these false positive COVID tests...
The false positive tests are a farse really. Positives WILL come up during the 3 week period, more than once I'd say. How many teams will be left in week 3? Will we see a team with the GC leader at that point get kicked off of the Tour? What if that rider is French, cover it up quickly?
Carl Spackler wrote:
**My official talking out the arse TdF Guide**
In no particular order, top 5 long list, some of whom will be out of it on stage 2:
Bernal: Can he find the last bit? How will he react to getting pushed around by Roglic at Dauphine, and pressure of undisputed team leader?
Roglic: are injuries minor or obfuscation? If yes, he's gonna be tough to beat.
Pinot: If Hamlet was a French pro cyclist. Love the panache but just doesn't seem to have the steely resolve to close the deal.
TD: could be a legit contender if he minimizes the damage on stage 2.
Carapaz: I chalked up his Giro win as a loss by Nibali. But after stealing a stage at ToP he's a little more cagey than I gave him credit for. If he grabs yellow on stage 2, then what?
Nairoman: I want to believe. Really, I do. Especially after he lit it up earlier this year. Here's to hoping he gets back on that form.
Pogacar: total wildcard on my board. Podium seems like a stretch without some luck but race for 5th should be an entirely different affair.
Uran, Martinez, Higuita: pick one.
Landa: If Inspector Clouseau was a Basque pro cyclist. So much talent, so many oddball ways to lose races.
Buchmann: he flew under the radar but came up big last year and showed his class. Hope his injuries aren't too severe.
Alaphilippe: no GC but has stage 2 circled for a stint in yellow, giving the French public hope before Pinot dashes them in week 3.
You forgot Guillaume Martin who is my top 10 "dark horse", if you can really call him an outsider. I think he'll be able to do well. That said, my money is on Tom Dumoulin for the overall. But I can see a lot of these guys lit it up and make it very interesting. Especially with mountain stages already in the first couple of days.
grumpier.mike wrote:
I didn't get a good look at the front wheel on Dowsett's bike, but it almost looked like it had an aero hub of some sort. Adding the disc to a trispoke wheel is something like of new and might be better than a spoked wheel if it allows you to get away from the chunky hub.
I also liked that Wolf kid's Scott Plasma with the regular side pull front caliper. That bike looked straight out of the High Road equipment truck from 2012 or thereabouts.
As jellybelly mentioned it's the Revolver trispoke. Company makes decent products, I have their mono arm rest on my Speed Concept. Quite wel known in the British TT scene together with D2Z and Aerocoach and the likes.
Agreed, I like the older Plasma 3 too. I immediately started thinking about a few guys on here who still have them and are very competitive on them. He would've had the 4th time overall in the elite mens too I believe.
trail wrote:
What about the Green Jersey? Sagan will be a factor of course. Will WvA be allowed to contend on flattish stages, or be commanded to autobus it in? Nizzolo? Colbrelli?
If not Sagan, I'd say Nizzolo might have a shot. Really wondering which Sagan we will see though, he missed sharpness and that edge the last races but doing the Tour/Giro double, he can't be coming in with very high form either I guess if he wants to do reasonably well in both?