windschatten wrote:
Hahaha, they just project production = vaccination.
Haha, quick the Lavender Room needs to go teach Goldman Sachs how to do proper analysis of a logistics problem. :)
I'm pretty sure you're reading that wrong.
And I don't understand why so many people are throwing their hands up at the storage temperature issue as if it's like this really amazingly hard problem that we somehow just won't be able to handle. The Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine can be stored for 6 months in full cryo-storage state, and up to 20 days in a garden variety freezer. (2-8C). Though 15 of those 20 days are typically budgeted for shipping. Though I imagine most shipping won't take that long in the days of FedEx.
It's not *that* hard. There's nearly 3 full weeks from leaving the factory. You ship to places with known demand. I imagine by the time we (the U.S.) get to a stage where supply starts to outstrip demand over those 20 days we'll be in a pretty happy place overall. I'll be at my local hospital within 10 minutes of being notified there's a shot waiting for me.
And Pfizer has GPS tracking on each shipment. There are smart logistics people all over this. They'll know in real-time exactly where each batch is, and exactly how long it's been since it left cyro storage. And I imagine they'll have Walmart/Amazon grade logistics systems modelling demand, so they know exactly when-and-where to ship.
There are still smart people in the U.S., despite all the evidence to the contrary.