Login required to started new threads

Login required to post replies

Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations
Quote | Reply
I’m wondering if the herd immunity proponents have changed their minds about the strategy of rushing to herd immunity given the numerous mutations that we’re seeing around globe.

If every new infection increases the risk of mutations, then how will we ever stop the pandemic? It has the potential to keep mutating ahead of immunity. We’ll be chasing herd immunity forever unless we stop infections.

So, what’s our strategy?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Strategy?

You're saying there was a strategy...?

Advanced Aero TopTube Storage for Road, Gravel, & Tri...ZeroSlip & Direct-mount, made in the USA.
DarkSpeedWorks.com.....Reviews.....Insta.....Facebook

--
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Whenever I mentioned the possibility reinfection or mutation in regards to herd immunity I was always met with silence. I put herd immunity in the same class as anti-vaxxers. People who know very little about infectious disease opening their fat mouth.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [FishyJoe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
FishyJoe wrote:
Whenever I mentioned the possibility reinfection or mutation in regards to herd immunity I was always met with silence. I put herd immunity in the same class as anti-vaxxers. People who know very little about infectious disease opening their fat mouth.

The big problem, l think, is not the people who don't know anything about infectious disease. The big problem is that a huge number of Americans are being subjected to enormous amounts of intentional right wing wack job repub fox news disinformation.

Advanced Aero TopTube Storage for Road, Gravel, & Tri...ZeroSlip & Direct-mount, made in the USA.
DarkSpeedWorks.com.....Reviews.....Insta.....Facebook

--
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [DarkSpeedWorks] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
DarkSpeedWorks wrote:
FishyJoe wrote:
Whenever I mentioned the possibility reinfection or mutation in regards to herd immunity I was always met with silence. I put herd immunity in the same class as anti-vaxxers. People who know very little about infectious disease opening their fat mouth.


The big problem, l think, is not the people who don't know anything about infectious disease. The big problem is that a huge number of Americans are being subjected to enormous amounts of intentional right wing wack job repub fox news disinformation.

And Facebook.

Facebook has weaponized stupidity
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [torrey] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.

I used the term “herd immunity” incorrectly. I wanted to describe the laissez-faire, non-preventative attitude that promotes opening all businesses, throwing away masks because they aren’t 100% effective, allowing gatherings and travel and super-spreader events, and letting Covid run rampant. It’s the let-nature-run-it’s-course crowd.

I’m not talking about the herd immunity that is achieved through reducing infections through masks, distancing, restrictions on activities + vaccines.

Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [FishyJoe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
FishyJoe wrote:
Whenever I mentioned the possibility reinfection or mutation in regards to herd immunity I was always met with silence. I put herd immunity in the same class as anti-vaxxers. People who know very little about infectious disease opening their fat mouth.

I’m not sure those people hear or think about mutations. Their attention is caught up elsewhere.

Will the information about mutations enter the thinking and mean anything to the people who currently want to let Covid freely move through society?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [torrey] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.

I'll come right out and say that I know nothing about infectious disease. Now with that out of the way....

The current vaccinations only minimize symptoms and severity of Covid, so I'm told. I have also read that you can still spread it and must maintain social distancing and mask usage.

If that's true, can a true herd immunity ever be reached?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [svennn] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
svennn wrote:
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.


I'll come right out and say that I know nothing about infectious disease. Now with that out of the way....

The current vaccinations only minimize symptoms and severity of Covid, so I'm told. I have also read that you can still spread it and must maintain social distancing and mask usage.

If that's true, can a true herd immunity ever be reached?

It hasn't been proven that you can't spread it after getting the vaccine. That's different from saying you can still spread it. It stands to reason if your body is fighting and killing the virus rather than exponentially replicating it, you will be less infectious. We just don't know at this point so experts aren't going to declare that you can't spread it.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Thom] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Thom wrote:

It hasn't been proven that you can't spread it after getting the vaccine. That's different from saying you can still spread it. It stands to reason if your body is fighting and killing the virus rather than exponentially replicating it, you will be less infectious. We just don't know at this point so experts aren't going to declare that you can't spread it.

Got it.

Better safe than sorry......
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Quote:
Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?

Idiotitis?

clm
Nashville, TN
https://twitter.com/ironclm | http://ironclm.typepad.com
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.


I used the term “herd immunity” incorrectly. I wanted to describe the laissez-faire, non-preventative attitude that promotes opening all businesses, throwing away masks because they aren’t 100% effective, allowing gatherings and travel and super-spreader events, and letting Covid run rampant. It’s the let-nature-run-it’s-course crowd.

I’m not talking about the herd immunity that is achieved through reducing infections through masks, distancing, restrictions on activities + vaccines.

Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?


You are being all or nothing on your assumptions. I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March. Myself and no one in family has had COVID. I am also in favor of wearing masks 100% of the time in public if you can't stay more than 6 feet from someone, washing hands and being aware of your surroundings.

You can get on with life and take reasonable precautions. If your solution, or anyone's solution, is total lockdown, then no thanks. Add to the fact that has shown not to be the total solution some think. Compare Florida and California.

I agree with President Biden and think no matter what we do, its going to get worse before it gets better and there is little we can do to change the trajectory. (Kay had some good ideas but it seems Biden is not following those either) If we started testing like crazy and isolating positives perhaps, but Biden did not seem very encouraging on the course it will take.

Take reasonable safety measures (masks and social distancing) get the vaccine if you want to, but live your life.

I have seen some writing this disease is not going anywhere ever no matter how many we get vaccinated. We can't keep social isolation and business closed up forever. I feel for the people who have lost an entire year sitting in their homes, ordering take out, staying away from society.

If the disease is indeed mutating, all the more reason we can't keep this up forever. We can't have doctors playing whack a mole with vaccines while the entire world sits in their homes for years and everyone is on government assistance.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
The concept of herd immunity is irrelevant, in case of rapidly mutating virus. And yes, you are absolutely right, we will be forever chasing herd immunity, if the virus keeps producing new strains as it spreads further. I personally believe that the vaccination drive is the only viable solution in a realistic perspective. I have read that the new vaccines are effective against both the old and new variants of the virus (particularly the UK variant).

Education is what Liberates the Mind - https://eduhelphub.com/
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [svennn] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
svennn wrote:
Thom wrote:


It hasn't been proven that you can't spread it after getting the vaccine. That's different from saying you can still spread it. It stands to reason if your body is fighting and killing the virus rather than exponentially replicating it, you will be less infectious. We just don't know at this point so experts aren't going to declare that you can't spread it.


Got it.

Better safe than sorry......
Just to add to what Thom said, they haven't proved a reduction in transmission, but there is no reason to expect it won't act like other viral vaccines. The majority of articles I have read say they expect at a minimum a reduction in transmission and likely almost a full elimination. But since it isn't proven, those that are vaccinated are asked to still take precautions.

We should know in the next few months.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.


I used the term “herd immunity” incorrectly. I wanted to describe the laissez-faire, non-preventative attitude that promotes opening all businesses, throwing away masks because they aren’t 100% effective, allowing gatherings and travel and super-spreader events, and letting Covid run rampant. It’s the let-nature-run-it’s-course crowd.

I’m not talking about the herd immunity that is achieved through reducing infections through masks, distancing, restrictions on activities + vaccines.

Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?



You are being all or nothing on your assumptions. I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March. Myself and no one in family has had COVID. I am also in favor of wearing masks 100% of the time in public if you can't stay more than 6 feet from someone, washing hands and being aware of your surroundings.

You can get on with life and take reasonable precautions. If your solution, or anyone's solution, is total lockdown, then no thanks. Add to the fact that has shown not to be the total solution some think. Compare Florida and California.

I agree with President Biden and think no matter what we do, its going to get worse before it gets better and there is little we can do to change the trajectory. (Kay had some good ideas but it seems Biden is not following those either) If we started testing like crazy and isolating positives perhaps, but Biden did not seem very encouraging on the course it will take.

Take reasonable safety measures (masks and social distancing) get the vaccine if you want to, but live your life.

I have seen some writing this disease is not going anywhere ever no matter how many we get vaccinated. We can't keep social isolation and business closed up forever. I feel for the people who have lost an entire year sitting in their homes, ordering take out, staying away from society.

If the disease is indeed mutating, all the more reason we can't keep this up forever. We can't have doctors playing whack a mole with vaccines while the entire world sits in their homes for years and everyone is on government assistance.

If I remember right, you've used the cherry picked example of FL vs. CA before. Let's look at a different example. Chart is for Michigan. Can you point to the date where Michigan implemented new restrictions? Hint, it was late November. Not a total lockdown, nobody is doing that, just closing in person dining, gyms and some schools. Just because it hasn't affected you personally, doesn't mean the lives being lost aren't real people with real families.

I've said it 100 times on this forum, it's not the government that is causing lockdown, economy problems and isolation, it's the virus. Restaurants reopen here Monday, I still won't be going out to eat.


Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
  
Let’s not assume that government rules are a perfect indicator of Covid mitigation efforts. Rules are not enforced in some places. So, let’s not muddy the water talking about rules. Let’s just talk about information and behavior.

Remember that Covid won’t mutate if there aren’t infections. So, mutation is not inevitable. Mutations occur after we fail to stop infections. If everyone stays in their homes for a year, we won’t have mutations and doctors won’t be playing whack-a-mole. That’s an unrealistic, extreme argument.

I’ll try not to be all-or-nothing. Some people are currently living in those extreme positions. Some are following all safety precautions. Some are following none. We can’t ignore the impact of those people—for good or for bad.

I suppose quite a lot of people are like you— picking and choosing which mitigation efforts you like. We could call your group the Cafeteria Covid Mitigators. How is your approach helpful to us, and how is it harmful?

You say, “Myself and no one in family has had COVID.” A more accurate statement is that no one in your family has tested positive for Covid. According to webMD, over half (59%) of Covid cases are spread by asymptomatic Covid carriers.

Knowing that the spread of Covid between asymptomatic people creates risk of mutations that prolongs our Covid experience, are you more concerned about attending large gatherings? Does asymptomatic spread of Covid and risk of mutations change your ideas about the effort you’re willing to make to stop the spread of Covid?
Last edited by: CallMeMaybe: Jan 29, 21 8:08
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:


I used the term “herd immunity” incorrectly. I wanted to describe the laissez-faire, non-preventative attitude that promotes opening all businesses, throwing away masks because they aren’t 100% effective, allowing gatherings and travel and super-spreader events, and letting Covid run rampant. It’s the let-nature-run-it’s-course crowd.

I’m not talking about the herd immunity that is achieved through reducing infections through masks, distancing, restrictions on activities + vaccines.

Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?


You are being all or nothing on your assumptions. I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March. Myself and no one in family has had COVID. I am also in favor of wearing masks 100% of the time in public if you can't stay more than 6 feet from someone, washing hands and being aware of your surroundings.

You can get on with life and take reasonable precautions. If your solution, or anyone's solution, is total lockdown, then no thanks. Add to the fact that has shown not to be the total solution some think. Compare Florida and California.

I agree with President Biden and think no matter what we do, its going to get worse before it gets better and there is little we can do to change the trajectory. (Kay had some good ideas but it seems Biden is not following those either) If we started testing like crazy and isolating positives perhaps, but Biden did not seem very encouraging on the course it will take.

Take reasonable safety measures (masks and social distancing) get the vaccine if you want to, but live your life.

I have seen some writing this disease is not going anywhere ever no matter how many we get vaccinated. We can't keep social isolation and business closed up forever. I feel for the people who have lost an entire year sitting in their homes, ordering take out, staying away from society.

If the disease is indeed mutating, all the more reason we can't keep this up forever. We can't have doctors playing whack a mole with vaccines while the entire world sits in their homes for years and everyone is on government assistance.


Let’s not assume that government rules are a perfect indicator of Covid mitigation efforts. Rules are not enforced in some places. So, let’s not muddy the water talking about rules. Let’s just take about information and behavior.

Remember that Covid won’t mutate if there aren’t infections. So, mutation is not inevitable. Mutations occur after we fail to stop infections. If everyone stays in their homes for a year, we won’t have mutations and doctors won’t be playing whack-a-mole. That’s an unrealistic, extreme argument.

I’ll try not to be all-or-nothing. Some people are currently living in those extreme positions. Some are following all safety precautions. Some are following none. We can’t ignore the impact of those people—for good or for bad.

I suppose quite a lot of people are like you— picking and choosing which mitigation efforts you like. We could call your group the Cafeteria Covid Mitigators. How is your approach helpful to us, and how is it harmful?

You say, “Myself and no one in family has had COVID.” A more accurate statement is that no one in your family has tested positive for Covid. According to webMD, over half (59%) of Covid cases are spread by asymptomatic Covid carriers.

Knowing that the spread of Covid between asymptomatic people creates risk of mutations that prolongs our Covid experience, are you more concerned about attending large gatherings? Does asymptomatic spread of Covid and risk of mutations change your ideas about the effort you’re willing to make to stop the spread of Covid?



If the way to stop it is closing schools, closing businesses, self isolation then no that information doesn't change my mind. Those things are off the table. If stopping and mitigating it means wearing masks, staying six feet away, washing hands etc, then sure ,I have been doing those things since this started.

Put it thusly, if the only way to get rid of COVID is total isolation and lockdown, that is measure far too great in response to the pandemic for me.

The pandemic's overlooked toll: a surge in childhood obesity (thecounter.org)

Just one of the many reasons total lockdown is off the table and does more harm than good.


if you want to ramp up testing to astronomical levers where everyone that moves about it tested twice a week, i am on board ( govt paid for), if you want to have everyone fill out a questionnaire before going into a business, I am on board. If you want to have COVID sniffing dogs at the front of every store or business I am on board ( provided the govmt pays for it).
There seem to be a number of measures we could put in place we still are not using. I am on board with Kay's testing and contract tracing method Kay has spelled out over and over but no one in govt ( even the great Fauci) seems to be pushing for that.

We have not exhausted all measures available at this point to even be talking about lockdowns and isolation as the ONLY way to get this under control.
Last edited by: SDG: Jan 29, 21 8:20
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Just to be clear, total lockdown means individuals stay home except to obtain food and other essentials, access medical care, or do work essential to the functioning of society. Intercity travel within affected areas would cease. Governments would provide economic and social aid to citizens who need it. It would take 5 weeks for this to stop Covid.

Also ETA (sorry, I do this constantly), you do realize that my family’s efforts (or people like me near you) are essential subsidizing your ability to gather with your family? Without the portion of the population like me who are complying with recommendations, your hospitals would be in worse shape.

Does any of this information change your mind?
Last edited by: CallMeMaybe: Jan 29, 21 8:27
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
Just to be clear, total lockdown means individuals stay home except to obtain food and other essentials, access medical care, or do work essential to the functioning of society. Intercity travel within affected areas would cease. Governments would provide economic and social aid to citizens who need it. It would take 5 weeks for this to stop Covid.

Also ETA (sorry, I do this constantly), you do realize that my family’s efforts (or people like me near you) are essential subsidizing your ability to gather with your family? Without the portion of the population like me who are complying with recommendations, your hospitals would be in worse shape.

Does any of this information change your mind?

Yeah but if you want to make restrictions sound really scary, you call them total lockdown.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
Just to be clear, total lockdown means individuals stay home except to obtain food and other essentials, access medical care, or do work essential to the functioning of society. Intercity travel within affected areas would cease. Governments would provide economic and social aid to citizens who need it. It would take 5 weeks for this to stop Covid.



this is perhaps the silliest things I have ever read on this site. If 5 weeks is all, then hell, lets jump in. Oh wait, I think we did all those things to "Blunt the curve" as we were told back in March and it did not "stop the spread" 5 weeks turned into months on end.

to be clear what you are suggesting as lockdown was done in my city, and with me and my family when this started. Grocery store trips for food, essential work only, work from home and doctor visits. Where were you in March 2020?

That is completely fanciful and wishful thinking.

If what you suggest would really stop it completely in five weeks, I will sign on. Send your suggestion to Biden and lets see if he and Fauci believe that will get it done.
Last edited by: SDG: Jan 29, 21 8:30
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
torrey wrote:
Herd Immunity is everyone's strategy. Herd immunity is the concept of getting enough vaccines into people who can take vaccines to stop the spread of protect those who can't take vaccines (like people who are immuno compromised). There was a radical strategy early on about creating a similar condition by just getting everyone sick, but that isn't the strategy that we are following now.


I used the term “herd immunity” incorrectly. I wanted to describe the laissez-faire, non-preventative attitude that promotes opening all businesses, throwing away masks because they aren’t 100% effective, allowing gatherings and travel and super-spreader events, and letting Covid run rampant. It’s the let-nature-run-it’s-course crowd.

I’m not talking about the herd immunity that is achieved through reducing infections through masks, distancing, restrictions on activities + vaccines.

Maybe we need a new name for the laissez-faire approach?

Let's call it the "rruff approach." Where is that guy anyway? Back in about September he said there was no chance we would get to 2k deaths per day by year end, as the models were predicting. He almost laughed off the idea of 400k deaths by the 20 January inauguration. Oops.

And about that time he pointed to the chart of Sweden's daily deaths, saying, "See, Sweden's lack of lockdown in the spring worked!" (even though Swedes did take many social distancing precautions). Sadly, though, daily deaths in Sweden began spiking in the fall, and only began coming back down after they imposed a mobility restrictions in November and a lockdown in January. (Oh look - lockdowns work!)


Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
Will the information about mutations enter the thinking and mean anything to the people who currently want to let Covid freely move through society?

This isn't my position, just bringing up the point.

My understanding is that the general trend of a rapidly mutating virus that's allowed to freely spread is that it will trend towards lower lethality. Just because less-lethal strains have more opportunity to spread themselves more efficiently. So COVID would trend towards becoming something like the common cold.

I don't know how long that would take, but I'm guessing unacceptably long given the alternative paths we could take. And it's also true that though lower lethality would be the trend, it doesn't mean there couldn't be more-lethal strains that pop up along the way.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
Just to be clear, total lockdown means individuals stay home except to obtain food and other essentials, access medical care, or do work essential to the functioning of society. Intercity travel within affected areas would cease. Governments would provide economic and social aid to citizens who need it. It would take 5 weeks for this to stop Covid.



this is perhaps the silliest things I have ever read on this site. If 5 weeks is all, then hell, lets jump in. Oh wait, I think we did all those things to "Blunt the curve" as we were told back in March and it did not "stop the spread" 5 weeks turned into months on end.

to be clear what you are suggesting as lockdown was done in my city, and with me and my family when this started. Grocery store trips for food, essential work only, work from home and doctor visits. Where were you in March 2020?

That is completely fanciful and wishful thinking.

If what you suggest would really stop it completely in five weeks, I will sign on. Send your suggestion to Biden and lets see if he and Fauci believe that will get it done.

I have a friend in Lisbon, Portugal. She can go for a short walk outside her home, but has to carry ID with proof of address to show she is not too far from home. Many countries have imposed close to the kinds of restrictions described above. Obviously selfish Americans would never stand for that though. You know, coz "Freedom!"
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
Where is that guy anyway?

I think he's hanging with JSA somewhere.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
Oh wait, I think we did all those things to "Blunt the curve" as we were told back in March and it did not "stop the spread" 5 weeks turned into months on end.

We didn't do those things, though. We did lock-down light. I'm not advocating that we do the Real Thing, at this point. I think we're far too gone for it to work anymore. It works best, is my understanding, early on.

Just bringing up, that, no, we in the U.S. never attempted anything close to a true hardcore lockdown.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [trail] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
trail wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:

Will the information about mutations enter the thinking and mean anything to the people who currently want to let Covid freely move through society?


This isn't my position, just bringing up the point.

My understanding is that the general trend of a rapidly mutating virus that's allowed to freely spread is that it will trend towards lower lethality. Just because less-lethal strains have more opportunity to spread themselves more efficiently. So COVID would trend towards becoming something like the common cold.

I don't know how long that would take, but I'm guessing unacceptably long given the alternative paths we could take. And it's also true that though lower lethality would be the trend, it doesn't mean there couldn't be more-lethal strains that pop up along the way.

Yes, I believe we will start with getting everyone vaccinated with the initial vaccinations, and then after that there will be new vaccines developed that target specifically other variants. The elderly and more vulnerable will be vaccinated with these too, and then the rest of us over time. The R0 of the virus will fall notably once most of us are vaccinated with the initial vaccine, but we may still need to be vaccinated each year for other variants, a bit like flu vaccinations. But it's important to minimize the prevalence of the new variants as much as possible while the initial vaccination process is undertaken. Sadly, we may be a little late on that.

Israel is the country to watch. Unfortunately they still have a high hospitalization rate, but hopefully if that falls in the next 2-3 weeks, it will be a good sign.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [trail] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
trail wrote:
SDG wrote:
Oh wait, I think we did all those things to "Blunt the curve" as we were told back in March and it did not "stop the spread" 5 weeks turned into months on end.


We didn't do those things, though. We did lock-down light. I'm not advocating that we do the Real Thing, at this point. I think we're far too gone for it to work anymore. It works best, is my understanding, early on.

Just bringing up, that, no, we in the U.S. never attempted anything close to a true hardcore lockdown.

If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston) we did do a hard core lockdown. Shelter in place, no indoor dining, everyone work from home, everything closed except grocery stores. Not sure what else you would want.

Maybe they didnt' do that in your area, but in mine they sure did. And I am in Texas. I can only think places like Cali, Chicago and NYC were much more locked down.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:

If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston) we did do a hard core lockdown.


No you didn't. Maybe you, personally did. Houston did not.
Last edited by: trail: Jan 29, 21 9:01
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
Just to be clear, total lockdown means individuals stay home except to obtain food and other essentials, access medical care, or do work essential to the functioning of society. Intercity travel within affected areas would cease. Governments would provide economic and social aid to citizens who need it. It would take 5 weeks for this to stop Covid.



this is perhaps the silliest things I have ever read on this site. If 5 weeks is all, then hell, lets jump in. Oh wait, I think we did all those things to "Blunt the curve" as we were told back in March and it did not "stop the spread" 5 weeks turned into months on end.

to be clear what you are suggesting as lockdown was done in my city, and with me and my family when this started. Grocery store trips for food, essential work only, work from home and doctor visits. Where were you in March 2020?

That is completely fanciful and wishful thinking.

If what you suggest would really stop it completely in five weeks, I will sign on. Send your suggestion to Biden and lets see if he and Fauci believe that will get it done.


I have a friend in Lisbon, Portugal. She can go for a short walk outside her home, but has to carry ID with proof of address to show she is not too far from home. Many countries have imposed close to the kinds of restrictions described above. Obviously selfish Americans would never stand for that though. You know, coz "Freedom!"



That is insane and frankly, yes Freedom over that any day. Just imagine the mental illness, suicide, isolation, weight gain and all kinds of problems that will plague those people for years that have been subjected to those conditions. Hopefully its not that long and they are allowed to live again soon.

by the way that's a little odd you mentioned Portugal. I have friend of a friend whose son is playing pro soccer in Portugal and they are still playing games ( had one last week) so I guess the rules are being enforced differently depending on who you are. That would bug the hell out of me as well.
Last edited by: SDG: Jan 29, 21 9:05
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [trail] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
trail wrote:
SDG wrote:

If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston) we did do a hard core lockdown.


No you didn't. Maybe you, personally did. Houston did not.

True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much good.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
As others have said, our spring lockdown was only a partial lockdown. It was actually pretty successful in the northeast, but then other parts of the country re-opened too soon in April (GA, FL and TX notably). Remember the "Liberate Michigan!" tweets?

That early reopening was one of the biggest mistakes we made as a country, along with not shutting air travel down in February, or at least insisting on strict quarantine measures for any international arrivals.

You're right though, we are not going to go into another strict lockdown. American's don't have the stomach for it. But there is another way. We could all have at home rapid antigen test kits, and the R0 would fall by 80% if we all tested ourselves twice a week. I'm still at a loss why we don't. Speak to many college students and they'll tell you how they're being tested twice a week. Why not all of us?
----------

"When it came to curbing spread, they found that frequency and turnaround time are much more important than test sensitivity.
For instance, in one scenario in a large city, widespread twice-weekly testing with a rapid but less sensitive test reduced the degree of infectiousness, or R0 (“R naught”), of the virus by 80%. But twice-weekly testing with a more sensitive PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test, which takes up to 48 hours to return results, reduced infectiousness by only 58%. In other scenarios, when the amount of testing was the same, the rapid test always reduced infectiousness better than the slower, more sensitive PCR test.
That’s because about two-thirds of infected people have no symptoms and as they await their results, they continue to spread the virus."

https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/...9-tide-within-weeks/




Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?

Again, everything is not black and white. You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate. I know a lot of trump voters first time around and second. All of them took COVID seriously and locked down when asked to in March. Hell, my extended is hardcore Trump voters and they are more extreme in locking down than many on this forum. They haven't left the house much since March and now have gotten both vaccines. They still claim they won't leave or go out much until safer in their mind. And they rail against Biden, think the election was stolen and want Biden gone ASAP.

People are not as easy to define as you seem to suggest. Probably something to consider. In my circle of life, we all locked down in March. YMMV in your own area.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
As others have said, our spring lockdown was only a partial lockdown. It was actually pretty successful in the northeast, but then other parts of the country re-opened too soon in April (GA, FL and TX notably). Remember the "Liberate Michigan!" tweets?

That early reopening was one of the biggest mistakes we made as a country, along with not shutting air travel down in February, or at least insisting on strict quarantine measures for any international arrivals.

You're right though, we are not going to go into another strict lockdown. American's don't have the stomach for it. But there is another way. We could all have at home rapid antigen test kits, and the R0 would fall by 80% if we all tested ourselves twice a week. I'm still at a loss why we don't. Speak to many college students and they'll tell you how they're being tested twice a week. Why not all of us?
----------

"When it came to curbing spread, they found that frequency and turnaround time are much more important than test sensitivity.
For instance, in one scenario in a large city, widespread twice-weekly testing with a rapid but less sensitive test reduced the degree of infectiousness, or R0 (“R naught”), of the virus by 80%. But twice-weekly testing with a more sensitive PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test, which takes up to 48 hours to return results, reduced infectiousness by only 58%. In other scenarios, when the amount of testing was the same, the rapid test always reduced infectiousness better than the slower, more sensitive PCR test.
That’s because about two-thirds of infected people have no symptoms and as they await their results, they continue to spread the virus."

https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/...9-tide-within-weeks/





CALL says it would only take five weeks of that kind of lockdown and we would be done, magically. I like that idea if I trusted that at ALL. I don't.

I agree on your testing plan. I have a kid in college sports and he is tested 2 times a week. We should do that for everyone that is does not want to isolate and wants to live semi normally.

Biden is dropping the ball.
Last edited by: SDG: Jan 29, 21 9:14
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate.

You might want to re-read what she wrote.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate.


You might want to re-read what she wrote.

She spelled out Trumps bluster and dumb comments on COVID. Then suggested 74 million voted for him. Then asked how many of those 74 took COViD seriously. I think I read it just fine.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
I agree on your testing plan. I have a kid in college sports and he is tested 2 times a week. We should do that for everyone that is does not want to isolate and wants to live semi normally.

Biden is dropping the ball.

You may be right that Biden is dropping the ball, though he has allocated significant funds to increase testing. We'll have to see what that means in effect.

Side note: my spouse recently went to a local medical center for a test because of "sniffles," just to be sure. Various members of our family have been tested in recent months, and never cost any money. But yesterday we just got a bill for the last test for $274 for a doctor's consult (plus a small fee for the actual test). Fucking outrageous. We're fighting it. There was no consult. This country is so fucked up in terms of healthcare.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:

I agree on your testing plan. I have a kid in college sports and he is tested 2 times a week. We should do that for everyone that is does not want to isolate and wants to live semi normally.

Biden is dropping the ball.


. There was no consult. This country is so fucked up in terms of healthcare.


No argument there. That has to change.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
 
SDG - "If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston)we did do a hard core lockdown. "

SDG - "True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much
good."

Also SDG in this same thread " I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March."

Which one of these is the truth?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate.


You might want to re-read what she wrote.


She spelled out Trumps bluster and dumb comments on COVID. Then suggested 74 million voted for him. Then asked how many of those 74 took COViD seriously. I think I read it just fine.

Yes, she "Then asked how many of those 74 took COViD seriously."

You didn't answer her question. Instead you accused her of: "You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely."

So no, you don't read "just fine" apparently.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate.


You might want to re-read what she wrote.


She spelled out Trumps bluster and dumb comments on COVID. Then suggested 74 million voted for him. Then asked how many of those 74 took COViD seriously. I think I read it just fine.


Yes, she "Then asked how many of those 74 took COViD seriously."

You didn't answer her question. Instead you accused her of: "You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely."

So no, you don't read "just fine" apparently.


sometime people ask rhetorical questions to make an argument. See what she did there?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:


Remember that Covid won’t mutate if there aren’t infections. So, mutation is not inevitable. Mutations occur after we fail to stop infections. If everyone stays in their homes for a year, we won’t have mutations and doctors won’t be playing whack-a-mole. That’s an unrealistic, extreme argument.

This is not true. Humans are not the only vectors for Covid. Animals have been shown to have it as well and unless you plan to quarantine them too, covid will have places to do its thing. You are not eradicating the corona virus. There will just be peaks and valleys.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [sonofdad] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
sonofdad wrote:

SDG - "If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston)we did do a hard core lockdown. "

SDG - "True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much
good."

Also SDG in this same thread " I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March."

Which one of these is the truth?

March hard core lockdown going into April. Things open up more there. Definitely going out to businesses as soon as they were opened. Event's parties, group gatherings more in April ( Hello Easter). Although if I remember correctly, I think my Trump loving family put a stop to that gathering. Someone might remind me.

If Five weeks is the standard to get rid of it now ( SEE CALL) , I would be willing to do it again for five weeks if it gets rid of COVID completely.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
Kay Serrar wrote:
SDG wrote:

I agree on your testing plan. I have a kid in college sports and he is tested 2 times a week. We should do that for everyone that is does not want to isolate and wants to live semi normally.

Biden is dropping the ball.


. There was no consult. This country is so fucked up in terms of healthcare.



No argument there. That has to change.

This would be a good thread topic. I think we all agree, just don't agree on the solution. Govt run health care would just shift who gets Kay's charge and would possibly make it more common to just charge the govt for anything with little oversight. If we could actually control HC costs then a govt option would make sense and be reasonable. But as long as HC and drug companies charge X times more than they do everywhere else in the world, it is cost prohibitive.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
So, none of the quotes are true?

"I keep hoping for you to use your superior intellect to be less insufferable. Sadly, you continue to disappoint." - gofigure
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [sonofdad] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
sonofdad wrote:
So, none of the quotes are true?

No, they are all accurate with the exception my moving around came a little later than I previously stated. It started more in late April, about two months after shelter in place orders.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?

Again, everything is not black and white. You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate. I know a lot of trump voters first time around and second. All of them took COVID seriously and locked down when asked to in March. Hell, my extended is hardcore Trump voters and they are more extreme in locking down than many on this forum. They haven't left the house much since March and now have gotten both vaccines. They still claim they won't leave or go out much until safer in their mind. And they rail against Biden, think the election was stolen and want Biden gone ASAP.

People are not as easy to define as you seem to suggest. Probably something to consider. In my circle of life, we all locked down in March. YMMV in your own area.

I asked you to estimate how many of Trump’s 74 million voters complied with lockdown rules. I didn’t say they all blew off all recommendations. I simply asked you a question.

I think you’re misreading my posts.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
sonofdad wrote:

SDG - "If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston)we did do a hard core lockdown. "

SDG - "True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much
good."

Also SDG in this same thread " I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March."

Which one of these is the truth?

March hard core lockdown going into April. Things open up more there. Definitely going out to businesses as soon as they were opened. Event's parties, group gatherings more in April ( Hello Easter). Although if I remember correctly, I think my Trump loving family put a stop to that gathering. Someone might remind me.

If Five weeks is the standard to get rid of it now ( SEE CALL) , I would be willing to do it again for five weeks if it gets rid of COVID completely.

Yeah, We get it. Nobody is disputing that you've been behaving like selfish, spoiled twat for almost a year.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


Again, everything is not black and white. You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate. I know a lot of trump voters first time around and second. All of them took COVID seriously and locked down when asked to in March. Hell, my extended is hardcore Trump voters and they are more extreme in locking down than many on this forum. They haven't left the house much since March and now have gotten both vaccines. They still claim they won't leave or go out much until safer in their mind. And they rail against Biden, think the election was stolen and want Biden gone ASAP.

People are not as easy to define as you seem to suggest. Probably something to consider. In my circle of life, we all locked down in March. YMMV in your own area.




I asked you to estimate how many of Trump’s 74 million voters complied with lockdown rules. I didn’t say they all blew off all recommendations. I simply asked you a question.

I think you’re misreading my posts.

Why didn't you ask how many of all voters in the entire country complied with the rules? you were making the argument Trump supporters were flaunting the rules.

Maybe I am misreading. If you argument was not that 74 million voters that voted for Trump were more likely to blow off COVID because of dumb things he said, then I stand corrected.

Are you really asking me how many people out of a pool of 74 million complied with Covid lockdowns and shelter in place? I am not god and nor am I omiscient. The folks I know in Houston complied with the rules I was aware of. No clue on the other 73,999,732.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [chriskal] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
chriskal wrote:
SDG wrote:
sonofdad wrote:

SDG - "If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston)we did do a hard core lockdown. "

SDG - "True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much
good."

Also SDG in this same thread " I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March."

Which one of these is the truth?


March hard core lockdown going into April. Things open up more there. Definitely going out to businesses as soon as they were opened. Event's parties, group gatherings more in April ( Hello Easter). Although if I remember correctly, I think my Trump loving family put a stop to that gathering. Someone might remind me.

If Five weeks is the standard to get rid of it now ( SEE CALL) , I would be willing to do it again for five weeks if it gets rid of COVID completely.


Yeah, We get it. Nobody is disputing that you've been behaving like selfish, spoiled twat for almost a year.

Hope you are well able to get out some. It will help with your attitude.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


Again, everything is not black and white. You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate. I know a lot of trump voters first time around and second. All of them took COVID seriously and locked down when asked to in March. Hell, my extended is hardcore Trump voters and they are more extreme in locking down than many on this forum. They haven't left the house much since March and now have gotten both vaccines. They still claim they won't leave or go out much until safer in their mind. And they rail against Biden, think the election was stolen and want Biden gone ASAP.

People are not as easy to define as you seem to suggest. Probably something to consider. In my circle of life, we all locked down in March. YMMV in your own area.




I asked you to estimate how many of Trump’s 74 million voters complied with lockdown rules. I didn’t say they all blew off all recommendations. I simply asked you a question.

I think you’re misreading my posts.


Why didn't you ask how many of all voters in the entire country complied with the rules? you were making the argument Trump supporters were flaunting the rules.

Maybe I am misreading. If you argument was not that 74 million voters that voted for Trump were more likely to blow off COVID because of dumb things he said, then I stand corrected.

Are you really asking me how many people out of a pool of 74 million complied with Covid lockdowns and shelter in place? I am not god and nor am I omiscient. The folks I know in Houston complied with the rules I was aware of. No clue on the other 73,999,732.

I"m going to go out on a limb and agree with SDG. I think even if you go back to the threads in the spring, flaunting and ignoring lockdowns has never been a right/left thing. People on both sides have been going out in public. Now masks, I would say have been a bigger issue on the right (though plenty on the left have not worn masks). But just those that went out, go to restauraunts, businesses, stores, movies, etc.. I don't believe that it is a right or left thing. Especially in the younger generation. I've been in full lockdown for what 10 months now. I don't plan to change until me, my wife and my daughter all have been vaccinated. And even then we will still take precautions. Most people I know have done varying levels of true lockdown, though they all claim to have locked down. We go grocery shopping (my wife), once every 3 weeks. We exercise outside, typically alone (I do have one friend with diabetes who I know is as strict as I am), who I ride with probably 1x per month. Even my in-laws are only allowed to visit outside with 10+ feet separating us (3x). We have had 2 workmen in our house to fix the washing machine this year. Other than that no one has been in our house. I call that a lockdown. I don't believe many people in the US let alone around the world have been that locked down.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [velocomp] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
velocomp wrote:

I"m going to go out on a limb and agree with SDG. I think even if you go back to the threads in the spring, flaunting and ignoring lockdowns has never been a right/left thing. People on both sides have been going out in public. Now masks, I would say have been a bigger issue on the right (though plenty on the left have not worn masks). But just those that went out, go to restauraunts, businesses, stores, movies, etc.. I don't believe that it is a right or left thing.

Clearly you haven't been following my Facebook feed. I think your right in that it doesn't matter much in young people but in my aging friend group, flaunting lockdown rules and right wing politics are 100% correlated.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Thom] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Thom wrote:
velocomp wrote:


I"m going to go out on a limb and agree with SDG. I think even if you go back to the threads in the spring, flaunting and ignoring lockdowns has never been a right/left thing. People on both sides have been going out in public. Now masks, I would say have been a bigger issue on the right (though plenty on the left have not worn masks). But just those that went out, go to restauraunts, businesses, stores, movies, etc.. I don't believe that it is a right or left thing.


Clearly you haven't been following my Facebook feed. I think your right in that it doesn't matter much in young people but in my aging friend group, flaunting lockdown rules and right wing politics are 100% correlated.
But talk is cheap. I know the people I know both left and right have been pretty equal in what they actually do. I guess I'm talking about what people actually do vs talk or promote.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [AchillesHeal] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
AchillesHeal wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:


Remember that Covid won’t mutate if there aren’t infections. So, mutation is not inevitable. Mutations occur after we fail to stop infections. If everyone stays in their homes for a year, we won’t have mutations and doctors won’t be playing whack-a-mole. That’s an unrealistic, extreme argument.


This is not true. Humans are not the only vectors for Covid. Animals have been shown to have it as well and unless you plan to quarantine them too, covid will have places to do its thing. You are not eradicating the corona virus. There will just be peaks and valleys.

Yes, animal vector mutations are a potential concern, but that's why it's so important to reduce the transmission among humans. Dr Fauci, in an interview just now, said "The virus will not mutate if it doesn't replicate, so it's vital that we get people vaccinated as soon as possible."
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
SDG wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
No, we didn’t do a total lockdown in March. Let’s remember our recent history. At the end of February, Trump was saying it would disappear like a miracle. On March 4, he said the flu was worse. On March 24, Trump said it would be gone by Easter.

We know 74 million Americans listen to Trump. How many of those people do you estimate were doing a “total lockdown” in March?


Again, everything is not black and white. You lump 74 million trump voters in the pool of people that blew off COVID completely. My experience, that is no where near accurate. I know a lot of trump voters first time around and second. All of them took COVID seriously and locked down when asked to in March. Hell, my extended is hardcore Trump voters and they are more extreme in locking down than many on this forum. They haven't left the house much since March and now have gotten both vaccines. They still claim they won't leave or go out much until safer in their mind. And they rail against Biden, think the election was stolen and want Biden gone ASAP.

People are not as easy to define as you seem to suggest. Probably something to consider. In my circle of life, we all locked down in March. YMMV in your own area.




I asked you to estimate how many of Trump’s 74 million voters complied with lockdown rules. I didn’t say they all blew off all recommendations. I simply asked you a question.

I think you’re misreading my posts.

Why didn't you ask how many of all voters in the entire country complied with the rules? you were making the argument Trump supporters were flaunting the rules.

Maybe I am misreading. If you argument was not that 74 million voters that voted for Trump were more likely to blow off COVID because of dumb things he said, then I stand corrected.

Are you really asking me how many people out of a pool of 74 million complied with Covid lockdowns and shelter in place? I am not god and nor am I omiscient. The folks I know in Houston complied with the rules I was aware of. No clue on the other 73,999,732.

My argument was exactly that 74 million voters who voted for Trump were more likely to blow off COVID because of dumb things he said. However, I wasn’t arguing that all did. You said that, not me.

You claimed that Americans did a total lockdown in March. That’s a clearly incorrect statement. If you’re wondering who didn’t help with that lockdown, look at the 74 million Americans who voted for Trump. I’d be willing to bet that there is a substantial overlap between those voters and people who chose not to lockdown.

I’d like to be honest about our past efforts to stop COVID. I’d like to be honest about what we’re doing now. We’re constantly receiving new information, and I want to understand how the new information is being used.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [velocomp] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
velocomp wrote:

I"m going to go out on a limb and agree with SDG. I think even if you go back to the threads in the spring, flaunting and ignoring lockdowns has never been a right/left thing. People on both sides have been going out in public. Now masks, I would say have been a bigger issue on the right (though plenty on the left have not worn masks). But just those that went out, go to restauraunts, businesses, stores, movies, etc.. I don't believe that it is a right or left thing. Especially in the younger generation.

I think among young people, flaunting social distancing measures may not be a left/right thing. But I would say among older people, it very much is.

And you're also correct, I believe, that most mask-flaunters are on the right, and we all know why that is. That said, there are plenty of people on the right who do wear masks, and not just because they have to in certain places.

There has also been a lot of spread by those who are essential workers and live in tighter, crowded conditions. These are mostly minorities. I blame them much less than the "intentional flaunters."
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
I’m wondering if the herd immunity proponents have changed their minds about the strategy of rushing to herd immunity given the numerous mutations that we’re seeing around globe.

If every new infection increases the risk of mutations, then how will we ever stop the pandemic? It has the potential to keep mutating ahead of immunity. We’ll be chasing herd immunity forever unless we stop infections.

So, what’s our strategy?

Strategy would be to develop a vaccine that takes into account that certain parts of the virus will change/mutate.

Unfortunately until recently, this had been considered ’overkill’ and ‘unnecessary’ by those in charge.
But smart people are working on it.
.
Quote Reply
Post deleted by spudone [ In reply to ]
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:

You claimed that Americans did a total lockdown in March. That’s a clearly incorrect statement. If you’re wondering who didn’t help with that lockdown, look at the 74 million Americans who voted for Trump. I’d be willing to bet that there is a substantial overlap between those voters and people who chose not to lockdown.

We know the answer to that. We know which states lifted the lockdowns early, and which stuck to the White House's own re-opening guidelines.

By the way, those guidelines were of course created by the smart people who understood pandemic control, like Dr Birx and Dr Fauci. But exactly a day after they were published Trump was tweeting "Liberate Michigan!" and "Liberate North Carolina!" I wonder why he chose those states? Could it be they have Democratic governors? Hmmm?

And which states re-opened early? GA, TX, FL, AK, SC, TN ...
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
an observation:

being in the UK on our second national lockdown, with our local variant raging (but stepping down a bit this week)

i've seen very little news on reinfection, and how that's gone for those so struck. Probably because the data simply hasn't been collated yet.

i don't know if any of the more plugged in folks on this board have seen any data on incidence and severity.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [spudone] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
spudone wrote:

Mostly a tangent, but I was also noticing ever since that incident on the aircraft carrier, the military has, apparently, done a very good job protecting itself against additional spread of the virus. I have heard almost nothing in the news about it, and they certainly work in close quarters.

So my hat's off to them.


I work military-adjacent, and it's amusing to watch the difference between the Navy and Marine Corps vaccination plans.

On the Navy base I work on there's like this 6-page Vaccination Plan guide that lists all the phases with pages of detailed job descriptions and which type of job goes in which phase, etc. With hundreds of different job descriptions and listing all the different risk levels. And rolling out complex IT systems for reservations, verification that you're in the right phase, etc. They haven't, as far as I can tell, actually started vaccinating yet. They're still making sure all their plans and procedures are in place.

On the Marine Corps base I often work on as well, any Marine, base employee, or immediate family member goes into the cafeteria and gets jabbed with a needle and handed a card. No one is asked what age they are, or what job they have. They've vaccinated at least in the thousands so far.

Based on this and also what we've seen in the civilian world, I'm starting to think we should mostly wad up and toss out all the "phases" and just start sticking people. I think old people and front-line workers should definitely get priority - free pass to the front of the line at the cafeteria, etc. But other than that, just line 'em up and go like the Marines.
Last edited by: trail: Jan 29, 21 11:41
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
weight gain

Not arguing your earlier point, just pointing out the US is already the greatest in the world at this. I'm not sure how we could win any harder than we already do. Lol.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [burnthesheep] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
burnthesheep wrote:
SDG wrote:
weight gain


Not arguing your earlier point, just pointing out the US is already the greatest in the world at this. I'm not sure how we could win any harder than we already do. Lol.

Agreed, COVID definitely didn't start it but has helped push it along faster than probably normal. We are a fat bunch of MFER's as a people.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [SDG] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
SDG wrote:
chriskal wrote:
SDG wrote:
sonofdad wrote:

SDG - "If what CALL stated is a hard core lockdown, then yes, at least in my area (Houston)we did do a hard core lockdown. "

SDG - "True, I can't speak for everyone in Houston, but that is what I saw for the first two months. It didn't do much
good."

Also SDG in this same thread " I am in favor of open businesses, free travel, parties, events, group gatherings and all the rest and have been doing it all since March."

Which one of these is the truth?


March hard core lockdown going into April. Things open up more there. Definitely going out to businesses as soon as they were opened. Event's parties, group gatherings more in April ( Hello Easter). Although if I remember correctly, I think my Trump loving family put a stop to that gathering. Someone might remind me.

If Five weeks is the standard to get rid of it now ( SEE CALL) , I would be willing to do it again for five weeks if it gets rid of COVID completely.


Yeah, We get it. Nobody is disputing that you've been behaving like selfish, spoiled twat for almost a year.


Hope you are well able to get out some. It will help with your attitude.


Lockdown/self-isolation is a religion now. Read this - pretty illustrative. It's like a corporal mortification in a way.

I always wore two masks at work. I was alone in a studio that only I used.


I hold my breath when passing people on the street. I wear two masks.


And then the disaster strikes - he gets sick. For 3 days. Gets better. And proceeds to conclude:


Masks and isolation are nobody's idea of a good time, but I can say unequivocally that they work.


Maybe the author should have held his breath a bit longer - I'd say 90 seconds or more. Perhaps he could Lysol his dogs too.

Next races on the schedule: none at the moment
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [alex_korr] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.

Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.

Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?

You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.

Next races on the schedule: none at the moment
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Kay Serrar wrote:
velocomp wrote:

I"m going to go out on a limb and agree with SDG. I think even if you go back to the threads in the spring, flaunting and ignoring lockdowns has never been a right/left thing. People on both sides have been going out in public. Now masks, I would say have been a bigger issue on the right (though plenty on the left have not worn masks). But just those that went out, go to restauraunts, businesses, stores, movies, etc.. I don't believe that it is a right or left thing. Especially in the younger generation.

I think among young people, flaunting social distancing measures may not be a left/right thing. But I would say among older people, it very much is.

And you're also correct, I believe, that most mask-flaunters are on the right, and we all know why that is. That said, there are plenty of people on the right who do wear masks, and not just because they have to in certain places.

There has also been a lot of spread by those who are essential workers and live in tighter, crowded conditions. These are mostly minorities. I blame them much less than the "intentional flaunters."

Flout, not flaunt. (Not trying to be the diction police, but the two of you are too smart to keep using the wrong word.)
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [alex_korr] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.

Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


Nice, but really? That 'Fathom' of yours is more like a 'Phantom':

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.
Last edited by: windschatten: Feb 5, 21 17:06
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [windschatten] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
.
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.

Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


From that 'Fathom' of yours, you have no idea what you're talking about either.

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.


From your paper:

These results suggest a measurable impact of immunity to coronaviruses on future risk, but this protection may be transient.

Meaning - we do not really know. There really is not anything precise in the field of epidemiology. It is all about educated guesses. They mention that the immunity remains effective for one year or more, which is expected as viruses mutate and change. That's normal.


But continue to advocate for the others to suffer the lockdown consequences just because you're probably in a vulnerable segment of the population.

Next races on the schedule: none at the moment
Last edited by: alex_korr: Feb 5, 21 17:13
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [alex_korr] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
alex_korr wrote:
.
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.

Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


From that 'Fathom' of yours, you have no idea what you're talking about either.

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.


From your paper:

These results suggest a measurable impact of immunity to coronaviruses on future risk, but this protection may be transient.

Meaning - we do not really know. There really is not anything precise in the field of epidemiology. It is all about educated guesses. They mention that the immunity remains effective for one year or more, which is expected as viruses mutate and change. That's normal.


But continue to advocate for the others to suffer the lockdown consequences just because you're probably in a vulnerable segment of the population.


I think most understand the definition of the word 'transient' pretty well.

So I take it you can't back up your claim that "people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID".

B.T.W.:
Why do you assume I am in a vulnerable part of the population, am not suffering from lockdown and incurring financial losses?
Oh well, forgot, you don't know much.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [windschatten] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
.

windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.


Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


From that 'Fathom' of yours, you have no idea what you're talking about either.

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.


From your paper:

These results suggest a measurable impact of immunity to coronaviruses on future risk, but this protection may be transient.

Meaning - we do not really know. There really is not anything precise in the field of epidemiology. It is all about educated guesses. They mention that the immunity remains effective for one year or more, which is expected as viruses mutate and change. That's normal.


But continue to advocate for the others to suffer the lockdown consequences just because you're probably in a vulnerable segment of the population.



I think most understand the definition of the word 'transient' pretty well.

So I take it you can't back up your claim that "people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID"..


I can't? Did you know that 51% of the population of Singapore was able to manifest pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2? Ref here
What do you think is the reason for a significant inverse correlation that has been observed between the levels of pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 and mortality rates in different countries? Did it come from eating lots of fish or something? Don't be daft.

Next races on the schedule: none at the moment
Last edited by: alex_korr: Feb 5, 21 19:22
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [alex_korr] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
alex_korr wrote:

I always wore two masks at work. I was alone in a studio that only I used.


I hold my breath when passing people on the street. I wear two masks.


And then the disaster strikes - he gets sick. For 3 days. Gets better. And proceeds to conclude:


Masks and isolation are nobody's idea of a good time, but I can say unequivocally that they work.


Maybe the author should have held his breath a bit longer - I'd say 90 seconds or more. Perhaps he could Lysol his dogs too.

It sounds like he realizes that evaluating a global pandemic based on his n=1 personal experience makes no sense at all.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [alex_korr] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
alex_korr wrote:
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
.

windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.


Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


From that 'Fathom' of yours, you have no idea what you're talking about either.

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.


From your paper:

These results suggest a measurable impact of immunity to coronaviruses on future risk, but this protection may be transient.

Meaning - we do not really know. There really is not anything precise in the field of epidemiology. It is all about educated guesses. They mention that the immunity remains effective for one year or more, which is expected as viruses mutate and change. That's normal.


But continue to advocate for the others to suffer the lockdown consequences just because you're probably in a vulnerable segment of the population.



I think most understand the definition of the word 'transient' pretty well.

So I take it you can't back up your claim that "people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID"..


I can't? Did you know that 51% of the population of Singapore was able to manifest pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2? Ref here
What do you think is the reason for a significant inverse correlation that has been observed between the levels of pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 and mortality rates in different countries? Did it come from eating lots of fish or something? Don't be daft.


Well, thanks for actually being honest and walking your original sensational and hyperbole statements back to what’s factual data.
You playing that irrelevant 0.02% difference card doesn’t sit well. It’s purposely misleading.

And have you looked at the latest #s from those ‘SARS-protected’ countries?
Up, up and up.
So something doesn’t add up there either.

.
Last edited by: windschatten: Feb 5, 21 21:59
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [windschatten] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
.

windschatten wrote:
alex_korr wrote:
CallMeMaybe wrote:
The point of this thread was to think about mutations and vaccine effectiveness.


Does learning about mutations, which might lessen the effectiveness of vaccines, make you any more interested in reducing infections?

Does new information impact your thinking?


You have some new information? Fancy.

But really, no. You know why? Because you have no idea what you're talking about. Fathom this - people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID. COVID only shares about 80% of the genetic makeup with SARS-v1. These mutations are what - 0.02 percent differentiated from the original wuhan strain? Yeah.

Oh and your pseudo-lawyerly manner of communicating is annoying af. Has anyone mentioned this to you before? If not, there it is.


From that 'Fathom' of yours, you have no idea what you're talking about either.

Enjoy the frequent use of the word: 'Transient':


https://www.nature.com/...67-020-18450-4#Sec10

.


From your paper:

These results suggest a measurable impact of immunity to coronaviruses on future risk, but this protection may be transient.

Meaning - we do not really know. There really is not anything precise in the field of epidemiology. It is all about educated guesses. They mention that the immunity remains effective for one year or more, which is expected as viruses mutate and change. That's normal.


But continue to advocate for the others to suffer the lockdown consequences just because you're probably in a vulnerable segment of the population.



I think most understand the definition of the word 'transient' pretty well.

So I take it you can't back up your claim that "people who had the original SARS are still showing strong immune response to COVID"..


I can't? Did you know that 51% of the population of Singapore was able to manifest pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2? Ref here
What do you think is the reason for a significant inverse correlation that has been observed between the levels of pre-existing T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 and mortality rates in different countries? Did it come from eating lots of fish or something? Don't be daft.


Well, thanks for actually being honest and walking your original sensational and hyperbole statements back to what’s factual data.
You playing that irrelevant 0.02% difference card doesn’t sit well. It’s purposely misleading.

And have you looked at the latest #s from those ‘SARS-protected’ countries?
Up, up and up.
So something doesn’t add up there either.

.


Misleading? Irrelevant?

Several studies identified SARS-CoV-2 reactive T cells in uninfected individuals or people without exposure to the virus in various countries. The likely source of this phenomena is the immune cross-reactivity between human common cold coronaviruses, the original SARS and SARS-CoV-2.

Next races on the schedule: none at the moment
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [trail] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
trail wrote:
Kay Serrar wrote:
Where is that guy anyway?

I think he's hanging with JSA somewhere.

Last Logged On Feb 3, 21 19:40

He’s been posting over on the other forum.

clm
Nashville, TN
https://twitter.com/ironclm | http://ironclm.typepad.com
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Last I had read was that the current vaccines protected against the variants. Apparently that’s not the case. Now we have to get boosters for each variant. Ugh.
Last edited by: TimeIsUp: Feb 24, 21 15:35
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [TimeIsUp] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
I don’t care if we have to get boosters. I just want these damn vaccines available immediately everywhere. Is that asking too much?

I’d be happy to get a booster every 6 months or year if all I had to do was swing by my grocery store pharmacy. At that point, it’s just like the flu shot.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [TimeIsUp] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
TimeIsUp wrote:
Last I had read was that the current vaccines protected against the variants. Apparently that’s not the case. Now we have to get boosters for each variant. Ugh.


Well, there's some immune memory, as otherwise also any common cold virus would kill you (and it can kill those with compromised immune memory).
So even if you don't have the specific immunity, you probably just get ummm? less sick?

So all those who had screamed 'total protection' are now having to back-pedal and issue statements such as 'we didn't know any better, but we are sure we did know'.
But not proud of this prediction coming true faster than I expected.

There are some 'resident experts' here, who can't conduct a civilized discussion.
I don't really get any professional credits for community outreach on a Triathlon forum, and I really don't need to engage in pissing contests to feel valid as a Scientist.

But glad to see that people here stay on top of this. The more we know and learn about the Science, the better off we are.
.
Last edited by: windschatten: Feb 24, 21 16:17
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
CallMeMaybe wrote:
I don’t care if we have to get boosters. I just want these damn vaccines available immediately everywhere. Is that asking too much?

I’d be happy to get a booster every 6 months or year if all I had to do was swing by my grocery store pharmacy. At that point, it’s just like the flu shot.

Available “immediately, everywhere”? Yeah, that’s probably asking a bit too much, but I get the point of urgency. I’m still scratching my head how I’m an “essential worker” yet people whose only defining class is being obese can be in line before me. Essential work, expendable worker more like it. On the bright side, my employer just announced a $125 stipend for those that prove they received both shots. Woohoo!
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [TimeIsUp] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
There was a big debate about the "essential workers" title here. People making minimum wage at grocery stores, fast food etc were pissed because they were apparently deemed essential yet barely get paid enough to live. They did not realize what you said, that it is not them as people who are essential, it was the work that they were performing.

Long Chile was a silly place.
Quote Reply
Re: Herd Immunity & Covid Mutations [CallMeMaybe] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
It sounds like Brazil is going through a very hard time with a new variant which may be evading immunity provided by past infections.
https://www.bbc.com/...tin-america-56288548
Quote Reply