Yes, I realize this....I just would like to know if its going to be on youtube of facebook. Anywhere else and I may not be able to be watch. As it stands with Grand Tour racing done, its gonna be a pretty boring month with only juiced up NFL guys and EPO'd up pro soccer players to watch. The rest of the sports on TV are uninteresting for me....so this Dowsett hour record may be the most exciting thing other than watching Covid19 numbers daily which seems to be the major network "sport" on TV these days.

Let me rephrase
It will be streamed on Youtube on the UCI's channel, 0% chance it's not.

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OK, thanks for that. I did not even know that UCI has a youtube channel, then again, I largely view most sport federations as blue suits on largess living off the the exploits of others, so I go as much to UCI, IOC, ITU, FINA, IAAF, FIS, FIFA websites and youtube channels like I visit hell or hospital ICUs, so I suppose I am biased to start off.

I guess reluctantly I will give my eyeballs to a federation youtube channel :-)

UCI is a bunch of jerks (just my opinion :D) with their channel. They actually stream a LOT of track races but geoblock basically everyone. I wouldn't even mind paying to watch some of them, I just don't want a subscription to 10 different networks to watch ultra niche sporting.
*that said, the hours are not blocked, and they keep some of them (most of the big men's attempts, plus Dame Storey and Molly VH - although some of the women's are notably absent) up.

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I sort of figure that any of the current top TT riders, or at least the ones without Gianna/WvA power output, are likely to have a CdA right around 0.17. There is just so much knowledge and technology available.

I can’t wait to see his equipment choices. Maybe. We should have betting pool.

I am going Hope/Lotus, Tempor and NoPinz clothing, Bont shoes with Speedplays, maybe a WattShop cockpit. MucOff chain.

At first I'd say you're right about the bike, but seeing 0 of them at Euro Champs last week kinda tells me they're shelved until Tokyo.

Vorteq skinsuit, Mucoff drivetrain, Aerocoach extensions, his Simmons shoes (with covers) Tempor (with no visor)

Bike is interesting... I wouldn't be too surprised if it was something boring like a T4

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On his most recent youtube video (https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=w57q6pfzEuw), part of the video was a bike workout (road) and he was supposed to do 3 x 30 at Tempo (320-360) and ended up switching mid ride. He did the first 30 at 360 and then just did an hour at 360 because he felt good. Based on his attitude in the videos, my hunch is he is confident, but he doesn’t seem to be a super cocky guy so hasnt said as much.

His videos are pretty good by the way.

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Dan Mayberry
Amateur a lot of things, professional a few things.

Ya you are probably correct. I just think it would be cool to see him ride the best of the available goodies. I would toss the Argon track bike in there with the T4.

Honestly I would like to see Dowsett follow the MTM formula and just science the wee out of this thing. I think Martin's best hour is just a handful of meters short of 54km. I figure a ProTour guy should be able to out power a guy with a full time job so with a little luck with air density I think 55 is doable.

Ahh good catch, the Argon would also make sense.
I think it would be sweet if it were the Hope bike, but as they were having problems delivering them to GB squad riders pre-covid, I suspect they're probably all accounted for already, if they have enough for even that. Have you seen Velobike is working on a similar fork design?

I think between Dowsett, Hutch and some of the other folks I'm guessing are involved in some capacity or another, it'll be tough to find anything left on the table. Dowsett has already shown he's willing to use whatever he thinks is fastest.

I wonder if we'll see a base layer show up under his skinsuit... or padding under the forearms of the skinsuit... or any other...tricks :D

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If I recall from downhill skiing, the fastest is no additional layer under the skinsuit. As the speeds are faster there, I don't know how that factors into any separation between fabric and skin creating pressure differential issues. Maybe cycling at 55 kph is too slow for this to factor in vs 100-150kph on downhill skis.

What do we make of the news that Dowsett has extended his contract with ISUN, in the context of equipment selection? Is there going to be pressure on him to use the team equipment, in particular the Factor bike? Compared to when he was, kind of, looking like a free agent?

Cheers,
Rich.

Unlikely since his announcement said he'd be using a track specific bike, and the contract was signed before he made the announcement. Unless factor is coming out with a track bike, which I doubt.

Ah ok, I must have got my timings wrong. I thought when he originally announced this attempt and started talking about what kit to use he hadn't yet secured his contract extension with ISUN.

Cheers, Rich.

yeah, especially given Factor's lack of a real pursuit frame, along with his use of the Shiv on the road earlier this year, (with no real stink being made, unlike in the past with someone like Rohan Dennis showing up on a BMC) it seems doubtful that Factor is going to be restricting his equipment choice. I think for all intents and purposes all ISUN care about is having a willing domestique in the tour's for 2021. If he happens to break the hour, all the better.

To Dev in regards to the base layer - I think it's the stitching/etc on the base layers that is important. ITA/Ganna/Archibald all were wearing one late last year on the track, and Castelli offered it (custom made for $3k+) on their site for a couple of days... although it's missing from the site now and also the base layer hasn't been seen since then (that I've seen) - most likely like the HOPE/Lotus bike, it was used just long enough to get approval before Tokyo, then shelved until the games themselves.

The padding in the forearms is just a guess I have for guys that are pushing their armrests far up the extensions (like Archibald) to "cheat" the 10cm rule... if you had padding in the forearms, you could essentially make a very long armrest using the back of the bars, even if technically the rest itself was halfway to your wrist.

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He's been fairly open in his videos in saying that one of the good sides of ISN is that they don't restrict his equipment choice.

Chris, In your predictions you did not venture into the area of wheels/tires? What is your guess ?

db

Indeed it didn't :D

(Following the same line of reasoning that we won't see any "Tokyo" tech in the attempt)

The easy answer for wheels is probably the Walker Brothers Ethereals... not saying it's what we'll see, but it seems from the limited info we get on track discs to be a legit top end wheel.
If you dug deeper, you could try to pick something out of AeroCoach's bar graph from their AEOX Prima disc



Disc "G" seems to be the pick. The question is what do those code letters stand for? You'd think C= Corima F=FFWD M=Mavic G=Ghibli W=Walker Brothers... but C could also mean Campagnolo or they could just be totally unrelated to the wheel they actually are to throw people like me with too much time on their hand off the trail :D I think we can eliminate the AEOX Prima Pista (and any non-disc) safely though. Excluding some knowledge folks have that is secret, and also excluding Dowsett showing up on something like a Bolide like Wiggins that had a custom wheel design for it... I think the Walker Brothers is what we'll see. *worth noting Campenaerts rode Ghibli's.

Tyres - seems like again the easy to point to answer is the Vittoria's... probably the elusive "gold" version that we mortals have no access to.

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Dowsett tested positive for Covid per his instagram. Attempt delayed

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I think Ganna also rode Ghiblis for his pursuit world record, considering Campag isn't an official Ineos sponsor, I wonder if they got them due to good aero results or did he race with Italian team equipment which I think has Campag as sponsor?

Anyway, thanks to COVID, this is a no-go.

Well that really sucks. In effect I would assume this means, "attempt cancelled" since he will be fighting the after affects from this and the Giro training block and then building a "peak" off tthat, will but have warn off back to basic fitness

I was on the Dowsett Zwift group workout last night and he still did the livestream at the same time (just not riding obvs). He was just going to go full off season mode now and replan the effort for much later into next year around Olympics and 2021 race calendar. So I guess we won't here about a new date for a good few months at least.

It's unfortunate. He's got bad luck when it comes to planned hours. He broke his collarbone about 2 weeks out from his first attempt and had to reschedule as well.

My guess is that with the team most likely backing a Froome comeback, Dowsett being on the GB Tokyo list (alternative maybe?) etc he will not have much free time for an attempt in '21 - considering a "normalish" season. But hope I'm wrong.

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I think if he goes to the Tour in a support role (big if) and the goes to Tokyo he could give it a try off the Tour/Olympics fitness maybe sometime in late August (if he isn't pulled in the Vuelta squad).

Alex posted a video about how he realized he had Covid and how it affected his training.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NybTjE1zGhM

Seems like such a nice gent. Wishing him well on his attempt in the coming year.