Sure, if Lance wins Florida - or Honu - I think that you can certainly make a much stronger case than when he has only one race with the fastest bike split and zero wins. I don't think that he will have improved any as a cyclist between now and then, but right now, folks are basing their opinions simply on "potential." Potential is great and all, but it isn't the same as results. Now, I'm not saying my opinion will change - we are talking still about one race - but I do think that a more valid argument can be made after a win than can be made right now.
As a somewhat related example, I think there are those people that look at Kona 2011 as proof that Mirinda and the other women had closed the gap on Chrissie. I, personally, do not agree with that, because Chrissie was pretty clearly not 100%, but at the end of the day, Chrissie won by a pretty slim margin. And regardless of any asterisks/ifs/ands/buts/yets/etc, that's the reality.
I also wasn't implying - or didn't mean to imply - that any of the athletes mentioned fell into the category of "absurdly good // suck at the other two." I was just saying that, if (
reductio ad absurdum) Fabian Cancellara decided to do a triathlon, should he be considered the best cyclist in try? Kai Hundertmark was about as close as an example of this as we've had in the pro ranks. He swam over 40min for a half-Ironman, rode his was from WAY out of contention to just out of contention, and then ran not very well. But certainly in a standalone bike race, he would have crushed pretty much everyone (dude was 5th at WC, as well as several other very impressive performances).
I get passionate about this because I think that the general opinion is rather derogatory towards pro triathletes and their opinions. I think there is a sense among single sport athletes - and single sport fans - that triathletes are really just second rate athletes who couldn't make it at any one of the single sports, so they decided to become a triathlete. I.e., it's not that triathletes ride slow because they are pacing for the run, it's just because they are shitty cyclists. I think a lot of people expected Lance to roll into T2 with light-years between him and the next closest guys. The fact that this isn't happening seems to be confusing these people, who then posit that it must be some sort of "mind game." I'd just appreciate it if people actually recognized that triathlon is, itself, a single sport and that the athletes who focus on it are damn good at it.
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