Now that we have all of the thermodynamics out of our systems here is my experience:-)
Tires exploding in the pits is not a myth, it happens all the time and having worked dozens of IM and other tri events I think that I've never worked an event where it didn't happen. Also not a myth is the pressure rise of gas with increasing temperature, but I've never been convinced nor seen any situation where the rising pressure was a sole cause for the failure. In fact, we had an oven at Zipp which was large enough to hold two Indy Car chassis and I put dozens and dozens of test wheel/tube/tire combinations in there during the very early days of our carbon clincher development (before we had the Chariot of Fire brake test machine..) and not once was I able to blow a rim, tire or tube by simply takin it from ambient to 275F, even with latex tubes which technically can only handle ~250F, we never once failed a rim, tube or tire simply by heating it the oven to 275. We later were able to fail tires
In my IM pit and service days, I have to say that every exploding tire I've encountered was caused by one of these things:
1. Tires that should have been replaced months ago, I cannot tell you how many completely destroyed tires with casing showing through the tread, sidewall bulges, cut casing cords etc I've seen. We even found a bike at check-in once where you could see the dollar bill boot through the casing, and the owner was quite upset that we wouldn't pass the bike..he seemed to think that we were trying to force him to spend even more money on his IM.
2. Pinched tubes. I think that this is usually the result of the night before tire swap, difficult latex tube installation (also usually done the night before) or new tires/new tubes with a pinch where the tight new tire can hold the pinched tube in place for a days or even weeks of use, but eventually as it stretches out (heat helps with this) the pinch is released
3. Rim Tape problems. Always surprised to see how many people have used filament strapping tape, duct tape or other non-rim tape in their wheels (seriously..I've seen lots of these) but moreso, non-adhesive rim tapes that are pushed off center during tire/tube install which result in blowouts. Often times, the setup is comprised of all the right parts, but the rim tape shifts in a spot so that the tape edge is nearly aligned with a hole edge and likely as the thing heats up, the aluminum rim grows, pulling additional stress in the plastic rim strip and boom..
4. Old, ozone exposed or crappy tubes. I have seen at least 2 transition explosions caused by valve stem separation from the tube. This is usually the result of breakdown of the interface between the 2 materials as a result of aging, repeated inflation stresses and possibly ozone exposure which degrades butyl over time. Both of the tubes i've seen like this were very old and were also low end tubes to begin with, low end tubes contain lots of low cost fillers that make them both less elastic and more subject to aging, heat, ozone and other forms of degradation. The lesson here is that you should buy good tubes (continental, vittoria or michelin) and replace them when you replace your tires even if you haven't flatted them.
The least common cause here is going to be rim and tire size, but it really can also be a factor. We had a collection of over 200 test rims and wheels at Zipp and it was pretty amazing to see the range of sizes across them. The ETRTO specification for bead seat diameter is actually fairly loose, so when you combine that with the tire spec and then consider tire stretch you can find certain systems that are just problematic. I know we had a couple of wind tunnel wheels at Zipp that we just couldn't test as we couldn't get our control tire to stay on them at the 100.0psi control pressure despite that same tire working just fine on hundreds of other wheels.
Essentially this: High Quality tires, tubes, and rim strips that are relatively new, installed correctly and inflated to rational pressures (<120psi) have essentially a zero % chance of blowing in transition due to heat or sunlight.
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