FeketeBlob wrote:
The race is on Saturday (Japanese time).
Predictions anyone?
I'm expecting the women's race to be boring beyond belief, with Gwen Jorgensen winning with ease. There is no Sarah True or Katie Zaferes, and generally a weak field. Non Stanford makes her much awaited come back, so if she can negotiate the swim, I'd expect her to podium. It is expected to rain, so there is just a chance this will cause problems on the bike which would possibly produce an unexpected result...
The men's field is also lacking in depth, with only Mola, Gomez and Alistair Brownlee among the big names. There is also no Richard Varga, A. Raphael or Fabian to take the swim out fast, but Coninx and Schoeman are the ones to watch. Also look out for the UK's Tom Bishop who often has front pack runs and is a good cyclist, so a breakaway is a possibility, made more likely by the lack of cycling firepower among the lesser swimmers (Sven Riederer will have to do most of the work.)
If Alistair B is acclimatised, as he wasn't last year (but has been training and Southern Spain and also traveled to Japan much earlier than last year), I'd expect him to win whatever the scenario. But the temperatures may be against him, in which case, one would not bet against Gomez. I don't think Mola is going to be fresh enough to challenge Gomez this time.
Not expecting fireworks, although I thought that about Cape Town and it produced two exciting races
On the men's side...Three Americans in the top 12. Shoemaker, McDowell and Kemper.
There's a nice piece on Hunter on triathlon.org today..
http://www.triathlon.org/...t_for_fifth_olympics.
"Good genes are not a requirement, just the obsession to beat ones brains out daily"...the Griz