McNulty wrote:
...Tejay...rode Utah knowing he might hang given the tour in his legs and
there are people (promoters) who like that he's in races...
This is something that gets neglected a lot by pro cycling fans. While Sagan, Froome, and anyone finishing in the top five of a French, post-TdF criterium get the big paydays, appearance fees are a not insignificant part of the cost of putting on a world class bike race and can be a similarly substantial portion of the yearly income for any rider with solid name recognition. Probably number three on the list behind brand sponsorship and team salary, though the order and amount of all three varies quite a bit rider to rider, year to year. Sometimes it's more in-kind, as in a race will bias the invitation for or chip in more for a particular team if that team will bring certain riders. It is a business, after all.
From a fan's perspective, if they make it through the race, I can't see Porte and Nibali not making the podium. There are a bucket of strong maybes/top ten possibilities including Pinot, either Yates, Quintana, Uran, Meintjes, Bennett, Kruijswijk, Mollema, Aru, Martin, Buchmann, Majka, Formolo... Sky comes in with an strong, interesting group with Kwiatkowski, Geoghegan Hart, Castroviejo, and Henao all capable of a top ten, maybe a podium, if they peak right. I may eat my words, but I don't see any of them winning. Woods is the freshest of the EF team, so might actually be their highest performer. Valverde by all rights should squeak into the top ten, but not a likely contender in my book. BMC will have an interesting dynamic, too: with Porte moving on to Trek, are the domestiques given more free rein? All of them are potential stage winners.
Kuss rocked it to get into the race and will be interesting to watch from a Young Rider perspective, but he will have a huge target on his back. If he keeps racing like he has been, I would love to see a decade-long head-to-head between him and Skujins!
And the biggest gamble in the race: does Bouhanni win a stage?