Are we playing based on the question:

• Any chance a spot rolls down to 20?

or

• Probably won't roll past 10, right?

Because a "Nah" answer will give completely different implications depending on which question is answered...


Also, hard to predict without knowing your AG. If you are in the F65 then I think there's literally no chance of it rolling to 20.


Anyway, I guess "Nah".

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Blog: http://www.coopstriblog.wordpress.com
Latest blog: Setting Goals. With or Without Gin.
Date: 10/31/2017

I say roll down about 2 slots. If the championship was out of country about 20 or 30.

It rolled down to 105 (out of 417) in M40-44 in Tremblant (6th slot). Which I got with 5:10 :) I was not even planning to go to ceremony, I just happened to walk near the stage 10min before my group, and out of curiosity I stuck around. Other groups went even lower.

My input is to stick around, you never know.

I was 6th last yr, sub 4:30 in 40-44. Not sure I will repeat that but regardless I will be halfway home
when they do awards. I know how bad we both wanted ITU worlds slots 2 yrs ago, good luck next wekend! It rolled at least past me last year.

I predict deep roll downs. Some AGs deeper than others.

ETA: Absolutely, without a doubt, go to the "ceremony" and stay til the very end. Even if your AG is done, other AGs could have slots reallocated. Sometimes, they have a hard time "giving away" all the slots.

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Pink? Maybe. Maybe not. You decide.

What AG?

It will roll past 20. Go to roll downs.

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blog

You never know. M45-49 at BSLT rolled to 16th last weekend, and he was only there because he's local. So it's unlikely, but possible. If it rolls more than 2-3, then it can roll a long way.

And it's not just people who already have slots. Others declined because of other plans - September IMs, vacations, focus on Kona, etc.

Here's to hoping that Chat70.3 Worlds dilutes the field at IMWI the same day.

You trying to KQ?

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Pink? Maybe. Maybe not. You decide.

Definitely go to awards and roll down. Im in M45-49 and at Raleigh 70.3 it rolled down to my sorry 20th place at 5:12 as well as the guy that came in after me.

Cheers and good luck!

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thechromedome
http://www.favoritefinishlines.blogspot.com
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My 20% off code for 2018 FS Series races: tricred18
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From what I've been reading on here, it can roll pretty deep, in some cases turning into a "who wants it".

If I were looking for a slot to Chatty, I'd give the race my best effort and go to awards if I needed a roll down.

Great feedback everyone. I'm M35-39. I'll definitely race hard and stay through the awards!

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Aaron Bales
Lansing Triathlon Team

Just do your race and go to roll-downs no matter where you land. I was 11th in my last race and missed one of 4 slots by 3 places, if I was 3 years older in the same race, I would gotten the 2nd slot out of 6 slots that ended up rolling to 20. You never know who shows up to roll-down.

However, if I had a guess, I would say good amount roll-downs given that recent races like Syracuse, Raleigh, Eagleman etc. have had some deep roll-downs in popular AGs. Maybe a handful of people who have heard about that and just want a slot even if they're not that fast may show up, if they have the money and time, but even they may be people just at the 5hr mark or more.

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808 > NYC > PDX > YVR
2024 Races: Taupo

Definitely on pins and needles about that Chicago roll down! At least this will be done that day. As a guy who's unlikely to fly to a race any time soon, Chattanooga offers a unique opportunity (much like Chicago).

Good luck next weekend - say hi if you see me. Tall blond guy with a bright lime green and orange kit (with "Bales" on the back, as you speed past me).

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Aaron Bales
Lansing Triathlon Team

I would definetely go just in case!

I don't know if it's a fair comparaison but I was at Victoria 70.3 and loads of age group ended up being: who is in that age group and want the slot? So really you could have finish dead last as they were rolling down and walk over to the stage to get a spot for the "world championships"... haha

It's worth noting that there are 1/3 fewer world spots (50 total) at Muncie versus other recent US 70.3s (most this year had 75), but ya never know, especially if you're in a larger age group.

You miss every shot you don't take!

it rolled down pretty deep at Raleigh. I got in with a 4:35 for the 35-39 age group, just jogging the run and getting ice at every station.

what's the chance of Muncie having 50 slots and being the last race in the same year as WC's to qualify in the future? trying to plan my next academic year, and Muncie to qualify for WC's in South Africa could work well.

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wovebike.com | Wove on instagram

I would bet against Muncie being the last qualifier for SA as it is one week earlier than Chatt (Sep 1-2 2018 vs. Sep 9-10 for Chatt). I'm hoping for it to be the first qualifier for France 2019 but more so hoping for my bike fitness to improve enough by then to actually be a qualifier :)

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808 > NYC > PDX > YVR
2024 Races: Taupo

much appreciated. So, Munci is 7/8 this year. Where's the info on the 2018 date? any chance the '18 WC qualifying races are posted? With races like Ocean City and Florida selling out so quick, it'd be kind of nice to have that list of race.

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wovebike.com | Wove on instagram

i've been keeping my eye out for that as well but haven't seen it. I raced the full in SA and while I loved the town and would eventually go back, I'd rather put my energy to getting as many shots at France as possible.

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808 > NYC > PDX > YVR
2024 Races: Taupo

Slots rolled to 80th in Edinburgh today. I believe some just weren't claimed in England recently even via the old 'OK hands in the air if you want to go!?' method

When do qualifiers switch from 2017 Chat to 2018 SA? When do the events switch to the next year?

After Muncie this year. Here's the 2017 list: http://www.ironman.com/~/media/c3c64567107a4e1aa2c24621be198021/2017%2070%203%20wc%20slots.pdf

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wovebike.com | Wove on instagram