I see folks post that HIM's are being cancelled since they could not get enough to sign up.
I see how long it is taking Vineman to fill.
I see that wildflower long did not fill, they just closed it real late saying full, I was tracking the numbers.
Napa is getting more folks, but has never filled.
I do not hear from the masses of new folks I talk to at the races I help at that they have to do a long distance race. The shorter fill the life style better.
Looking at myself and talking to other folks my age. We have done the long stuff. Nothing left to prove. Just takes too much out of the body. We enjoy
the lifestyle of racing, meeting our friends, and doing 2 or 3 per month. I am not doing any long distance races this entire season, but still doing like 15 shorter races.
450 is a drop in the bucket compared to the cost for bike stuff, wet suits, etc. Seems like our sport is mostly upper middle class folks from all I have read, so
money on fees is not an issue, or the IM races would not fill in hours 12 months ahead of time.
So, we shall see who is right. But, from all the hype so far, and now all the excuses, someone is getting their lunch eatten. Glad it is not my money since
I just do not see a business model going forward for long stuff. Us baby boomers in quantity want to do the lifestyle, and I am seeing my friends my age
going back to shorter stuff.
I have been wrong before so we shall see. So, give me what the fill rates have to be in quantity and time they open to register for next year to say you
have a model that will make profit. We can then track this starting I guess right now for the 101 race that just happened right? The IM races fill within minutes
after they open from the race.
Dave
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