If lance has his say he will send Porte to Kona, but I think he fizzles after the bike and runs a 3:20 and finishes 25 min outside the podium. I think Richie is too small to win Kona. He ends up with times similar to Welch or Bustos around 8:25.

To add to this Cam Wurf would outride Porte in Kona. 4 hrs Diesel engine is needed not the guy who can hang for the final 20 min of a climb with super high watts per kilo.