devashish_paul wrote:
oscaro wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
sciguy wrote:
oscaro wrote:
Worth mentioning that AB has mentioned several times the past couple of months that he is looking to do a stand alone marathon in the near future. If I recall correctly he thinks he can run 2:10-2:15 which would be insane! If he manages that I can't see how anyone has a shot against him in long courseEvery time I watch Alistair's "up on the toes" running style I think "that looks fantastic for 100 meters to 10k but I can't imagine doing that for 40+k." My calves ache just thinking about it. A 2:10 certainly would be impressive for someone who can swim and bike like he does.
Hugh
Pretty sure AB is too "heavy" to run a 2:10. Has anyone that large run even under 2:12? He's listed at 70 kilos or 152 lbs. Near zero guys above 140 lbs sub 2:10 (Rob DeCastella and Salazar were exceptional)
According to this list there have been 2500 times ALL TIME under 2:10. That's a lot of runs and scroll through the list and see how many are small East Africans or Asians:
http://www.alltime-athletics.com/mmaraok.htm
I would be surprised if AB broke 2:18. Might even end up at 2:20, but I hope I am wrong. I think the fastest multi sport athlete of all time in the marathon was Ben Paredes at 2:11ish, but he also weighed what an elite marathoner should weigh (120 lbs or so) and was mainly a marathoner or less so a duathlete:
https://en.wikipedia.org/...enjam%C3%ADn_Paredes
Galen Rupp is in the mid 130's at 6 feet and ran 2:10 at Rio. AB is literally 15-20 lbs heavier
I have no idea why you are looking at times under 2:10 as no one has said he was looking to run that fast. If you instead look at how many runners who have gone sub 2:15 I can guarantee it will be a lot more. As for the weight there are several 2:15 marathon runners around his weight, for example max king weighs 135 but is a only 5'6. Tom Flemming broke 2:20 weighing 175.
Of course weight is going to factor in, but it is not an absolute at least not if your trying to break 2:15 and not 2:10 which is why your argument halts.
I think a marathon trained alistair could go under 2:15, but probably closer to 2:15 than 2:10. If he wants to come closer to 2:10 he will need to get his 10k down to low 27
I was focusing on the 2:10 at the lower end of the range (the range went up to 2:15) to make the point about weight since absolute weight and associated heat generations from the higher power needed to run fast since you can't escape from that over such a long distance. The all time list just goes up to 2:10.30. I think he will have a hard time to break 2:15. Sub 2:20 should be fine. Let's keep in mind that Mo Farah and Galen Rupp who run almost 3 min faster than Brownlee are 2:08 and 2:10 respectively at the marathon (granted, Rupp did his 2:10 in really hot temps).
In any case sorry for the tangent, St. George should be awesome to watch! I am really looking forward to that!
Terrible Tuesday’s Triathlon