grumpier.mike wrote:
M----n wrote:
They probably took a hit in the pedal market when the prices dropped last year, and they own the hub market.
IMO power meter pricing has another $200 or so to fall. If they concentrate on the hub market and do a couple of OEM deals, PMs could become standard equipment on new bikes very soon. That would put some pressure on the crank-mounted guys to get down to $199 where they will eventually end up.
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The hub market will be interesting because the switch to disc brakes will make a lot of PTs obsolete. I currently have 4 PTs in various wheels and if I made the jump to disc on the road and TT bike I would really consider moving to crank-based power.
I actually think the hub market will grow going forward, especially with disc. The biggest problem with hub based power meters is that people wanted multiple choices of wheels. For example you, who has 4 of them. Reasons usually around wanting separate race wheels of varying depth and not wanting to train with carbon brake surfaces or wheels that are a bit sketchier in crosswinds. Not sure what your reasons were.
However, over the last 3-5 years, people have been changing their thoughts, especially with the introduction of disc. They no longer want a super deep set, a mid depth set, low weight set, and a training set. They just want one set to do it all. Testing has showed that dropping 150 grams of wheel weight isn't going to make a huge difference for most people. Testing has also shown that we don't experience high yaw angles nearly as much as we thought where super deep wheels shine (meaning most people don't need a set of 60/60 and 90/90). Wheel technology has also improved in the crosswinds and the introduction of disc removes the carbon brake surface issue.
What you're seeing these days are people choosing to buy disc braked bikes and one set of 40-50 mm, 1550g carbon wheels they plan to ride all the time. Now they want to add power. They can do so buy spending the same amount of money in their hub or their crank...or more money on their pedals. Given that people are very loyal to their pedals (like speedplay), and the new DA cranks look super sexy (at least IMHO), I would be more likely to choose a hub based power meter for a disc braked bike than I currently would if I were buying a rim braked bike.
The troubles of trying to swap power between two different bikes that may need two different wheelsets still exist, but the barriers of having multiple wheels for one specific bike decreases IMHO.