RunningChoux wrote:
The Guardian wrote:
This is a very very tough workout for a five minute miler. and it is something only a very few could do in their 50s. However, it sounds like Stephenj runs in fast company (his buddy is a 4:48 guy at 53), so he may be at the pointy end!
I still maintain that the workout as originally described is not doable by a 5min miler. To me, the classic 400 repeats with roughly equivalent time rest is a mile pace workout (see Jack Daniels rep/R pace), and I'd expect most people doing that workout to do between 8 and 12 reps. The high end of that is already a "very very tough" day. For the 5min miler, that's 74-75 seconds on a 400m track. Running 65 second 400m reps (4:21-4:22 pace for the full mile) is nuts. By comparison, 15 year old me could do 8 or 10 reps in 74 when I ran a 4:55 1600m, 18 year old me was probably in the range of 68ish for 10 or 12 for a 4:36 mile, and the me of today (30 years old) is again at that 10 to 12 rep count at 69-70. This only gets worse for older athletes, who tend to lose a higher percentage of their speed sooner.
In short, if you show me someone who can complete 12 x 400m in 65 with 200m jog, I would bet good money they currently run a sub 4:30 mile, and more likely closer to 4:20. My prediction for a 5min miler who tries that workout to actually split something like 65, 70, 75, 80+, give up/puke.
I totally agree with your analysis. I was trying to leave the door open for outliers because someone always comes out of the woodwork and says they did it no problem. But yes, maybe 10x400 in 75 for a five min milers is more what I recall from back in the day for the five min squad.
As a more general comment, I think there are a ton of people who are not yet 50, who don't understand just how slow we get around that age. It is absolutely stunning! When I was in my 20s and running 4:10s for the mile I would have bet a million bucks I could have run sub 5 at 50 off the couch. I'm not even close.
I ran with a bunch of fast guys when I was younger. Almost none of them can break 5 at 50. People just get bloody slow and the drop off happens quickly (and of course life gets in the way for most of us)
People also forget that 5:30 is really far away from 5 for the mile. So a lot of people just assume that with a bit of extra training they will get there - it rarely happens.
People also think a strava or garmin or road race is accurate. There is a big difference between actually running a mile on the track and interpolating one's potential mile time from a road ten km for example.
If you believe the various masters ranking sites, each year only about 130 guys in the world break 5 in the 50-54 age group. And they are people who train specifically for this event.
I wish anyone luck who tries it, but I have personally seen way more people that assumed they would get there and didn't, than those that do.