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FLO Sells Out Again
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I thought maybe it would be getting easier to purchase a set of FLO 30s. Sold out again before I got my order placed. I have a 60/90 combo that I had to buy in two separate FLO batches but didn't get either 30!
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I managed to snag some a pair of 30s. The server was responsive, and the whole process was trouble-free. I guess I lucked out.

I hope you find the wheels in the near future.
Last edited by: rijndael: Apr 16, 15 11:43
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"



Kat Hunter reports on the San Dimas Stage Race from inside the GC winning team
Aeroweenie.com -Compendium of Aero Data and Knowledge
Freelance sports & outdoors writer Kathryn Hunter
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I guess you could buy their FLO30 rims and just build up a pair.

Ian
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rijndael] [ In reply to ]
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rijndael wrote:
I managed to snag some a pair of 30s. The server was responsive, and the whole process was trouble-free. I guess I lucked out.

I got my FLO30 as well. You gotta be quick and efficient going through the buying process (Just like an Ironman on Active!) On their FB page, they said it was their quickest sale to date. They had some wheels for weeks after their December sale.

Proud Member of Chris McDonald's 2018 Big Sexy Race Team "That which doesn't kill me, will only make me stronger"
Blog-Twitter-Instagram-Race Reports - 2018 Races: IM Florida 70.3, IM Raleigh 70.3, IM 70.3 World Championships - South Africa, IM North Carolina 70.3
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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what is the game? this is the third time i've planned to order their stuff, only to discover they do some kind of instant lottery.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"

You are right in econs 101 sense.

The thing is.. they would lose the hype that they have now "MUST BUY FAST OR IT SELL OUT"

If they were always available.. but a flo disc was $899 or $999... how many would sell?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [copperman] [ In reply to ]
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copperman wrote:
jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"


You are right in econs 101 sense.

The thing is.. they would lose the hype that they have now "MUST BUY FAST OR IT SELL OUT"

If they were always available.. but a flo disc was $899 or $999... how many would sell?

The question is not "how many would sell?" (The answer, BTW, is "exactly what the demand is' Wink). The question is "how much more profit could they generate?"

One could make a case that they would still sell the same amount as they sell now (demand greatly out strips supply)....so for argument's sake, let's go with that assumption (since this is Econ 101, you always make assumptions!!)

For easy, round numbers, let's say they sell 1,000 wheelsets in each sale. Further, let's assume that they make $100 in profit for each wheelset. (totally making that up....have zero idea what their profitability is). So for each sale, they are making $100,000 in profit.

Now, for grins & giggles, let's assume they raise the price to $1500 and demand stays the same, but their sell-through rate slows slightly (sell out in a few days vs. minutes). Their overhead remains largely the same, so their profitability just went up by 50%, or $50,000. No extra work, no additional promotional cost, nothing....just adjusting the pricing to correctly reflect market demand.

The guys at FLO have been pretty open about not taking in outside investments, but also being somewhat cash-strapped. I respect trying to hold to their ideals, but access to cash to invest in their company is sitting right in front of them.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Raising the price might actually increase the hype, since plenty of people

1. don't want to deal with rushing in on Flo day

2. assume flos are horrible because they are so cheap



Kat Hunter reports on the San Dimas Stage Race from inside the GC winning team
Aeroweenie.com -Compendium of Aero Data and Knowledge
Freelance sports & outdoors writer Kathryn Hunter
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Power13 wrote:
Now, for grins & giggles, let's assume they raise the price to $1500 and demand stays the same, but their sell-through rate slows slightly (sell out in a few days vs. minutes). Their overhead remains largely the same, so their profitability just went up by 50%, or $50,000. No extra work, no additional promotional cost, nothing....just adjusting the pricing to correctly reflect market demand.


That's a big assumption on demand if they raised prices 50%. You can get the Swiss Side Hadron for <$1k and it's lighter than a set of 60's. Or a complete set of carbon clinchers from Boyd, November etc. for $1500. A ~$500 custom built Kinlin 31t wheelset makes a compelling alternative to the Flo 30. I've never understood the Flo sales model. Especially given they've been around too long at this point to be playing the "little guy startup" card.
Last edited by: Dunbar: Apr 16, 15 12:33
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [buzz] [ In reply to ]
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No game. CC number typed in word so you can copy and paste. Shipping and billing addresses saved in your Flo account.... Hit the refresh button a couple seconds before the timer gets to 0. I was in and out and the clock still said 12:00. I got a 60/90 combo no problem.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [cmtri] [ In reply to ]
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but that's ridiculous.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [buzz] [ In reply to ]
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That's what I did.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [cmtri] [ In reply to ]
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One thing I will say about FLO is that they bend over backwards to help out people on the back end. I spent an hour last night on facetime with one of the owners who was walking me through some troubleshooting ideas for my back wheel (it just needs to be trued) Really, really great people.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
Power13 wrote:
Now, for grins & giggles, let's assume they raise the price to $1500 and demand stays the same, but their sell-through rate slows slightly (sell out in a few days vs. minutes). Their overhead remains largely the same, so their profitability just went up by 50%, or $50,000. No extra work, no additional promotional cost, nothing....just adjusting the pricing to correctly reflect market demand.


That's a big assumption on demand if they raised prices 50%. You can get the Swiss Side Hadron for <$1k and it's lighter than a set of 60's. Or a complete set of carbon clinchers from Boyd, November etc. for $1500. A ~$500 custom built Kinlin 31t wheelset makes a compelling alternative to the Flo 30. I've never understood the Flo sales model. Especially given they've been around too long at this point to be playing the "little guy startup" card.

You saw the part where I said "for big, easy numbers", right? I don't think they can raise their prices 50% overnight and maintain demand.....but it makes illustrative purposes easier.

And they are still very much a "little guy startup".....just because they have sold a fair amount of wheels doesn't mean that they have made a lot of money or have huge resources now....which further illustrates the point Jack and I are making.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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I'd like to see them on Shark Tank
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [cmtri] [ In reply to ]
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Yep, that's what I did too. Missed out on the last one because I was travelling, but got my 60/90 clydesdale set today. Logged in to my existing account before the sale and I had my CC # ready to paste.

Just for fun I also refreshed shortly before the timer hit 0 and it let me in.

Woo-hoo!


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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [stillrollin] [ In reply to ]
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Ditto on shark tank
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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I think Jack's point was well made. When using hard numbers in a hypothetical, though, you shouldn't be surprised when people bring up points that touch on elasticity of demand and whether those numbers seem reasonable to them.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [cmtri] [ In reply to ]
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Exactly. Got my front 60 order in just fine, though I must admit the ardrenaline was pumping a little.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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They may have some sort of stochastic and unpredictable arrangement with the manufacturer in order to keep costs lower.

Like the factory makes their wheels when they have spare capacity.

I dunno

Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.



Kat Hunter reports on the San Dimas Stage Race from inside the GC winning team
Aeroweenie.com -Compendium of Aero Data and Knowledge
Freelance sports & outdoors writer Kathryn Hunter
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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I've wondered about that - part of the deal with changing that relationship would be having steady predictable demand which this lottery does not accommodate.

Again, I'm not price sensitive - at least to the extent that I have options between Flo and Zipp's that allow me to purchase on my terms. i'm betting that that applies to far more of their customers and if I were sat on a business where there's clearly demand which is not reducing, i'd re-examine my sales methodology

I've a custom bike on order - the particular builder has a long weight and has won the usual national custom builder awards - I paid 50% up front to hold a place in the queue and I now wait.

Vanilla is, I'm guessing still shut for orders and an alternative is speedvagen - thats not a lottery. It seems when there's demand - there would be other ways of structuring the ordering process
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Joe Public] [ In reply to ]
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Joe Public wrote:
I think Jack's point was well made. When using hard numbers in a hypothetical, though, you shouldn't be surprised when people bring up points that touch on elasticity of demand and whether those numbers seem reasonable to them.

Well then you also have to question their reading comprehension when you clearly point out that the numbers are "big, easy" numbers and based on assumptions to illustrate a point.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I finally gave up on FLO and ended up getting a HED jet Plus disc for less the $500 and a Jet 4 for $375 on e-bay. Both brand new and perfect. After trying several orders, I just decide to try another venue and it worked out over the winter vs. waiting on another FLO order attempt and disappointment.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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Got 90/90. it seemed as if 90s were sold out within 2 minutes
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

They addressed this in their blog some time ago. I don't recall the specifics, and am too lazy to look it up, but recall something about the credit card processor refusing to deliver the cash until they shipped the goods.

Scott
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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If you are looking for something like a Flo 30 check out the Boyd Altamont. They actually hold inventory...what a concept.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Power13 wrote:
copperman wrote:
jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"


You are right in econs 101 sense.

The thing is.. they would lose the hype that they have now "MUST BUY FAST OR IT SELL OUT"

If they were always available.. but a flo disc was $899 or $999... how many would sell?


The question is not "how many would sell?" (The answer, BTW, is "exactly what the demand is' Wink). The question is "how much more profit could they generate?"

One could make a case that they would still sell the same amount as they sell now (demand greatly out strips supply)....so for argument's sake, let's go with that assumption (since this is Econ 101, you always make assumptions!!)

For easy, round numbers, let's say they sell 1,000 wheelsets in each sale. Further, let's assume that they make $100 in profit for each wheelset. (totally making that up....have zero idea what their profitability is). So for each sale, they are making $100,000 in profit.

Now, for grins & giggles, let's assume they raise the price to $1500 and demand stays the same, but their sell-through rate slows slightly (sell out in a few days vs. minutes). Their overhead remains largely the same, so their profitability just went up by 50%, or $50,000. No extra work, no additional promotional cost, nothing....just adjusting the pricing to correctly reflect market demand.

The guys at FLO have been pretty open about not taking in outside investments, but also being somewhat cash-strapped. I respect trying to hold to their ideals, but access to cash to invest in their company is sitting right in front of them.

Not that it matters, because it's all hypothetical, but in your above example, what was the starting price you assumed? $1000? Because if they made $100 profit at $1000 sale price, and then raised the price to $1500, wouldn't they then be making $600 profit per sale? That's a lot more dineros in the bank.

Maybe also they recognize that part of their success is being affordable, and they want to stay true to that successful tactic in what is a competitive market. If they priced themselves closer to the higher priced competition, it is almost guaranteed their sales would drop.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [TriMike] [ In reply to ]
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TriMike wrote:
If you are looking for something like a Flo 30 check out the Boyd Altamont. They actually hold inventory...what a concept.

I can vouch for the Boyd's, they are nice wheels, the altamont is very well made. Great training wheel or crit racing wheel.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
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Kay Serrar wrote:
Power13 wrote:
copperman wrote:
jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"


You are right in econs 101 sense.

The thing is.. they would lose the hype that they have now "MUST BUY FAST OR IT SELL OUT"

If they were always available.. but a flo disc was $899 or $999... how many would sell?


The question is not "how many would sell?" (The answer, BTW, is "exactly what the demand is' Wink). The question is "how much more profit could they generate?"

One could make a case that they would still sell the same amount as they sell now (demand greatly out strips supply)....so for argument's sake, let's go with that assumption (since this is Econ 101, you always make assumptions!!)

For easy, round numbers, let's say they sell 1,000 wheelsets in each sale. Further, let's assume that they make $100 in profit for each wheelset. (totally making that up....have zero idea what their profitability is). So for each sale, they are making $100,000 in profit.

Now, for grins & giggles, let's assume they raise the price to $1500 and demand stays the same, but their sell-through rate slows slightly (sell out in a few days vs. minutes). Their overhead remains largely the same, so their profitability just went up by 50%, or $50,000. No extra work, no additional promotional cost, nothing....just adjusting the pricing to correctly reflect market demand.

The guys at FLO have been pretty open about not taking in outside investments, but also being somewhat cash-strapped. I respect trying to hold to their ideals, but access to cash to invest in their company is sitting right in front of them.


Not that it matters, because it's all hypothetical, but in your above example, what was the starting price you assumed? $1000? Because if they made $100 profit at $1000 sale price, and then raised the price to $1500, wouldn't they then be making $600 profit per sale? That's a lot more dineros in the bank.

yeah, but their profitability still goes up by $50,000K. You are correct that their total profitability would be $600 / wheelset, but the incremental profit would be $500 / wheelset.

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Maybe also they recognize that part of their success is being affordable, and they want to stay true to that successful tactic in what is a competitive market. If they priced themselves closer to the higher priced competition, it is almost guaranteed their sales would drop.

There is a lot of area between those two extremes.....they can raise their prices to better increase profitability and still be extremely affordable vs. the competition. And again, based on demand and the number of people getting shut out, I don't think their actual sales woudl drop....IOW, they would still sell out.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Still think you mean $500,000 not $50,000 (1000 units x $500 extra profit)
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"
The only thing consumers hate worse than waiting in line or products being unavailable is variable pricing. All sorts of products are difficult to purchase at first until supply catches up with demand. Apple could easily charge a premium for a new iPhone the first month after it is released but they know that would alienate consumers. Flo wheels are just taking a little longer than most products to catch up up to demand.

The good news is the Flo 60 wheelset I am selling is probably holding its value a little better :)
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered.

That is what they did in their very first order back in 2012. I waited 4-1/2 Months to get my wheels. They said they don't want to do it that way because people end up cancelling their orders, and they are afraid (right or not) that they would get stuck with wheels.

Not so much free hype when you just order a wheel and wait 18-20 weeks to get them.

Proud Member of Chris McDonald's 2018 Big Sexy Race Team "That which doesn't kill me, will only make me stronger"
Blog-Twitter-Instagram-Race Reports - 2018 Races: IM Florida 70.3, IM Raleigh 70.3, IM 70.3 World Championships - South Africa, IM North Carolina 70.3
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Kay Serrar] [ In reply to ]
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Kay Serrar wrote:
Still think you mean $500,000 not $50,000 (1000 units x $500 extra profit)

Meh....only an extra zero. Wink

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Power13 wrote:
Well then you also have to question their reading comprehension when you clearly point out that the numbers are "big, easy" numbers and based on assumptions to illustrate a point.

My point was that 50% was not a realistic number because of competition. You should have used 10-20% if you want to WAG some numbers. It's not just the limited supply that's at issue. It's the gamble you take to even successfully order FLO Wheels. Look at Williams wheels as a comparison. They are sold out of their carbon clinchers @$1200/set (basically on par with Zipp 404's in the wind tunnel) but you can order them right now on the website and they give you an estimated ship date.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
Power13 wrote:
Well then you also have to question their reading comprehension when you clearly point out that the numbers are "big, easy" numbers and based on assumptions to illustrate a point.

My point was that 50% was not a realistic number because of competition. You should have used 10-20% if you want to WAG some numbers. It's not just the limited supply that's at issue. It's the gamble you take to even successfully order FLO Wheels. Look at Williams wheels as a comparison. They are sold out of their carbon clinchers @$1200/set (basically on par with Zipp 404's in the wind tunnel) but you can order them right now on the website and they give you an estimated ship date.

Did you hear a loud "whoosh" over your head recently?

Pick any damn number you want....I clearly stated what I was doing and why. It wasn't meant to be a study in price elasticity.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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You're still missing the point. They probably can't raise prices as much as people here seem to think. And this same FLO pre-order hoopla has been going on for what 3-4 years now? I'm sure it's great for the owners of FLO because they don't need to give away a portion of their company to build up inventory. But their customers/potential customers have been suffering for quite some time now. I'm not aware of any other cycling company that handles orders the way FLO does. Even just the ones who sell direct to customer.
Last edited by: Dunbar: Apr 16, 15 16:08
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Anachronism] [ In reply to ]
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PM me about those 60s you have for sale if you're being serious. I happen to be in the market.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
You're still missing the point. They probably can't raise prices as much as people here seem to think. And this same FLO pre-order hoopla has been going on for what 3-4 years now? I'm sure it's great for the owners of FLO because they don't need to give away a portion of their company to build up inventory. But their customers/potential customers have been suffering for quite some time now. I'm not aware of any other cycling company that handles orders the way FLO does. Even just the ones who sell direct to customer.

Yup, totally looks like their customers and potential customers have been suffering for quite some time now. Have they lost some sales? Sure. However, your statement is absurd.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Power13 wrote:
Joe Public wrote:
I think Jack's point was well made. When using hard numbers in a hypothetical, though, you shouldn't be surprised when people bring up points that touch on elasticity of demand and whether those numbers seem reasonable to them.


Well then you also have to question their reading comprehension when you clearly point out that the numbers are "big, easy" numbers and based on assumptions to illustrate a point.

Optimizing revenue is kinda predicated on the elasticity demand; you can't just caveat out a central assumption.

TriMike wrote:
If you are looking for something like a Flo 30 check out the Boyd Altamont. They actually hold inventory...what a concept.

Yes, let's increase our working capital needs and storage costs.

jackmott wrote:
They may have some sort of stochastic and unpredictable arrangement with the manufacturer in order to keep costs lower.

Like the factory makes their wheels when they have spare capacity.

I dunno

Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.

Probably a combination of:
- They're probably not big enough to sustain continuous production and buy time as it comes available (probably cheaper)
- Volume discounts / logistical simplicity for ocean-based shipping
- Same, except for customs declarations, etc.
- It's easier (both for them and for process) to spend a week shipping wheels than intermittently doing it
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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Damn those bastards. Running their own business the way they see fit. The audacity! We need laws in the this country to stop this kind of behavior!

Just busting your balls a little I feel for ya that stinks.
Last edited by: tigerpaws: Apr 16, 15 16:27
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [tigerpaws] [ In reply to ]
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spread the wealth!!!
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [aravilare] [ In reply to ]
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aravilare wrote:
Probably a combination of:
- They're probably not big enough to sustain continuous production and buy time as it comes available (probably cheaper)
- Volume discounts / logistical simplicity for ocean-based shipping
- Same, except for customs declarations, etc.
- It's easier (both for them and for process) to spend a week shipping wheels than intermittently doing it


They wrote a blog post about it a couple years ago. In the bike industry you basically have to predict your entire sales for the year and pay for them ahead of time. You get essentially one shot to order wheels for the next 12 months. If you overestimate sales you get stuck with unsold inventory. They could order more wheels and stock inventory but they basically admitted that they were unwilling to do that. Their sales model is specifically designed to minimize the financial risk to FLO. They defend this by saying that they would have to raise prices to stock inventory. We've already established other brands are managing to better meet customer demand while charging competitive prices. And yes, the blog post basically came off as them complaining about how hard it is to start a business.
Last edited by: Dunbar: Apr 16, 15 16:50
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
aravilare wrote:
Probably a combination of:
- They're probably not big enough to sustain continuous production and buy time as it comes available (probably cheaper)
- Volume discounts / logistical simplicity for ocean-based shipping
- Same, except for customs declarations, etc.
- It's easier (both for them and for process) to spend a week shipping wheels than intermittently doing it


They wrote a blog post about it a couple years ago. In the bike industry you basically have to predict your entire sales for the year and pay for them ahead of time. You get essentially one shot to order wheels for the next 12 months. If you overestimate sales you get stuck with unsold inventory. They could order more wheels and stock inventory but they basically admitted that they were unwilling to do that. Their sales model is specifically designed to minimize the financial risk to FLO. They defend this by saying that they would have to raise prices to stock inventory. We've already established other brands are managing to better meet customer demand while charging competitive prices. And yes, the blog post basically came off as them complaining about how hard it is to start a business.

Shocking, a business seeking to maximize its own financial interests. I bought a pair of 60/90s and their support is good. If they don't want to increase their operating leverage, that's their prerogative.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [buzz] [ In reply to ]
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buzz wrote:
but that's ridiculous.

Do you want the wheels or not?

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
You're still missing the point. They probably can't raise prices as much as people here seem to think. And this same FLO pre-order hoopla has been going on for what 3-4 years now? I'm sure it's great for the owners of FLO because they don't need to give away a portion of their company to build up inventory. But their customers/potential customers have been suffering for quite some time now. I'm not aware of any other cycling company that handles orders the way FLO does. Even just the ones who sell direct to customer.

Well, since you are hellbent on nitpicking and missing the point.....t hasn't been three or four years since they started shipping wheels.

Back on point, I am not suggesting they order enough product to start holding inventory. What I am suggesting (and have stated very clearly) is that there is a point to which they could raise prices, ease the rampant demand (and customer frustration) and still sell the wheels before they arrive. Is it $50 / wheel or $500 / wheel? Obviously it is somewhere in between those two extremes, but the point is it would increase revenue, profit and provide them with additional funds to invest in the company for product development, pay down debt or order more product or hire people or....or...or.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [aravilare] [ In reply to ]
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aravilare wrote:
Shocking, a business seeking to maximize its own financial interests. I bought a pair of 60/90s and their support is good. If they don't want to increase their operating leverage, that's their prerogative.

As I said, I get what's in it for Flo. Not so much for their customers...3 years down the line when their pre-orders still sell out in minutes. And yet their competitors somehow manage to offer wheels at competitive prices without making their customers wait for months for the potential opportunity to pre-order them.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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It does seem so simple: Increase prices or increase supply. Unfortunately it's not that simple. An increase in price could be tripped up by both cross and demand elasticity. It could also lower the value to the consumer. Increase in supply brings about an increase in average total costs. I know it's easy to think that if you sell more you make more, but it just isn't that simple.

_________________________________
The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
aravilare wrote:
Shocking, a business seeking to maximize its own financial interests. I bought a pair of 60/90s and their support is good. If they don't want to increase their operating leverage, that's their prerogative.


As I said, I get what's in it for Flo. Not so much for their customers...3 years down the line when their pre-orders still sell out in minutes. And yet their competitors somehow manage to offer wheels at competitive prices without making their customers wait for months for the potential opportunity to pre-order them.

Operating and financial leverage require capital and risk, and capital and risk cost money. Competitive is a weasel word; their competitors' prices are competitively higher. Race wheels are a non-essential good; I don't understand how you ascribe so much value to being able to instantly order some wheels.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [buzz] [ In reply to ]
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cmtri wrote:
No game. CC number typed in word so you can copy and paste. Shipping and billing addresses saved in your Flo account.... Hit the refresh button a couple seconds before the timer gets to 0. I was in and out and the clock still said 12:00. I got a 60/90 combo no problem.

Outside of the CC number being typed out already, this is exactly what I did. I bought a 60/90 set today & had it in my cart & started the checkout process before the timer actually hit zero. I had two browser windows open on the 60 front & 90 back pages (which saved me about 30 seconds of having to navigate to the second one after buying the first). When the timer hit 2 minutes, I started refreshing both pages until it let me add to cart (roughly with under a minute left on the clock). Picked my sticker color, hub type, told them I'm not a clydesdale, and I was ready to pay. I had already walked myself through their checkout process on a dry run earlier with a shirt, so I knew what to expect. I was done & had a confirmation email of my order at 1:01 PM EST.

I went back just to check out a rear disc & I was able to add one of those to the cart too. I'm going to hold off until the next order before I get one, but at least I know the method to get one.


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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Meathead] [ In reply to ]
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I also think that it's funny to see people argue that they need to raise prices to meet demand. Have any of you even read the first paragraphs on their "About Us" page? No? I will save you the time...

http://www.flocycling.com/about.php
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Chris was in the market for race wheels. He knew there were basically two categories of wheels. First, there were the expensive, wind tunnel tested, aerodynamically superior wheels and second, there were the more affordable deep section wheels, that lacked wind tunnel testing and design. In the end he chose the first option and paid more money for the faster wheels.

When the wheels arrived we immediately felt there was a more affordable way to produce them. Why did leading edge design and affordability have to be mutually exclusive? Why were the fastest wheels in the world only available to those who were willing or able to spend thousands of dollars? As mechanical engineers we were determined to answer these questions. We wanted well designed, fast wheels to be available to a much larger percentage of athletes.
The basis of their entire business plan was built on affordable wheels that the average athlete who could not afford a set of Zipps or HEDs could obtain. For them to have garnered the following they have today would be completely lost if all of a sudden they were charging close to those two. After all, they are aluminum rims attached to carbon fairings which are heavier than the pricier wheels, but that's the tradeoff for affordability.

We can argue economics all day, but the way I see it, the issue is not the price. They have their sweet spot there, and moving out of that sweet spot means abandoning their business model and potentially losing customers to the upper competition or another new competitor who will come in behind them to fill that space. Their issue is staffing, cash flow, & supply chain. They are a small two person operation with a very loyal following. They wisely outsource the hard parts like order fulfillment. But they have not gone the route of staffing up to become a larger operation. They could do that, find another big investor, and quintuple their next order from their manufacturer, but in the end, it's their business, their model, and their wheels. If you are willing to play the game they have so strategically created, good for you. If you hate it, go buy some Zipps.
Last edited by: Meathead: Apr 16, 15 18:03
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.

Thats exactly how they did their first couple of pre orders. I was on the very first pre order and had to pay up front and wait 5 months for delivery while the wheels were produced then shipped over. At least now if you place an order you get them within a week or two.

Twitter@Forsey37
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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This is the same conversation we have after every FLO sale. I am sure there are a lot of new Slowtwitchers that haven't been a part of those debates but that is what the search function is for.

The truth is that nobody on this board (other than the FLO owners who do occasional post here) truly understand their business model and what they are trying to accomplish. I guarantee you that it is not as simple as supply and demand. But you all can pretend to know how easy it is to run a successful company in an ultra competitive low margin industry.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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This is why I recently fulfilled my budget purchase by snagging some used Zipps at my leisure. This all reminds me too much of the bum's rush that happens every year at Walmart when they unlock the doors on Black Friday.
Last edited by: windy: Apr 16, 15 19:23
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"

same to some WTC ironman races i suppose...... :\
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [winchester] [ In reply to ]
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they don't need equity (or capital). which (having not watched the show) the sharks bargain for in exchange for help?

36 kona qualifiers 2006-'23 - 3 Kona Podiums - 4 OA IM AG wins - 5 IM AG wins - 18 70.3 AG wins
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [MarkyV] [ In reply to ]
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MarkyV wrote:
they don't need equity (or capital). which (having not watched the show) the sharks bargain for in exchange for help?

It seems like they are using the proceeds from one order to pay for the next, and each order is extremely limited. I would think that an influx of capital would allow them to increase the size of their orders. My guess is that they don't want to give up the equity they have in the company in exchange for that investment.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Meathead] [ In reply to ]
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Meathead wrote:
It seems like they are using the proceeds from one order to pay for the next, and each order is extremely limited. I would think that an influx of capital would allow them to increase the size of their orders. My guess is that they don't want to give up the equity they have in the company in exchange for that investment.


Exactly, they are making a choice to limit supply in order to sell the wheels ASAP when their supplier ships them. This limits their risk of sitting on unsold inventory and allows them to pay for orders as they go. They are also growing sales at 50% per year so they could certainly put the capital to good use. The sharks would tell them that the are leaving sales on the table because they don't have the money to finance inventory.
Last edited by: Dunbar: Apr 16, 15 20:44
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Economist] [ In reply to ]
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Economist wrote:
It does seem so simple: Increase prices or increase supply. Unfortunately it's not that simple. An increase in price could be tripped up by both cross and demand elasticity. It could also lower the value to the consumer. Increase in supply brings about an increase in average total costs. I know it's easy to think that if you sell more you make more, but it just isn't that simple.

You saw the points I made about determine what the correct point is to raise prices to, right? I also said nothing about an increase in supply. Once revenue and profits increase and they invest properly, they can investigate increasing supply.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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badgertri wrote:
This is the same conversation we have after every FLO sale. I am sure there are a lot of new Slowtwitchers that haven't been a part of those debates but that is what the search function is for.

The truth is that nobody on this board (other than the FLO owners who do occasional post here) truly understand their business model and what they are trying to accomplish. I guarantee you that it is not as simple as supply and demand. But you all can pretend to know how easy it is to run a successful company in an ultra competitive low margin industry.

Hmmmm....besides 10 years in the bike business, I compete on a daily basis in a low-margin, high competition business. A level of competitiveness that far exceeds what I saw in the bike biz. So far I have doubled our sales, brought us to profitably and last year increased profit by over 150% (I won't bother telling you how much I increased profits the year before because it is absurdly high and sounds completely unbelievable).

To a certain degree, it is all just widgets and strategies that are successful cross all product categories.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"

That goes against the entire reason we started the company. We started the company because we feel that high quality aero wheels can be affordable. We want to continue running the company that way. In 3 years we haven't had a single price increase because we are sticking to our founding principles. Raising our prices just makes us every other wheel company.

Also, in October and December we couldn't sell our wheels. They were available for days and weeks on end. Having the "magic" stock number at all times is tough. It's even harder when you have to keep paying the bills. Sure "keep raising prices", or "just order more" sounds so easy... I used to think that way before we started our company. The fact is it's not as easy as it should be. Even the big companies run out of stock. The magic is in making sure you order just enough wheels to keep paying the bills and not too many that you bankrupt yourself. Add a heavy product development budget on top of that, plus dozens of other things I haven't even mentioned and it's easy to see it's a moving target.

Are we perfect? Absolutely not, but it's not so simple that "just doing x" fixes everything.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

Because we tried that when we first started the company and people complained much more than they do now. There are so many problems when you do this. Let's say you want wheels. You think I want to order now so I get my wheels at "x" date. Well we can't guarantee "x" date because there are thousands of other people just like you. So what happens when we take your money and you find out that you won't get your wheels for 6-8 months? If you're nice you cancel your order right away, but what most people do is they sit on it just long enough until we send all of their money to the factory. Then after 60 days or so of waiting they tell us they want their money back because they are tired of waiting, and oops, we don't have it. Sure... say no refunds, but ask me how that would turn out? We pride ourselves on offering the best customer service we can. Taking peoples money and not giving it back isn't something we are comfortable doing.

What I've learned during the process of doing this is that people aren't upset about our "system" they are upset because they didn't get what they wanted when they wanted it. They often say well if you did it "this" way then everyone would be happy, but they don't assume they'll be the guy waiting 8 months. I can assure you that asking them to wait 8 months won't make them happy either.

Look I know what we do isn't perfect, but keeping a business from going bankrupt while managing all of the moving parts is much harder than most realize. I'm not saying this to say "I know more than you do"... I'm saying this because before I started FLO I would have never understood the problem either. When you look at it from the other side, it's not always so cut and dry.


It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I just replied to Jackmott explaining why we haven't raised our prices. I won't repeat it here again.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.

What we do is not for everyone. We completely understand that. But our vision was to offer a really good product at a really good price and we are sticking to the belief for now.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
They may have some sort of stochastic and unpredictable arrangement with the manufacturer in order to keep costs lower.

Like the factory makes their wheels when they have spare capacity.

I dunno

None of that. We are the biggest buyer at our factory and we share the factory with some pretty big names.

Andrewmc wrote:
I dont understand their model at all. I don't understand why they don't take 100% cash up front for shipments and everything is shipped in the order in which it is ordered. That gives them operating cash-flow and means you don't have to deal with the lottery type ordering situation that we have now.

It also seems that they could adjust their prices to manage demand appropriately, or do some combination of both - have greater operating cash flow from running a waiting list whilst also increasing prices for margin.

I'd have ordered some, but could not be dealing with ordering wheels like I'm on ticket master, so I went with an alternative and paid more, but it was more straightforward and that was worth the difference in cost.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Enough ST'ing...get those wheels a shippin' out!

=)

Formerly TriBrad02
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
You're still missing the point. They probably can't raise prices as much as people here seem to think. And this same FLO pre-order hoopla has been going on for what 3-4 years now? I'm sure it's great for the owners of FLO because they don't need to give away a portion of their company to build up inventory. But their customers/potential customers have been suffering for quite some time now. I'm not aware of any other cycling company that handles orders the way FLO does. Even just the ones who sell direct to customer.

From October through to the end of December last year we had stock for weeks on end. Nobody wanted the wheels. Right now demand is ultra high and we sold out quicker than we have in the past. Sure having the perfect number of wheels in stock may seem easy, but it's not. It's a constantly moving target. You never know how many wheels will sell at any given point in time. Sometimes we are right on, sometimes we order too much, and other times not enough. Apple runs out of stock, the big bike companies run out of stock, car companies run out of stock etc. In order to stay in business you need to find a balance. Again, what we do isn't perfect. I'll never say it is. But I can assure you it's a little more than hoopla.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Dunbar] [ In reply to ]
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Dunbar wrote:
aravilare wrote:
Probably a combination of:
- They're probably not big enough to sustain continuous production and buy time as it comes available (probably cheaper)
- Volume discounts / logistical simplicity for ocean-based shipping
- Same, except for customs declarations, etc.
- It's easier (both for them and for process) to spend a week shipping wheels than intermittently doing it


They wrote a blog post about it a couple years ago. In the bike industry you basically have to predict your entire sales for the year and pay for them ahead of time.

That is not true. You do not pay for everything ahead of time.

You get essentially one shot to order wheels for the next 12 months. If you overestimate sales you get stuck with unsold inventory.

Getting stuck with unsold inventory is the fastest way to go bankrupt, and that means FLO goes away. Since we are the owners of FLO it's in our best interest to make sure it doesn't go bankrupt. That's why we do our best to not overestimate inventory. We don't always order the perfect amount of wheels but we do our best. For example, from October to the end of December, our wheels were available for weeks on end.

They could order more wheels and stock inventory but they basically admitted that they were unwilling to do that. Their sales model is specifically designed to minimize the financial risk to FLO.

I'm not sure if you've ever ran a business but minimizing financial risk is pretty much the name of the game. Why would we make risky financial decisions and set ourselves up for failure?

And yes, the blog post basically came off as them complaining about how hard it is to start a business.

You see here is the problem. People say things like you've said above. I spend the time to address their points first hand on forums and in blog articles and then they turn that around and say that we are "complaining" about how hard it is to run a business. That's not what I'm doing. I'm talking to our customers. I'm addressing their questions openly and honestly. How exactly can I win with someone like you? What can I say to make you happy?


There are several ways to address comments about your company. We could chose to not be active on forums, not address comments on social media accounts, and basically ignore customer service. We on the other hand place communicating with our customers and customer service at the top of our list. We answer peoples questions and address their concerns because we feel they matter. I think our communication and customer service reputation speaks for itself. For example, I'm addressing you personally right now at 11pm at night. I've been answering emails, social media messages and forum message for the last 13 hours. I know, I know there I go complaining again...


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Canadian wrote:
From October through to the end of December last year we had stock for weeks on end.

Yep, got a pair of 60s with no difficulty in November. I'm no wheel expert but I really like them.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Economist] [ In reply to ]
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Economist wrote:
It does seem so simple: Increase prices or increase supply. Unfortunately it's not that simple. An increase in price could be tripped up by both cross and demand elasticity. It could also lower the value to the consumer. Increase in supply brings about an increase in average total costs. I know it's easy to think that if you sell more you make more, but it just isn't that simple.

I agree with all of the above.
However, I would wager that a near negligible number of potential customers would feel alienated or put off by a price increase of say $25/wheel.
This would barely constitute a price increase once you consider inflation since they started selling a few years ago.
They would still sell out, it might just take 3 minutes instead of 2 ;)

What this would give them though is $112,500pa of pure profit (based on an estimate of 5 pre orders of 900 wheels each year) to invest in the business.

Personally, I'm a fan of FLO and the ethics of the Thornham brothers.
They set out with a fairly basic aim of providing good quality aero wheels at an affordable price and they have stuck to that at their own expense.
Sure, some people find it frustrating that they can't get a set when they want. But the fact remains that they have provided customers with an inexpensive option at a time when we were being told that aero wheels needed to cost the earth.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Liaman] [ In reply to ]
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Liaman wrote:

Personally, I'm a fan of FLO and the ethics of the Thornham brothers.
They set out with a fairly basic aim of providing good quality aero wheels at an affordable price and they have stuck to that at their own expense.
Sure, some people find it frustrating that they can't get a set when they want. But the fact remains that they have provided customers with an inexpensive option at a time when we were being told that aero wheels needed to cost the earth.

Agree on all points.
I have a lot of hours on a set of Flo 60's since lucking out and nabbing a pair in 2012. The wheels have been through all sorts of training in all seasons and conditions and have not needed to be trued yet. I tried twice for a pair of Flo 30's and missed those. I did not make me mad that I could not get a pair or upset for how the guys go about selling Flo wheels. I simply went to a friend and had a pair of HED Belgium wheels built that cost me a little more.

For the price that I paid for the Flo 60's and how they have held up it was a good value.
FWIW, I've never won a bid on ebay for things I wanted and didn't get upset. At least I got a pair of Flo's once :-)
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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I just wanted to say I have really enjoyed watching the entrepreneurial spirit go from a seed to where you are now. Love to see this and wish you guys the best as you move forward!
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Love it, Chris. Keep up the good work! The armchair business people on this forum will continue to hate...you'll continue to provide a great product at a great price with great customer service.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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badgertri wrote:
Love it, Chris. Keep up the good work! The armchair business people on this forum will continue to hate...you'll continue to provide a great product at a great price with great customer service.

x10
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"
I like their prices the way they are.... we have plenty of overpriced stuff we can blow our money on and they are doing well.

I hope to snag a set of 30s one of these days for my road bike.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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badgertri wrote:
Love it, Chris. Keep up the good work! The armchair business people on this forum will continue to hate...you'll continue to provide a great product at a great price with great customer service.

Hmmm.....or, possibly people with experience are offering advice in the hopes that FLO can survive and stop walking the financial tightrope.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in. The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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The fact that I have interacted directly with both Chris & Jon on numerous occasions, to the point where they almost feel like personal friends, speaks volumes about what they are doing is the right thing & why they are so successful. And they did this with me not even being a customer until yesterday. So while plenty of folks will complain or want to armchair CEO their business model, I'd say they are doing pretty well for themselves & anyone who thinks it is misguided, they can go hang their own shingle & start their own business.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
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It's not a lottery though, Andrew. It's a sales proces that moves very suddenly, very quickly, and you have to be organized in a pretty specific way in order to get in and purchase.

There's plenty of info on these boards about how to get in there on time and order.

-------------------------------
´Get the most aero and light bike you can get. With the aero advantage you can be saving minutes and with the weight advantage you can be saving seconds. In a race against the clock both matter.´

BMANX
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
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Power13 wrote:
Hmmmm....besides 10 years in the bike business, I compete on a daily basis in a low-margin, high competition business. A level of competitiveness that far exceeds what I saw in the bike biz. So far I have doubled our sales, brought us to profitably and last year increased profit by over 150% (I won't bother telling you how much I increased profits the year before because it is absurdly high and sounds completely unbelievable).

To a certain degree, it is all just widgets and strategies that are successful cross all product categories.

Out of curiosity, are you doing this with your personal capital or someone else's capital? I'm in the same boat as you. I run a major program for a large retailer & in my first year in this role, I grew net sales (measured in the 8 figure range) by over 250% while keeping profit margins the same. I took a lot of risks & had super high days & super low days along the way. But in the end, if I tanked the program, and I got fired, I'd just go find another job. I would not be financially wiped out. All because I am working with someone else's capital.

I think that's what a lot of people are missing. This is two guys running a business with their own money as the lifeblood of it. This is not someone hired to come in & play around with house money.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Power13 wrote:
Well, since you are hellbent on nitpicking and missing the point.....t hasn't been three or four years since they started shipping wheels.

How pedantic of you, you are right though. They started shipping in May 2012. So close... not close enough for Pedantic Boy though.

How does Danny Hart sit down with balls that big?
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Barchettaman] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
I guarantee - simply by the fact they sold out, that there are those that attempted in every sense to follow the procedure's and missed out. So simply following them and being organised is no guarantee of success.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
I'll just say this: I like the company and how its run, and when it came time for me to order my wheels I was prepared for it and did it without issue. So I have no complaints. The fact of the matter is Flo makes a great product at a great price, and I can see how continually missing the opportunity to become a customer would be vexing, and inspire complaints. There's also the uber-capitalist side of complaints, whereby people don't agree with the actual business model and operating strategy, as if there is only one right way to run a business.

There is nothing wrong with:
a) sticking to your founding principles and having a mission to deliver good value to customers and serve a particular niche within the market, even if it means compromising profitability and growth
and
b) being risk averse and playing it safe (i.e. choosing security and stability over high risk/high reward gambling)

I understand that there are many people and businesses that are philosophically opposed to both of those ideas, and it may be that a different viewpoint is a threat to their worldview and that inspires ire. I for one like the fact that Flo does things a little bit differently, and I assume that at this point they know what they're doing, and understand their own business. If they do things a certain way, they have their reasons. The free market works in such a way that if someone finds that offensive, they don't have to be a Flo customer, there are many other options for them.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Canadian wrote:
We on the other hand place communicating with our customers and customer service at the top of our list. We answer peoples questions and address their concerns because we feel they matter. I think our communication and customer service reputation speaks for itself.

I just wanted to let you know that a big factor in my decision to buy Flo wheels was the amount of information you have shared on this forum, on your own forum, and in your blog posts. Keep up the great work. I am really excited to receive my new Flo 60s.

Also, personally I found the ordering process to be easier than some of the other wheel makers. I found the process transparent, well-communicated, and simple to use. It would be great if one could order direct from the website of every bike component manufacturer!
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [ClayDavis] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
ClayDavis wrote:
I'll just say this: I like the company and how its run, and when it came time for me to order my wheels I was prepared for it and did it without issue. So I have no complaints. The fact of the matter is Flo makes a great product at a great price, and I can see how continually missing the opportunity to become a customer would be vexing, and inspire complaints. There's also the uber-capitalist side of complaints, whereby people don't agree with the actual business model and operating strategy, as if there is only one right way to run a business.

There is nothing wrong with:
a) sticking to your founding principles and having a mission to deliver good value to customers and serve a particular niche within the market, even if it means compromising profitability and growth
and
b) being risk averse and playing it safe (i.e. choosing security and stability over high risk/high reward gambling)

I understand that there are many people and businesses that are philosophically opposed to both of those ideas, and it may be that a different viewpoint is a threat to their worldview and that inspires ire. I for one like the fact that Flo does things a little bit differently, and I assume that at this point they know what they're doing, and understand their own business. If they do things a certain way, they have their reasons. The free market works in such a way that if someone finds that offensive, they don't have to be a Flo customer, there are many other options for them.

I agree on all points. It's refreshing to see a bike-related company that isn't about completely maximizing profit and is basically giving something (cheaper-than-they-should-be wheels) back to the community. From my experience, it's surprisingly easy to get into a business position where your principles might want to reduce prices, but either business reasons or other stakeholders force you to keep them at a profit-maximizing level. There's nothing wrong with a business run on principles and not sheer profit. And for the ultra-capitalists out there, it's especially not wrong: nothing stopping them from taking the risk and making their own low-cost-wheel corporation at the same price point. If FLO is leaving money on the table, go and take it.

STAC Zero Trainer - Zero noise, zero tire contact, zero moving parts. Suffer in Silence starting fall 2016
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
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jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"

Seriously.

I had a piece of crap old VW Jetta that I wanted to sell before a cross country move. So I put it up on Craigslist for $1,000 and got like 30 emails in 2 hours. I almost reposted it at $1600 to see if I'd get 1 person willing at that price.

Want: 58cm Cervelo Soloist. PM me if you have one to sell

Vintage Cervelo: A Resource
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
My transition was 2 minutes. Copy and paste all info, know what you want, click fast.

My receipt is for 12:02. With a 15 second lag for confirmation of CC info.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jeremyb] [ In reply to ]
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jeremyb wrote:
jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"


Seriously.

I had a piece of crap old VW Jetta that I wanted to sell before a cross country move. So I put it up on Craigslist for $1,000 and got like 30 emails in 2 hours. I almost reposted it at $1600 to see if I'd get 1 person willing at that price.

I always try to post stuff on Craigs list for a little higher than I want. This way when I get an offer lower, everyone is happy.

.

Dave Campbell | Facebook | @DaveECampbell | h2ofun@h2ofun.net

Boom Nutrition code 19F4Y3 $5 off 24 pack box | Bionic Runner | PowerCranks | Velotron | Spruzzamist

Lions don't lose sleep worrying about the sheep
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [BLeP] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
BLeP wrote:
Power13 wrote:
Well, since you are hellbent on nitpicking and missing the point.....t hasn't been three or four years since they started shipping wheels.

How pedantic of you, you are right though. They started shipping in May 2012. So close... not close enough for Pedantic Boy though.

Seems you completely missed the point of why I made that comment....RIF.

Chicago Cubs - 2016 WORLD SERIES Champions!!!!

"If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin." - Samuel Adams
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [tkos] [ In reply to ]
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tkos wrote:
I guess you could buy their FLO30 rims and just build up a pair.


Best Idea ever. I've racked up a little over 2000 miles on the pair I built and couldn't be happier. Flo30, dtswiss350 hubs, sapim cx ray spokes in 28h/20h really makes for one rigid set of wheels thats a blast to ride everyday in any condition. :)

Price hurt a bit though :(
Last edited by: masa757: Apr 17, 15 7:59
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [prattzc] [ In reply to ]
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prattzc wrote:
My transition was 2 minutes.

Did you stop and put on a shirt?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Goosedog] [ In reply to ]
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Compressions socks.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jeremyb] [ In reply to ]
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jeremyb wrote:
jackmott wrote:
I want to sell my services to them as a consultant.
"Guys we are going to raise prices until we sell stuff at the same rate that we make stuff"


Seriously.

I had a piece of crap old VW Jetta that I wanted to sell before a cross country move. So I put it up on Craigslist for $1,000 and got like 30 emails in 2 hours. I almost reposted it at $1600 to see if I'd get 1 person willing at that price.

Prob not. A friend of mine was trying to sell a crappy old car for $1400. Got a few vague nibbles over the course of 2 months. He dropped the price to $1000 and had sold it 90 mins later (with cash in his pocket) with 2 other potential buyers very keen too. Seems there is a fine price point for crappy old cars.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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I got my order in for rear 90. When I get it I'm putting it in ST Classifieds for $1000 + shipping + PayPal fees.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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what about making the lottery thing for sale prices, and have higher prices that people can just order normally?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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badgertri wrote:
Love it, Chris. Keep up the good work! The armchair business people on this forum will continue to hate...you'll continue to provide a great product at a great price with great customer service.

I'd be careful generalizing like that. I'm not sure about some of the others commenting, but I have over 15 years of experience in corporate banking. I have doctorate education in economics. I primarily teach economics, but with my experience, I still teach corporate finance classes at the MBA level. When I'm not teaching or researching, I'm working with my clients on bringing new products to market, obtaining capital, obtaining proper capital structure, etc.

I haven't made any real comments on FLO's business model since I don't know all the details. I can see why the average consumer is confused. We are use to being able to purchase what we want when we want it. <--Whole bunch of w's in that sentence.

Some people here have made some insightful comments others have made comments out of frustration. My point to you is to just be careful labeling somebody an 'armchair business people' when in fact many could be extremely qualified to make some comments.

_________________________________
The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Economist] [ In reply to ]
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I thought it was only thirteen year old girls that say "........continue to hate"

hate - feel intense or passionate dislike for (someone).
"the boys hate each other"
synonyms:loathe, detest, despise, dislike, abhor, execrate; More
I am pretty certain that not one person here has expressed a hatred for Flo nor its owners.........

i'm also pretty certain that there are numerous people qualified to offer a view as business owners, academics, researchers - the breadth of experience on here runs the gamut and I'm certain that there have been numerous people in the same situation as Flo albeit in the same or different sectors
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Power13] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Power13 wrote:
badgertri wrote:
This is the same conversation we have after every FLO sale. I am sure there are a lot of new Slowtwitchers that haven't been a part of those debates but that is what the search function is for.

The truth is that nobody on this board (other than the FLO owners who do occasional post here) truly understand their business model and what they are trying to accomplish. I guarantee you that it is not as simple as supply and demand. But you all can pretend to know how easy it is to run a successful company in an ultra competitive low margin industry.


Hmmmm....besides 10 years in the bike business, I compete on a daily basis in a low-margin, high competition business. A level of competitiveness that far exceeds what I saw in the bike biz. So far I have doubled our sales, brought us to profitably and last year increased profit by over 150% (I won't bother telling you how much I increased profits the year before because it is absurdly high and sounds completely unbelievable).

To a certain degree, it is all just widgets and strategies that are successful cross all product categories.

A growth of $1 to $2.5 is 150% growth in profits ;).
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [agg] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
agg wrote:
Canadian wrote:
We on the other hand place communicating with our customers and customer service at the top of our list. We answer peoples questions and address their concerns because we feel they matter. I think our communication and customer service reputation speaks for itself.


I just wanted to let you know that a big factor in my decision to buy Flo wheels was the amount of information you have shared on this forum, on your own forum, and in your blog posts. Keep up the great work. I am really excited to receive my new Flo 60s.

Also, personally I found the ordering process to be easier than some of the other wheel makers. I found the process transparent, well-communicated, and simple to use. It would be great if one could order direct from the website of every bike component manufacturer!

+1

I bought a Flo disk, Flo 90 (front) and two Flo 30 rims in November/December 2014. Had some minor problems with the disk at first, but the communication and support that followed was exceptional.

Mike
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Andrewmc wrote:
Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

Like I said, I support that decision.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

My experience tells me that people are much more likely to say something when they have something to complain about, not when they are happy.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in.

A straw? It's not even close to a straw. It's really quite black and white. Let me give you a few things to consider.


1. Credit card processing companies always favor the buyer in any transactional dispute. Most good credit card processing companies require you to have a reasonable sales and refund policy. Saying you simply won't give someones money back because you said so, doesn't fly. Upset your credit card processor too many times and you have no way to accept payments.


2. Good luck with keeping a good rating at the better business bureau. A few "these guys ripped me off complaints" later and your company really gets a black eye.


3. What happens when the customer who paid in full calls you and says my child was diagnosed with "x" and I really need the money I put down on my wheels help cover the medical expenses? Or, I just lost my job and I'm really in a hard place? Are we going to tell that guy to go jump in the lake? I guess you could if you wanted but remember points 1 and 2. In the long run you're not going to win. Plus, I don't want to be the guy doing that. The stories above are true and we realize that sometimes life throws you curveballs. We believe that helping our customers out when they are in need will only bring more business our way in the future.


4. Finally, how do you think your public image on forums and social media would look if there were multiple threads and comments stating that they took my money and won't give it back. Especially when that guy says he has a kid who was just diagnosed with cancer?


If you would like to run a business with a no refund policy I wish you luck. It's simply something we are not going to do

The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

You're assuming that I can accurately project production times 8 months or more in advance. What happens when a typhoon hits our factory, a container ship crashes, or a production run goes bad? All of which have happened to us. Even if I add time to my estimate, 8 months can easily become 8.5 or 9 months and people get upset. We've been down that road and don't want to go down it again. We believe in taking peoples money when we have the product in hand. If I was building frames myself, then I have control of everything, so the timeline model might make sense. When you produce wheels at 5 different factories you lose enough control to make projecting accurate dates difficult.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

Here's the thing. Let's say we offer a pre-order option. Let's assume using 50% of my inventory I'm now at a 16 month wait time. How exactly do we take pre-orders? Naturally, everyone wants to be the first to get their order in, but that's not possible. So we set up the "FLO" pre-order event on a first come first serve basis. Everyone rushes to get their pre-order in. Then they get an email saying congrats, you made the last group. We'll be able to get you your wheels in 16 months. Do you know what that guys does? He complains. He's upset because he expected to be in the first group OR he expected to wait a maximum of 3 months, but now he has to wait 16 months. So he comes on Slowtwitch and complains that he is in the 16 month group and cancels his order.


What I've learned is that people are mostly upset because they didn't get exactly what they wanted, when they wanted it. We live in an instant gratification society. I wanted to buy something today, I set myself up to expect it, and then when I don't get that, I'm furious and tell the world how much the guys at FLO suck.

No matter what type of sales structure we offer, somebody somewhere isn't getting what they "expected" to get, and they tell the world how terrible we are.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [cmtri] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Did the same a few orders back, got a 60/90 no problem. Get complements on the all the time.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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I agree. Great product, great prices, keep up the good work.

A lot of people might help to better understand the situation if they realized that there is a different between PRICE and COST. Flo's prices are low relative to the competition, but given the scarcity and irregular ordering process, the cost to the consumer is considerably higher. The consumer must accept not receiving the product exactly when they want, must accept the uncertainty that they might not get said product, must scour slowtwitch for ordering info, must be at their computer when the time is right, and so on. If your time is valuable, then you might not accept the opportunity cost of being a Flo customer, and instead opt to pay higher prices for greater convenience from Zipp, HED, etc. Conversely, if you value your time less highly, then your opportunity cost is lower, to the effective overall cost of a Flo wheel is lower, so you try to buy Flo.

There are many similar scenarios in other business. For example, recently I wanted to buy a bunch of high-quality ties. Two possible options were to buy a bunch of new ties from known companies that produce quality, durable, attractive ties. Whereas another option was to visit 10 thrift stores in my urban city, hunting out the great finds, accepting that there is uncertainty, that it will take an entire day or more, that the ties may not fit me properly, etc. Option 1 is expensive in price, option 2 is cheap in price, but depending on how you value the opportunity cost of your time, they might be roughly equal. In fact, since I ended up going option 1, assuming I am a rational actor, the sum cost was actually cheaper for option 1.

There is no right of wrong answer for the consumer. If you feel that the cost of Flo is too much for you, pay higher prices for wheels from another company. If it's not, try to buy Flo.
Now what is best for the company is a different matter, and as others have stated that would require way more info, which none of us have.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [ClayDavis] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
ClayDavis wrote:
I'll just say this: I like the company and how its run, and when it came time for me to order my wheels I was prepared for it and did it without issue. So I have no complaints. The fact of the matter is Flo makes a great product at a great price, and I can see how continually missing the opportunity to become a customer would be vexing, and inspire complaints. There's also the uber-capitalist side of complaints, whereby people don't agree with the actual business model and operating strategy, as if there is only one right way to run a business.

There is nothing wrong with:
a) sticking to your founding principles and having a mission to deliver good value to customers and serve a particular niche within the market, even if it means compromising profitability and growth
and
b) being risk averse and playing it safe (i.e. choosing security and stability over high risk/high reward gambling)

I understand that there are many people and businesses that are philosophically opposed to both of those ideas, and it may be that a different viewpoint is a threat to their worldview and that inspires ire. I for one like the fact that Flo does things a little bit differently, and I assume that at this point they know what they're doing, and understand their own business. If they do things a certain way, they have their reasons. The free market works in such a way that if someone finds that offensive, they don't have to be a Flo customer, there are many other options for them.

I'll start with a general comment first. There are a lot of people on here with positive things to say who seem to understand our vision. I don't only want to reply to the criticism and wanted to say thank you for the kind words.

Now to your point. I just had a long chat with my brother about this forum. Believe it or not, we care about what people say and use the comments to help with checks and balances. What you said above is exactly right. You have to have a plan and stick to it. That plan won't work for everyone, but if you keep changing what you are doing you'll never get it together.

Let me share a personal story to illustrate my point. I swam with a masters team for quiet some time. About a year after starting FLO a friend of mine on the team who swam at Stanford told me that his former team mates were starting a wetsuit company. He said they were impressed with the success of FLO and were wondering if I would talk to them about business. I agreed to take the call. Before I hung up the phone, I asked him the name of the company. He said the new company was named ROKA.

A short time after I got a call from a guy named Rob. We spoke for about 90 minutes in total and I told Rob everything I knew about starting a business in this industry. In all honesty, I'm sure that Rob took something from our conversation, but if you look at our companies today, you'd guess we'd never spoken. ROKA has taken a completely different approach to starting a business than we did. ROKA has just announced another round of funding, has to my knowledge nearly 40 employees, sponsors a long list of pro athletes, and sells through retail outlets.

Do I hate Rob because of this? Of course not. In fact I think what the guys are doing at ROKA is awesome. They have a vision, a belief and a passion and they are sticking to it. From what I can see, it's working. Our path is completely different than theirs but that is ok. There's more than one way to skin a cat. I see Rob and Kurt at a lot of the IM events and it's always great to catch up with them. They've got a great team of people and I wish them all the luck in the world.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [solitude] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
solitude wrote:
I agree. Great product, great prices, keep up the good work.

A lot of people might help to better understand the situation if they realized that there is a different between PRICE and COST. Flo's prices are low relative to the competition, but given the scarcity and irregular ordering process, the cost to the consumer is considerably higher. The consumer must accept not receiving the product exactly when they want, must accept the uncertainty that they might not get said product, must scour slowtwitch for ordering info, must be at their computer when the time is right, and so on. If your time is valuable, then you might not accept the opportunity cost of being a Flo customer, and instead opt to pay higher prices for greater convenience from Zipp, HED, etc. Conversely, if you value your time less highly, then your opportunity cost is lower, to the effective overall cost of a Flo wheel is lower, so you try to buy Flo.

There are many similar scenarios in other business. For example, recently I wanted to buy a bunch of high-quality ties. Two possible options were to buy a bunch of new ties from known companies that produce quality, durable, attractive ties. Whereas another option was to visit 10 thrift stores in my urban city, hunting out the great finds, accepting that there is uncertainty, that it will take an entire day or more, that the ties may not fit me properly, etc. Option 1 is expensive in price, option 2 is cheap in price, but depending on how you value the opportunity cost of your time, they might be roughly equal. In fact, since I ended up going option 1, assuming I am a rational actor, the sum cost was actually cheaper for option 1.

There is no right of wrong answer for the consumer. If you feel that the cost of Flo is too much for you, pay higher prices for wheels from another company. If it's not, try to buy Flo.
Now what is best for the company is a different matter, and as others have stated that would require way more info, which none of us have.

I really like what you said. The example is great.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
Quote Reply
Post deleted by Hanktri [ In reply to ]
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Hanktri] [ In reply to ]
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Hanktri wrote:
So, this was my first attempt to buy these and I was too dumb too think of the copy paste... Heart rate was pumping. Tried to buy a 60/90 and felt like it all locked up at 1:03 when my CC was trying to confirm. However, I then got an email confirming my order.... Even though the screen seems to be locked. Does the email mean I am in? I'm guessing I have set myself up for abuse and disappointment?
In Reply To:

If you got a confirmation email it sounds like your order went through. Do you have an order number?


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Yes, I do!! So, you are saying there is a chance..&#128515;
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Hanktri] [ In reply to ]
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Hanktri wrote:
Yes, I do!! So, you are saying there is a chance..&#128515;

If you have an order number you should be good. For the record, that order number looks to be a typo. I think you added an extra digit?


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Oops.. Sorry -- typo on my iPhone. That wasn't my number --- not sure what that was. Thankfully I did a better job when I was online!! Thanks. Can't wait to try them out!
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Interesting to see that Flo has substantially more facebook likes than Zipp and HED.
Last edited by: mcycle: Apr 17, 15 18:22
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [mcycle] [ In reply to ]
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ummm.....

currently Flo has 6,559 likes https://www.facebook.com/...949109778769?fref=ts
Zipp has 95,916 likes https://www.facebook.com/pages/Zipp/38574956052
and HED has 5,560 likes https://www.facebook.com/hedcycling?fref=ts

as of 9:43 PM Eastern time on 4/17/2015

Make Inside Out Sports your next online tri shop! http://www.insideoutsports.com/
Last edited by: BryanD: Apr 17, 15 18:50
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [BryanD] [ In reply to ]
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I stand corrected. This came up higher in my facebook search. Flo has a long way to go to pass Zipp in fb world.

https://www.facebook.com/...mp;ref=page_internal
Last edited by: mcycle: Apr 17, 15 18:48
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [mcycle] [ In reply to ]
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Official Zipp page - https://www.facebook.com/pages/Zipp/38574956052

Make Inside Out Sports your next online tri shop! http://www.insideoutsports.com/
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Just chiming in to voice strong Flo support! I love what they stand for and wouldn't have decent race wheels without them. I got a 60/90 combo from existing inventory in December. They arrived at my door 4 days later. Go Flo! Race wheels for the masses!
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [BryanD] [ In reply to ]
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BryanD wrote:
ummm.....

currently Flo has 6,559 likes https://www.facebook.com/...949109778769?fref=ts
Zipp has 95,916 likes https://www.facebook.com/pages/Zipp/38574956052
and HED has 5,560 likes https://www.facebook.com/hedcycling?fref=ts

as of 9:43 PM Eastern time on 4/17/2015

Boyd 4,857
Williams 5,962
Reynolds 14,309
Enve 382,416
Mavic 192,305
Lightweight 19,392
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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There's more than one way to skin a cat.

From what I can tell you run a great business. You are making money and customers are happy. Not everyone is trying to maximize $$$. I certainly never have.



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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rruff] [ In reply to ]
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reading all the hype, i'm excited about possibly participating in the next order
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Economist] [ In reply to ]
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Economist wrote:
I haven't made any real comments on FLO's business model since I don't know all the details. I can see why the average consumer is confused. We are use to being able to purchase what we want when we want it. <--Whole bunch of w's in that sentence.

This is exactly my point...since people don't know all the details their experience and degrees mean very little. The most annoying post that always pops up is the supply and demand assertion. People try to make it far more simple than it really is. Anybody can take an economics class and say, "Oh, yeah, that makes sense you raise price until demand levels out and then just hold it there." But in practice that is not the way it works...wayyyy too many other factors. There is a reason why running businesses, cities, states, countries etc. is very difficult...

FLO wants to be around forever...long-term planning is a concept many American's seem to struggle with. But in this case it is mainly because American's are entitled jerks and will never support a situation where they don't get instant gratification.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [TriMike] [ In reply to ]
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TriMike wrote:
If you are looking for something like a Flo 30 check out the Boyd Altamont. They actually hold inventory...what a concept.

Of course, the Altamont shape is nothing like the Flo30 shape. I suspect that they're less aero, so it's not really a valid comparison.

Probably the closest comparison to the Flo30 is...the Zipp 101. Which are also hard to get, since they're discontinued.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [asad137] [quote TriMike] [ In reply to ]
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asad137 wrote:
Probably the closest comparison to the Flo30 is...the Zipp 101. Which are also hard to get, since they're discontinued.

Zipp does make the 30 Clincher. Only $850 MSRP per set (vs $500 for the FLO30 set).

Proud Member of Chris McDonald's 2018 Big Sexy Race Team "That which doesn't kill me, will only make me stronger"
Blog-Twitter-Instagram-Race Reports - 2018 Races: IM Florida 70.3, IM Raleigh 70.3, IM 70.3 World Championships - South Africa, IM North Carolina 70.3
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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FYI, for better or worse, the measure of facebook likes is not a highly reliable indication of a company's success or popularity. Some companies buy fb 'likes' by the thousands.

Advanced Aero TopTube Storage for Road, Gravel, & Tri...ZeroSlip & Direct-mount, made in the USA.
DarkSpeedWorks.com.....Reviews.....Insta.....Facebook

--
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [DarkSpeedWorks] [ In reply to ]
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Yep. It's really easy to buy Facebook likes to make people think you are super popular. I have no idea why people were posting the amount of Facebook likes. I only did it to correct someone

Make Inside Out Sports your next online tri shop! http://www.insideoutsports.com/
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
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Anybody can take an economics class and say, "Oh, yeah, that makes sense you raise price until demand levels out and then just hold it there." But in practice that is not the way it works...wayyyy too many other factors. There is a reason why running businesses, cities, states, countries etc. is very difficult...

I'm pretty amazed that people think that Flo not having reliable inventory means they are a "bad" company or don't know how to run a business. It's especially weird when I think about all the new companies in this industry that promise a lot, get really popular and grow like crazy, and then go bankrupt because their product is a POS that breaks. Guess who is left holding the bag? Or maybe their product isn't a POS, but they are crack addicts when it comes to money and get over-extended and go bankrupt. Some people start businesses like this over and over again.

Flo is playing it safe financially, which I think is great. Less stressful for them I'm sure, and also means they are likely to be around for awhile. Also they've done some good testing at the start and published the results. It's a refreshing change from the hype and BS that most companies rely on.


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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Runner Rick] [ In reply to ]
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Runner Rick wrote:
asad137 wrote:
Probably the closest comparison to the Flo30 is...the Zipp 101. Which are also hard to get, since they're discontinued.


Zipp does make the 30 Clincher. Only $850 MSRP per set (vs $500 for the FLO30 set).

I know. The Zipp 30 is not really a comparable shape to the Zipp 101 or Flo30 since it has parallel brake tracks:

Zipp 101 vs. Zipp 30



Flo30:



And the aforementioned Boyd Altamont:


I'd be interested to know if anyone besides Flo is currently making angled-brake-track aluminum rims (not that it matters to me very much since I already have a set of Flo30s and Flo60s).
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [asad137] [ In reply to ]
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Probably the closest comparison to the Flo30 is...the Zipp 101.

The 101 is narrower. Tour tested it awhile back and it wasn't that good. Actually no better than a Kinlin XR300.

I don't know where the Flo30 stands compared to other wide rims, but I suspect the SL23, XC279, and XR31 are fairly close in aero performance, and are lighter.

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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rruff] [ In reply to ]
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rruff wrote:

The 101 is narrower.

Ah right, I forgot about that.

It would be interesting to see an aero comparison between a representative set of wide aluminum clinchers. Will probably never happen though.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [asad137] [ In reply to ]
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I'm kinda thinking the ribs on the Boyd rim are a waste of weight. They are running the opposite direction they'd need to to do any good.

XR31



and some others:


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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rruff] [ In reply to ]
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rruff wrote:
I'm kinda thinking the ribs on the Boyd rim are a waste of weight.

I had the same thought. Of course, it's hard to make an extrusion with ribs running the other way! I guess it's not a waste of weight if you can get some bogus marketing out of it...
Last edited by: asad137: Apr 18, 15 10:48
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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Canadian wrote:
Andrewmc wrote:
Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

Like I said, I support that decision.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

My experience tells me that people are much more likely to say something when they have something to complain about, not when they are happy.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in.

A straw? It's not even close to a straw. It's really quite black and white. Let me give you a few things to consider.


1. Credit card processing companies always favor the buyer in any transactional dispute. Most good credit card processing companies require you to have a reasonable sales and refund policy. Saying you simply won't give someones money back because you said so, doesn't fly. Upset your credit card processor too many times and you have no way to accept payments.


2. Good luck with keeping a good rating at the better business bureau. A few "these guys ripped me off complaints" later and your company really gets a black eye.


3. What happens when the customer who paid in full calls you and says my child was diagnosed with "x" and I really need the money I put down on my wheels help cover the medical expenses? Or, I just lost my job and I'm really in a hard place? Are we going to tell that guy to go jump in the lake? I guess you could if you wanted but remember points 1 and 2. In the long run you're not going to win. Plus, I don't want to be the guy doing that. The stories above are true and we realize that sometimes life throws you curveballs. We believe that helping our customers out when they are in need will only bring more business our way in the future.


4. Finally, how do you think your public image on forums and social media would look if there were multiple threads and comments stating that they took my money and won't give it back. Especially when that guy says he has a kid who was just diagnosed with cancer?


If you would like to run a business with a no refund policy I wish you luck. It's simply something we are not going to do

The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

You're assuming that I can accurately project production times 8 months or more in advance. What happens when a typhoon hits our factory, a container ship crashes, or a production run goes bad? All of which have happened to us. Even if I add time to my estimate, 8 months can easily become 8.5 or 9 months and people get upset. We've been down that road and don't want to go down it again. We believe in taking peoples money when we have the product in hand. If I was building frames myself, then I have control of everything, so the timeline model might make sense. When you produce wheels at 5 different factories you lose enough control to make projecting accurate dates difficult.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

Here's the thing. Let's say we offer a pre-order option. Let's assume using 50% of my inventory I'm now at a 16 month wait time. How exactly do we take pre-orders? Naturally, everyone wants to be the first to get their order in, but that's not possible. So we set up the "FLO" pre-order event on a first come first serve basis. Everyone rushes to get their pre-order in. Then they get an email saying congrats, you made the last group. We'll be able to get you your wheels in 16 months. Do you know what that guys does? He complains. He's upset because he expected to be in the first group OR he expected to wait a maximum of 3 months, but now he has to wait 16 months. So he comes on Slowtwitch and complains that he is in the 16 month group and cancels his order.


What I've learned is that people are mostly upset because they didn't get exactly what they wanted, when they wanted it. We live in an instant gratification society. I wanted to buy something today, I set myself up to expect it, and then when I don't get that, I'm furious and tell the world how much the guys at FLO suck.

No matter what type of sales structure we offer, somebody somewhere isn't getting what they "expected" to get, and they tell the world how terrible we are.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.

I don't understand why you are mentioning the 16 month lag time for orders? The wheels you have coming in are not spoken for yet as you don't do true "pre-orders" correct? I don't see why you don't say on Day X we are creating a priority list where you sign in and tell you what they want. Then you take your 50% of inventory you mentioned and use it to match your waiting list. The other 50% is business as usual.
You also get real market data. Mailing lists. All good stuff. Maybe it's more work for you? Maybe you like the buzz of the sales and threads like this?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
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I appreciate you taking the time to respond. As you pointed out earlier, there are many ways you could have, or could choose to run your business, its not a one size fits all approach as your example of Roka shows.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Andrewmc] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Andrewmc wrote:
I appreciate you taking the time to respond. As you pointed out earlier, there are many ways you could have, or could choose to run your business, its not a one size fits all approach as your example of Roka shows.

It will be interesting to watch both companies over the next 5-8 years.

"Good genes are not a requirement, just the obsession to beat ones brains out daily"...the Griz
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [badgertri] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
badgertri wrote:
Economist wrote:


I haven't made any real comments on FLO's business model since I don't know all the details. I can see why the average consumer is confused. We are use to being able to purchase what we want when we want it. <--Whole bunch of w's in that sentence.


This is exactly my point...since people don't know all the details their experience and degrees mean very little. The most annoying post that always pops up is the supply and demand assertion. People try to make it far more simple than it really is. Anybody can take an economics class and say, "Oh, yeah, that makes sense you raise price until demand levels out and then just hold it there." But in practice that is not the way it works...wayyyy too many other factors. There is a reason why running businesses, cities, states, countries etc. is very difficult...

FLO wants to be around forever...long-term planning is a concept many American's seem to struggle with. But in this case it is mainly because American's are entitled jerks and will never support a situation where they don't get instant gratification.


I would disagree that their experience or degree's mean nothing. Quick side note: A degree only means something the first year after receiving it. After that it's experience. Exception would be academia where the degree + research and consulting carry a tremendous amount of weight. When I joined academia I was SHOCKED at how much outside work they do. I knew there was always some consulting, but I didn't know it was the majority of what they do. I now understand why so many of my past professors seemed so distant while giving a lecture. Teaching was less than 20% of th he workload. The class at MIT had a professor on day one. After that it was TA's. This was even at the Ph.d level.

Thus let's focus on experience. There are countless times I'd meet a client for lunch, a client I just met. I'd get a macro idea of how they conduct business and we'd discuss the challenges. With very little data, I'd lay out a plan of attack. I'd make it clear that I'm making some underlying assumptions, but experience has taught me that I'll be very close to bulls eyes.

This is a forum so I like reading peoples ideas. Some ideas are rather naive (supply and demand) but I understand why they are naive. Business practices, on the surface, seem so simple. Thus everybody seems to have an opinion. Here's a quote from Rothbard that I love:

“It is no crime to be ignorant of economics, which is, after all, a specialized discipline and one that most people consider to be a ‘dismal science.’ But it is totally irresponsible to have a loud and vociferous opinion on economic subjects while remaining in this state of ignorance.”

This quote is aggressive, so I'd replace ignorant with naive. The point being that people need to understand their weakness and express opinions according. Example:

"coming from the viewpoint of the consumer, I feel they should do x, y and z"
"on the surface, the solution of x,y,z seems so obvious..."

After those statements are made, that person must be very very open to constructive criticism and that criticism should be delivered in a mature manner. Example:

"I understand your view point, but here's why x, y and z may not work"
"I understand why it seems obvious, but here are the challenge to x,y,z"

However, ST is filled with type-a personalities, so things usually follow the same pattern as Let's Run forum.



tl:dr - Never dismiss experience. Choose your wording carefully when express an opinion on something you are not sure about. Those responding, choose your wording carefully to promote healthy conversation.

_________________________________
The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
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Last edited by: romulusmagnus: Nov 16, 15 8:14
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [romulusmagnus] [ In reply to ]
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Regarding jackmott's services as a Flo consultant, not on my watch. I'm retaining him for NewCo immediately as a startup consultant. He'll be signing a 60-month non compete if he agrees to the terms, which is a pretty good lump sum that will buy a lot of aero stuff like integrated front end equipment, or one hideously unaerodynamic but at least brand-pretention IA gen 1, back before the Harvard kid in Felt's marketing department told everyone that Novatec was a financial winner, and weren't going to deal with Reynold's outrageous wholesaling terms and comingingly with Diamondback. Seriosly.).
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [romulusmagnus] [ In reply to ]
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it's hard for me to tell what you are trying to say given the style of your post, but I think I get the gist. If you think you can do it better than Flo can, just offer to buy them, then extract all the extra value out of the market. Since by your reckoning they are leaving oodles of profit on the table, you should be able to perform this transaction in a highly leveraged way with no problems repaying your creditors.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [tucktri] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
tucktri wrote:
Canadian wrote:
Andrewmc wrote:
Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

Like I said, I support that decision.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

My experience tells me that people are much more likely to say something when they have something to complain about, not when they are happy.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in.

A straw? It's not even close to a straw. It's really quite black and white. Let me give you a few things to consider.


1. Credit card processing companies always favor the buyer in any transactional dispute. Most good credit card processing companies require you to have a reasonable sales and refund policy. Saying you simply won't give someones money back because you said so, doesn't fly. Upset your credit card processor too many times and you have no way to accept payments.


2. Good luck with keeping a good rating at the better business bureau. A few "these guys ripped me off complaints" later and your company really gets a black eye.


3. What happens when the customer who paid in full calls you and says my child was diagnosed with "x" and I really need the money I put down on my wheels help cover the medical expenses? Or, I just lost my job and I'm really in a hard place? Are we going to tell that guy to go jump in the lake? I guess you could if you wanted but remember points 1 and 2. In the long run you're not going to win. Plus, I don't want to be the guy doing that. The stories above are true and we realize that sometimes life throws you curveballs. We believe that helping our customers out when they are in need will only bring more business our way in the future.


4. Finally, how do you think your public image on forums and social media would look if there were multiple threads and comments stating that they took my money and won't give it back. Especially when that guy says he has a kid who was just diagnosed with cancer?


If you would like to run a business with a no refund policy I wish you luck. It's simply something we are not going to do

The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

You're assuming that I can accurately project production times 8 months or more in advance. What happens when a typhoon hits our factory, a container ship crashes, or a production run goes bad? All of which have happened to us. Even if I add time to my estimate, 8 months can easily become 8.5 or 9 months and people get upset. We've been down that road and don't want to go down it again. We believe in taking peoples money when we have the product in hand. If I was building frames myself, then I have control of everything, so the timeline model might make sense. When you produce wheels at 5 different factories you lose enough control to make projecting accurate dates difficult.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

Here's the thing. Let's say we offer a pre-order option. Let's assume using 50% of my inventory I'm now at a 16 month wait time. How exactly do we take pre-orders? Naturally, everyone wants to be the first to get their order in, but that's not possible. So we set up the "FLO" pre-order event on a first come first serve basis. Everyone rushes to get their pre-order in. Then they get an email saying congrats, you made the last group. We'll be able to get you your wheels in 16 months. Do you know what that guys does? He complains. He's upset because he expected to be in the first group OR he expected to wait a maximum of 3 months, but now he has to wait 16 months. So he comes on Slowtwitch and complains that he is in the 16 month group and cancels his order.


What I've learned is that people are mostly upset because they didn't get exactly what they wanted, when they wanted it. We live in an instant gratification society. I wanted to buy something today, I set myself up to expect it, and then when I don't get that, I'm furious and tell the world how much the guys at FLO suck.

No matter what type of sales structure we offer, somebody somewhere isn't getting what they "expected" to get, and they tell the world how terrible we are.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.


I don't understand why you are mentioning the 16 month lag time for orders? The wheels you have coming in are not spoken for yet as you don't do true "pre-orders" correct? I don't see why you don't say on Day X we are creating a priority list where you sign in and tell you what they want. Then you take your 50% of inventory you mentioned and use it to match your waiting list. The other 50% is business as usual.
You also get real market data. Mailing lists. All good stuff. Maybe it's more work for you? Maybe you like the buzz of the sales and threads like this?

The 16 month lag time comes from the sheer number of people who would sign up. We couldn't fulfill all of the orders with 50% of one container, so wait times would continually increase as wheels were spoken for.


Chris Thornham
Co-Founder And Previous Owner Of FLO Cycling
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Canadian wrote:
solitude wrote:
I agree. Great product, great prices, keep up the good work.

A lot of people might help to better understand the situation if they realized that there is a different between PRICE and COST. Flo's prices are low relative to the competition, but given the scarcity and irregular ordering process, the cost to the consumer is considerably higher. The consumer must accept not receiving the product exactly when they want, must accept the uncertainty that they might not get said product, must scour slowtwitch for ordering info, must be at their computer when the time is right, and so on. If your time is valuable, then you might not accept the opportunity cost of being a Flo customer, and instead opt to pay higher prices for greater convenience from Zipp, HED, etc. Conversely, if you value your time less highly, then your opportunity cost is lower, to the effective overall cost of a Flo wheel is lower, so you try to buy Flo.

There are many similar scenarios in other business. For example, recently I wanted to buy a bunch of high-quality ties. Two possible options were to buy a bunch of new ties from known companies that produce quality, durable, attractive ties. Whereas another option was to visit 10 thrift stores in my urban city, hunting out the great finds, accepting that there is uncertainty, that it will take an entire day or more, that the ties may not fit me properly, etc. Option 1 is expensive in price, option 2 is cheap in price, but depending on how you value the opportunity cost of your time, they might be roughly equal. In fact, since I ended up going option 1, assuming I am a rational actor, the sum cost was actually cheaper for option 1.

There is no right of wrong answer for the consumer. If you feel that the cost of Flo is too much for you, pay higher prices for wheels from another company. If it's not, try to buy Flo.
Now what is best for the company is a different matter, and as others have stated that would require way more info, which none of us have.


I really like what you said. The example is great.


Thank you. I am a happy owner of a pair of Flo30s and will be sending more of my scarce money your way soon.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [solitude] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
solitude wrote:
it's hard for me to tell what you are trying to say given the style of your post, but I think I get the gist. If you think you can do it better than Flo can, just offer to buy them, then extract all the extra value out of the market. Since by your reckoning they are leaving oodles of profit on the table, you should be able to perform this transaction in a highly leveraged way with no problems repaying your creditors.

What assets would I be buying? Supplier relationships admitted to be tenuous? A bottom barrel brand? Something special or privileged from a product perspective?

How do I value the firm? Sum of discounted future cash flows? Sum of the parts? Maybe, if they are cash flow positive and if the parts sum to anything worth paying for, but I don't see it. Plus, they won't sell, especially for a reasonable rate. They have a pretty bad website and buy flow. Almost everything I see is lackluster, and I'd rather redo and do right, under a better brand title. They won't sell either...why would they? It's all about staying the course.

Here's what I might do. I'll call it the WTC Strategy. I offer to buy them out for three years of projected future Ebitda, assuming they open the books. When they say no, I start a wheel company (a race) in the same market segment (wheels) working with a better brand, a better product, and maybe I'll even get a steal a key partner, like the city of Penticton. Then we can A/B test the Flo model vs. my model, and I get to be right, which correctness I can measure in dollars and cents.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [stringcheese] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Actually I think it will be interesting to see what happens with both, and if a new entrant to the wheel market arrives. Flo said I think 2000 plus signed up for the list, if they sell out in minutes and unmet demands left on the table it implies there's the potential opportunity for a new entrant. It will interesting to see if someone arrives or looks for funding
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [romulusmagnus] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
I bet that felt awesome! But you're the only one in the circle...zip up and eat the cookie.

Aaron Bales
Lansing Triathlon Team
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [romulusmagnus] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
romulusmagnus wrote:
As usual there's a lot of nonsense spew from the comically unfiltered gaggle of armchair analysts

Oh, the irony. Just out of business school?
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Canadian] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Canadian wrote:
tucktri wrote:
Canadian wrote:
Andrewmc wrote:
Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

Like I said, I support that decision.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

My experience tells me that people are much more likely to say something when they have something to complain about, not when they are happy.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in.

A straw? It's not even close to a straw. It's really quite black and white. Let me give you a few things to consider.


1. Credit card processing companies always favor the buyer in any transactional dispute. Most good credit card processing companies require you to have a reasonable sales and refund policy. Saying you simply won't give someones money back because you said so, doesn't fly. Upset your credit card processor too many times and you have no way to accept payments.


2. Good luck with keeping a good rating at the better business bureau. A few "these guys ripped me off complaints" later and your company really gets a black eye.


3. What happens when the customer who paid in full calls you and says my child was diagnosed with "x" and I really need the money I put down on my wheels help cover the medical expenses? Or, I just lost my job and I'm really in a hard place? Are we going to tell that guy to go jump in the lake? I guess you could if you wanted but remember points 1 and 2. In the long run you're not going to win. Plus, I don't want to be the guy doing that. The stories above are true and we realize that sometimes life throws you curveballs. We believe that helping our customers out when they are in need will only bring more business our way in the future.


4. Finally, how do you think your public image on forums and social media would look if there were multiple threads and comments stating that they took my money and won't give it back. Especially when that guy says he has a kid who was just diagnosed with cancer?


If you would like to run a business with a no refund policy I wish you luck. It's simply something we are not going to do

The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

You're assuming that I can accurately project production times 8 months or more in advance. What happens when a typhoon hits our factory, a container ship crashes, or a production run goes bad? All of which have happened to us. Even if I add time to my estimate, 8 months can easily become 8.5 or 9 months and people get upset. We've been down that road and don't want to go down it again. We believe in taking peoples money when we have the product in hand. If I was building frames myself, then I have control of everything, so the timeline model might make sense. When you produce wheels at 5 different factories you lose enough control to make projecting accurate dates difficult.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

Here's the thing. Let's say we offer a pre-order option. Let's assume using 50% of my inventory I'm now at a 16 month wait time. How exactly do we take pre-orders? Naturally, everyone wants to be the first to get their order in, but that's not possible. So we set up the "FLO" pre-order event on a first come first serve basis. Everyone rushes to get their pre-order in. Then they get an email saying congrats, you made the last group. We'll be able to get you your wheels in 16 months. Do you know what that guys does? He complains. He's upset because he expected to be in the first group OR he expected to wait a maximum of 3 months, but now he has to wait 16 months. So he comes on Slowtwitch and complains that he is in the 16 month group and cancels his order.


What I've learned is that people are mostly upset because they didn't get exactly what they wanted, when they wanted it. We live in an instant gratification society. I wanted to buy something today, I set myself up to expect it, and then when I don't get that, I'm furious and tell the world how much the guys at FLO suck.

No matter what type of sales structure we offer, somebody somewhere isn't getting what they "expected" to get, and they tell the world how terrible we are.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.


I don't understand why you are mentioning the 16 month lag time for orders? The wheels you have coming in are not spoken for yet as you don't do true "pre-orders" correct? I don't see why you don't say on Day X we are creating a priority list where you sign in and tell you what they want. Then you take your 50% of inventory you mentioned and use it to match your waiting list. The other 50% is business as usual.
You also get real market data. Mailing lists. All good stuff. Maybe it's more work for you? Maybe you like the buzz of the sales and threads like this?


The 16 month lag time comes from the sheer number of people who would sign up. We couldn't fulfill all of the orders with 50% of one container, so wait times would continually increase as wheels were spoken for.

Well of course you couldn't fill all the orders in one shipment. The point of the waiting list was never to fulfill all orders in the next shipment. It would be to reward people who were loyal and waited their turn to buy your product and didn't just happen to get them because they had their account ready, credit card numbers copied into their clipboard, etc. And people who were on the list but it's not their turn are more than welcome to try to get some of the other 50% of your shipment just like normal. You'll still have people upset with you but that's gonna happen regardless.
You mentioned earlier not wanting to have much if any inventory. Wouldn't know what your customers actually want help alleviate that problem? That's of course given that you can select how many of each wheel you would like to take delivery of on each shipment. Which of course may not be a given.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [tucktri] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
tucktri wrote:
Canadian wrote:
tucktri wrote:
Canadian wrote:
Andrewmc wrote:
Firstly thanks for the reply, I do appreciate it and I should say i have no skin in the game as I'm not willing to take a punt on waiting month to month to see if I'll win the lottery, so I went with an alternative option.

Like I said, I support that decision.

I suspect, though have no way of knowing, that you hear from the people that its working for, you're not hearing from those that are unsuccessful to the same extent - it would be interesting to know how many people wanted to buy but couldn't.

My experience tells me that people are much more likely to say something when they have something to complain about, not when they are happy.

I think the refund argument is a straw man - I'm waiting 12 months for a bike, the wait for a Sachs or Vanilla is so long that the books were closed on them - the deposits gone, sure people can piss and moan if they change their mind or don't want to wait, but your customer service does not extend - if you don't want it to - to offering refunds if its clearly set out at the start that once you're in you're in.

A straw? It's not even close to a straw. It's really quite black and white. Let me give you a few things to consider.


1. Credit card processing companies always favor the buyer in any transactional dispute. Most good credit card processing companies require you to have a reasonable sales and refund policy. Saying you simply won't give someones money back because you said so, doesn't fly. Upset your credit card processor too many times and you have no way to accept payments.


2. Good luck with keeping a good rating at the better business bureau. A few "these guys ripped me off complaints" later and your company really gets a black eye.


3. What happens when the customer who paid in full calls you and says my child was diagnosed with "x" and I really need the money I put down on my wheels help cover the medical expenses? Or, I just lost my job and I'm really in a hard place? Are we going to tell that guy to go jump in the lake? I guess you could if you wanted but remember points 1 and 2. In the long run you're not going to win. Plus, I don't want to be the guy doing that. The stories above are true and we realize that sometimes life throws you curveballs. We believe that helping our customers out when they are in need will only bring more business our way in the future.


4. Finally, how do you think your public image on forums and social media would look if there were multiple threads and comments stating that they took my money and won't give it back. Especially when that guy says he has a kid who was just diagnosed with cancer?


If you would like to run a business with a no refund policy I wish you luck. It's simply something we are not going to do

The issue you would have is a lack of transparency about when the order arrives - you tell them its 8 months and its 8 months, then they know what they're getting in to.

You're assuming that I can accurately project production times 8 months or more in advance. What happens when a typhoon hits our factory, a container ship crashes, or a production run goes bad? All of which have happened to us. Even if I add time to my estimate, 8 months can easily become 8.5 or 9 months and people get upset. We've been down that road and don't want to go down it again. We believe in taking peoples money when we have the product in hand. If I was building frames myself, then I have control of everything, so the timeline model might make sense. When you produce wheels at 5 different factories you lose enough control to make projecting accurate dates difficult.

I'm not asking you to change your model - we're simply engaged in a discussion about lost sales, it seems to me that when you have a list, you're names on it, it gets to your turn in a given period of time, and there's a drop dead date after which you can't back out and you forfeit your deposit.

The only difference in the way its currently set up is you please some of the people (what percentage I don't know) some of the time, you can't please all of the people all of the time, but it would seem to me that there's an opportunity for orders to be split between people willing to put their money where there mouth is and wait, and those that want to take a punt on the lottery. If you tell me orders are 50/50 lottery and pre-ordered and that the current wait is 8 months, I'd put my order in, pay my cash and if I wanted to enter the lottery I could do that as well and you simply take the next person in line as a guaranteed order - either way no loss for you and I know exactly how I can plan my purchase and whether it works for me or not.

Here's the thing. Let's say we offer a pre-order option. Let's assume using 50% of my inventory I'm now at a 16 month wait time. How exactly do we take pre-orders? Naturally, everyone wants to be the first to get their order in, but that's not possible. So we set up the "FLO" pre-order event on a first come first serve basis. Everyone rushes to get their pre-order in. Then they get an email saying congrats, you made the last group. We'll be able to get you your wheels in 16 months. Do you know what that guys does? He complains. He's upset because he expected to be in the first group OR he expected to wait a maximum of 3 months, but now he has to wait 16 months. So he comes on Slowtwitch and complains that he is in the 16 month group and cancels his order.


What I've learned is that people are mostly upset because they didn't get exactly what they wanted, when they wanted it. We live in an instant gratification society. I wanted to buy something today, I set myself up to expect it, and then when I don't get that, I'm furious and tell the world how much the guys at FLO suck.

No matter what type of sales structure we offer, somebody somewhere isn't getting what they "expected" to get, and they tell the world how terrible we are.

I've no doubt the product is excellent and great value for money, I'd liked to have ordered but can't be doing with it waiting month to month and taking a punt and the money saved for me is neither here nor there so I exercised another option I just think its a bit of a missed opportunity for you - though i accept I don't know how you solve it - though I ran a manufacturing business and didn't go bankrupt so I understand some of the issues.


I don't understand why you are mentioning the 16 month lag time for orders? The wheels you have coming in are not spoken for yet as you don't do true "pre-orders" correct? I don't see why you don't say on Day X we are creating a priority list where you sign in and tell you what they want. Then you take your 50% of inventory you mentioned and use it to match your waiting list. The other 50% is business as usual.
You also get real market data. Mailing lists. All good stuff. Maybe it's more work for you? Maybe you like the buzz of the sales and threads like this?


The 16 month lag time comes from the sheer number of people who would sign up. We couldn't fulfill all of the orders with 50% of one container, so wait times would continually increase as wheels were spoken for.


Well of course you couldn't fill all the orders in one shipment. The point of the waiting list was never to fulfill all orders in the next shipment. It would be to reward people who were loyal and waited their turn to buy your product and didn't just happen to get them because they had their account ready, credit card numbers copied into their clipboard, etc. And people who were on the list but it's not their turn are more than welcome to try to get some of the other 50% of your shipment just like normal. You'll still have people upset with you but that's gonna happen regardless.
You mentioned earlier not wanting to have much if any inventory. Wouldn't know what your customers actually want help alleviate that problem? That's of course given that you can select how many of each wheel you would like to take delivery of on each shipment. Which of course may not be a given.


I'm not sure why you think your method is better.
Like you said yourself, some people are going to be unhappy no matter what. So why mess with the current system?

Chris and Jon have been pretty clear regarding their aims and methodology:
They want to provide the wheels at affordable prices.
They don't sell wheels before they have them in their hands.
They want to retain full ownership of FLO

They put the wheels up for sale as soon as they have them, and it so happens that they are popular enough that a crapshoot ensues for a few minutes until they are sold out.
A waiting list system wouldn't help this situation, it would only complicate it.
There would be a similar rush to get on the waiting list until it got impractically long (ref. Canadian's "16 month lead time" comment). At which point you would have people rushing in a similar way to how they are now, with the only difference being that they will have to wait over a year after payment rather than a few weeks.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [jackmott] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Interesting thread!

Just curious, but if flo is materially underpriced and not meeting demand given their business model wouldn't it make sense that this would result in higher than retail cost second party sales? People tend to find and exploit arbitrage opportunities. I have seen flo wheels sell on the board for a modest discount to retail, but never higher.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Orbilius] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Orbilius wrote:
I have seen flo wheels sell on the board for a modest discount to retail, but never higher.
And sometimes they sit around in the classified section, for a lot longer than I'd expect, even with those discounts. And that's including brand new sets.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
Does anybody actually care about the better business bureau?

Maybe it's a generational thing, but I've never heard anybody under 35 talk about it.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [JSully] [ In reply to ]
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I certainly don't. They have the same pay-to-play/dishonest practices as Yelp and Angies List.
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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [Orbilius] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
I have seen flo wheels sell on the board for a modest discount to retail, but never higher.

That is an indication that their retail price, demand, and supply are about right.

Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rruff] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
The price may be about right, but it seems there is more demand than supply based on the number of people who want to purchase the wheels. My first attempt to buy wheels was a complete miss. I tried again in July 2014 and was able to get a 90 rear, but missed out on the 60 front I wanted to go with it. Then in Sept 2014 I was able to pick up the 60 front. Love the wheels. So I thought on the last sale I would pick up a set of 30s. The sale back in Dec (I think) seemed to not be a quick sell out so I was thinking getting a set of 30s would be easy. Completely struck out again. Couldn't get a front or rear 30. So I have made 4 valid attempts to purchase in four separate FLO releases and have been able to make a purchase in two of those four.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [rijndael] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
rijndael wrote:
I certainly don't. They have the same pay-to-play/dishonest practices as Yelp and Angies List.

In my experience as a small business owner in dealing with them (in California), they had very dishonest business practices. The experience has since erased any credibility they might have had with me.

They do seem useful in handling customer-to-business disputes, and getting negative feedback back to a business.
Quote Reply
Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
The price may be about right, but it seems there is more demand than supply based on the number of people who want to purchase the wheels.

One thing to consider is that their scarce nature tends to increase their perceived value, desirability, resale, etc. I don't know how much, but I suspect there is a little of that going on.

Also, I'm pretty sure their limited growth allows the company to give better customer service... ie the owners and staff are not overwhelmed (finances or time). Separate issue, but something to consider.

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Re: FLO Sells Out Again [arby] [ In reply to ]
Quote | Reply
i'm curious as to how you only received one desired wheel on a purchase? did you try to add to cart, and then alerted that one was already sold out?
i'm interested as i may be a future buyer. thank you.
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