j p o wrote:
I don't think the actual release is what matters. And OPEC may be right, it is not clear there is a shortage. The price increase may very well be driven by trade speculation.
I think this line is key, "the threat of a coordinated release ... has knocked the wind out of crude oil's rally."
My understanding is that there really isn't enough in reserve to actually affect the price for very long, so this is more symbolic (staged, theater, pick your word of choice) than anything.
I too think this is mostly symbolic. I think the coordination with other countries helps send a stronger message. But unless some of those other countries have the ability to produce (and transport) over the longer term I think OPEC will see this mostly for what it is.
I am against our govt as a whole tapping into the SOR. That said I have seen it occur from both parties in the 2000's a number of times. I have equally not liked it anytime it has occurred by either party. Perhaps they need to change the term from SOR as I don't see this as a "strategic" use.
I think the larger issue, as is the case many times with Biden, is the message delivery. When you stand up in front of a national audience with Anderson Cooper and downplay the effectiveness of tapping into the SOR (maybe 18 cents a gallon) because you appear to get caught off guard by the question, get annoyed and blurt that out, and then less than a month later want to champion the idea, it's hard to take you seriously (whether you are OPEC or a US citizen).