Last year he went:
It looks like the lead swim group last year came in just under 50 minutes (Brent Mcmahon was off the front @ 48:21). Can he hang with them this year? I think probably so.
I also think he could possibly break 4 on the bike with his proper IM training this year.
I don't see the run being much faster.
So I'll go
7:36 (4 min for T1/T2)
That'll be damn close to Frodo's 7:35:39 at Roth. I hope they have good coverage!!
Pro start list:
Strava I Instagram