Slowman wrote:
BT_DreamChaser wrote:
$2.85 a share, down 12% just today and theres 4 hours left till market close. YIKES!i am a proud owner of ironman. as of today ;-)
i don't care about the chinese opacity. i know how the company is run. (well, the ironman side of it, less the infront side of it.) i don't care about the non-voting shares. what i care about is the debt wanda group put on it. it's laughable that the interest on the debt comes as a "surprise" to analysts today.
the market cap is under $400 million. wanda paid $1.2 billion for infront. if infront is worth, say, half of that (and one hopes it's worth a lot more than that) then the ironman part of WSG is now valued at under $1 billion, and that's with the LBO-style promissory note wanda group lopped atop WSG. this is now closer to what i think the thing is worth. i still might be overpaying, but at least i'm making an honest investment today.
i think ironman - just the ironman part, along with rock n roll and the other various events (breck epic, etc.) - is probably getting closer and closer in value to what wanda paid for it. the killer was the note wanda put on the company. the valuation needed to factor in that note. i trust we're now getting there. that note won't be there forever.
Did you look at the balance sheet before buying it? They have 1.9bn Eur liability and on the assets side what do they have? 423mm Eur of "intangible assets" and 675mm of Goodwill. Perhaps these refer to the gullibility of IM athletes; known for buying anything overpriced, why not this stock?
The good news is they are making a small trickle of money, but they can barely serve the debt with that. Economy downturn and they are out of business, selling whatever real assets they may have and the stock equals a very round number...
https://finance.yahoo.com/.../balance-sheet?p=WSG