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So Zack, would you say that my average heart rate for an hour on my trainer is a better measure of my Calorie consumption than my average wattage for that hour? I have often seen my average heart rate be more than 10 beats higher when the room is warmer than usual or the fan isn't turned up.
I'd still like to believe that on an individual basis, with well-calibrated models mapping HR and rear-wheel power to calorie expenditure, that HR would be a better predictor than rear-wheel power, especially because of the reason you highlighted. Rear wheel power doesn't change with room temperature, while heart rate and heat exchange (therefore by extension net calorie expenditure) do.
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Am I burning less calories running when my fitness is up and I run the same pace at a lower heart rate?
Hmm...now that's an interesting question. I do not know the answer, but if I had to guess I'd say that yes, an athlete would burn fewer calories at a given pace if he were more conditioned than if he were less conditioned. I don't think the difference would be very large, but to your point, Garmin's HR-based software does prompt the user to self-assess fitness level (in addition to inputting height, weight, age, maxHR, etc.). I'll have to see if I can find a detailed description of the New Leaf software that newer Garmin devices use to see how it takes into account fitness.
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