And it was widely claimed that Iraq had vast stockpiles of WMDs, which could be used within 45 minutes. I'm willing to bet cash dollars that the claims of the imminence of Iraq's nuclear capability were based on "intelligence" gleaned from the same sources that hoodwinked the administration into believing all the other claims that have either been falsified or not yet proven (can you say Iraqi National Congress?), and are just as erroneous. I don't believe it. Apples and oranges. I'm not talking about recent (and shoddy) intelligence about Iraq's capabilities is 2003. I'm talking about UNSCOM's assessment of Iraq in 1991 based on post-war inspections.
For example:
FIRST REPORT OF THE EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN UNSCOM
S/23165
25 October 1991
9. In the nuclear field, the IAEA-led inspections have disclosed three clandestine uranium enrichment programmes or activities: chemical, centrifuge and electromagnetic isotope separation as well as laboratory-scale plutonium separation. The sixth nuclear inspection finally obtained conclusive evidence of a nuclear weapons development programme, aimed at an implosion-type nuclear weapon linked to a surface-to-surface missile project. Given the information obtained about the advanced nature of Iraqi efforts to develop an implosion system, it appears that it is the availability of adequate amounts of fissile material that would have been the major factor in determining how soon Iraq could have produced a nuclear device. For example, if Iraq would have started with natural uranium using its electromagnetic isotope separation (EMIS) technology, that time could have been as little as 12 to 18 months. Further information will be found in appendix III to the present report.
Yes, that is what I am seriously suggesting. Why doesn't Iran have nuclear weapons, despite the lack of bombing and other interventions? Why didn't Libya succeed? How long, and at what cost, did it take for North Korea to develop nuclear weapons? Why do you think Iraq would have been successful? Because the inspectors on the ground in Iraq documented an extensive and advanced nuclear program in place in 1991. Yes, I'm sure much of it was damaged during the actual war, but much was also subsequently dismantled by UNSCOM.
I'm actually quite suprised at your argument here, so much that I'm not sure we're talking about the same thing. Even the most adrent oppononents of the most recent Iraq war that I know agree that the original WMD inspections/dismantlement program in Iraq in the early 90's was pretty darn important to keep Saddam from acquiring WMD's. Certainly the UN thought so. Are you saying you don't?
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