Kay Serrar wrote:
Weather is unpredictable. Who knew?
That said, we now do have pretty sophisticated weather models that did indeed predict fairly accurately that the storm would skim northern Cuba and then turn north. There is also an exponential difference in power as wind speed increases, so a 160mph wind gust does A LOT more damage than a 120mph wind gust. Thankfully the storm weakened over Cuba because it spent so long there. Had it turned sooner and gone through the central Bahamas it may have stayed Cat 5 and done much more damage.
So to summarise:
- The weather predictions were fairly accurate
- People had plenty of time to prepare
- Thankfully the storm dropped in intensity prior to hitting the US
...hence less damage that might have occurred.
Oh yes, and bad news sells better than good news. There's that too.
Its eerily similar to the y2k bug detractors. It wasnt as bad as predicted because of all the massive efforts that went into it because of the gloomy predictions. But people only see it didnt effect them so it was fake news.
who's smarter than you're? i'm!