In Reply To:
Frank, even anecdotal evidence of
actual improvement would be infinitely better than this anecdotal evidence of
supposed improvement.
I *believe* I have an 8:20 IM in me on the right course and with the right conditions. Do you really think it's correct to call me an 8:20 IMer?
I believe a 10 minute improvement from 2:45 to 2:34 in an actual race counts
actual improvement. So, it would seem would be
actual improvements seen in training or testing. If your routine training pace improves from 8:30 to 7 min/mile would you deny that represents an improvement? Therefore, it seems that the approximate 2 and 4 second improvements reported by Wesley Fox, seen in training, should count for something, even if it hasn't been demonstrated in a race yet. Would you deny an improvement exists if someone had a power meter and stated, before PC's I never could sustain above x watts, but now in training I am sustaining 20% greater than x watts? Or in testing they notice an increase in FTP of 40 watts. Then, they go to LP and have a terrible day because they got cold. Does that bad race mean they really are not better? I mean, how many threads are there here regarding "If my FTP is X how fast should I be able to do a 40k TT in?"?
So, I agree, it is not correct to call someone an 8:xx IMer if they have not done an 8:xx IM. But, it is not necessarily incorrect to say that based upon training data it cannot be said that someones potential has improved to the point that they think they can now do an 8:xx IM, especially when it is reasonably supported by extrapolation of results in shorter races. Race results are not the only metric by which improvement can be measured (why all this fixation on FTP testing?). In fact, they are a pretty poor metric of overall fitness or potential (especially if one races infrequently) unless one has a very good day since so much can cause a bad result on race day.
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Frank,
An original Ironman and the Inventor of PowerCranks