Tylertri wrote:
In that case I would not bet against OPEC either. edit: and that would assume these "releases" from the reserves didn't need to get built back up again at some point (possibly at an even higher price) (not betting against OPEC).
That is what China has been doing. They built up a massive stockpile when oil was cheap during the height of the pandemic. They have been gradually releasing it to balance out the current high prices. They are getting to the point they need to start refilling those reserves.....at a much higher price.
I tend to agree on OPEC. Historically the US has lost when it gets in a fight with them, however we are now a large producer so that changes the equation.
Near term US producers are going to make a lot of $$$ in 2022. Long term OPEC could be baiting them into oversupply then flood the market and put a lot of them out of business.