Slowman wrote:
i don't want anybody to misunderstand my question or point here. i agree with you that the 4000S II is a great value all things considered. i just question whether it's worth a 71 percent market share.
especially because
the most knowledgeable tire person on the forum is not using that tire.
As others have mentioned, I don't think your tire poll, as presented, can accurately capture which Conti tires are capturing that 71% share. The forum does a great job of getting out the latest information on tire performance. Originally Crr through sources like BikeTechReview and Tom A's testing. Bicycle Rolling Resistance is a newer resource and I hasn't been established as a "go to" resource for forum users yet. The best resources are now including Crr and Aero properties combined. Tom A's work at the Spec Win Tunnel and Flo's development of their new carbon clinchers with tires mounted up and tested in the wind tunnel. This combined data is likely not going to be as readily available because testing tires on wheels in the tunnel is a much higher hurdle - cost, complexity, variability between tires and various rim shapes, widths, depths, etc!
Currently it has been shown that that Conti GP4000SII rolls close to as well as the best performers, offers an aero advantage and has a flat protection belt. Testing has also shown that the Attack, Force, GP TT and Supersonics typically roll even better. The Supersonics don't have a protection belt, but seem to consistently top the list for Crr. Up until the 2017 SS version was released, the SS casing also tested out very well aerodynamically. For 2017 the SS casing has changed and I haven't seen any Crr or aero testing for the new tire. It appears that the new SS could be constructed on a SP TT casing with the protection belt removed. This could mean Crr is as good as before, but the GP TT mounts up very wide on most rims and aero likely suffers:(
Personally I now run the GP 4000SII (in 25mm where my bikes allow it) for training. For racing I run the 20 and 23c SS for TT's. Depending on the TT length and course turns I swap the 20 for a 23 in front. For triathlon I started running the 23c SS for Oly's while using a Force in the rear for HIM races. As my confidence in the race day durability of the SS increased I started running them F/R for HIM too. With the possibility that the 2017 SS is not the tire that the previous generation SS developed into I may have to ration the SS use to limited races until my stock is depleted. My wife runs Reynolds Aero 58's and the rims are so wide that the Conti GP TT 23c tires seem to be the best fit. So for my answer to the poll question - Conti - my household runs 5 different models of Conti tires! We used to run Gatorskins for training, but the GP 4000s2 is available at lower cost so we don't even bother running slow rubber anymore.
A Slowtwitch led or sponsored tire rolling resistance and aeroness shootout would be great!
Slowman wrote:
again, nothing against that tire. just, it's my guess that the issue is that the 4000S II came out in 2013, and at that time the tire was a world beater, and it gained a reputation during 2013, 2014, and that reputation has endured. but it's 2017 and the turbo cotton (as just one example) wasn't around or well known at that time, and the michelin power competition (as another example) didn't come out until 2016.
i don't think anybody who bought a 4000S II today could be faulted for doing so. but i don't think the facts support a 70 percent market share. (btw, i also much admire the turbo cotton, tho i find it quite a wide tire, and even the 24mm barely fits inside the chain stays of my c'dale supersix evo.)
I addressed the market share assumption above, but because you mentioned the release date several times I wanted to mention something else that seems to be a Conti trait. Conti seems to make ongoing, unannounced production tweaks to their tires w/o changing model names. Both the GP4000s and the Supersonic were tested previously by Al Morrison/BTR and they rolled significantly slower than those same model of tires produced in later years. Some have said this was the addition of Black Chili, but those early tests included Black Chili production models. So there seems to have been a continuous effort at improving their tires from year to year. Maybe nothing has changed with the GP4000sII since 2013 or maybe their have been minor improvements made between production runs. AFAIK Conti hasn't made a lot of effort communicating updates. Maybe they're reluctant because it can lead to problems selling old stock? Conti and their tire products would be another great opportunity for a ST article:)
I haven't seen any testing that compels me to consider the Michelin tire offerings ahead of Contis. The Spec Turbo Cotton OTOH appears to be a great tire. The reason I haven't run it is that Spec products are only offered through Spec dealers and maybe only larger Spec dealers as they seem to be like latex tubes at most LBS and aren't typically stocked on the shelf. Spec products also are typically only found at retail prices. So at about $80 per tire I can basically buy any two (sometimes close to 3) Conti tires for the price of one Turbo Cotton. Since the GP SS is more aero, and rolls as well as the Turbo Cotton, I don't even have the justification of rolling the TC as a race day only tire.