Nick2413 wrote:
The top finishers in the 10k OWS in Rio went 1:52:59 which is a 42:56 pace for a race nearly 3 times as long. My money is on an easy course record by any of the top Olympic open water swimmers.
Not sure how top pool swimmers like Thorpe/Ledecky/Paltrinieri would fare but as others have noted they usually do well in open water so I’d also bet for a new course record while swimming comfortably.
Let’s remember that pro triathlon is really a cyclist’s sport, and to some extent runners as well. The odds of finding great bike/run athletes capable of beating Olympic swimmers are very low.
Somewhere recently I saw that one of the FINA circuit 10K swims was won in 1:47:55, or 41:00 per 3.8 K. I'd guess that, on a calm day, a top OWS guy could go 39 high for the iron swim. Of course, after that, he'd be caught by mile 35 or 40 of the bike. :)
"Anyone can be who they want to be IF they have the HUNGER and the DRIVE."