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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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M- kienle, Jan, Potts
W- Rinna, Ryf, Jackson
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [caffeinator] [ In reply to ]
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Men:
1 - Lance
2 - Lieto
3 - Macco

Women
1 - Chrissie
2 - Rinny
3 - Cave

Oh wait, what year is this.......

Men
1 - Kienle
2 - Frodo
3 - Potts

Women
1 - Ryf
2 - Rinny
3 - Hauschildt
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Frodeno
Potts
Reed

Jackson
Carfrae
Gajer
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [craigj532] [ In reply to ]
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Current forecast for Saturday is for showers and a high of 84º. I'd say that changes the race dynamics immensely. It gives guys like McMahon and Sanders a much better chance of a podium. Anyone know why Vanhoenacker isn't racing this year?

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Madison photographer Timothy Hughes | Instagram
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Timtek wrote:
Anyone know why Vanhoenacker isn't racing this year?

After his last not so stellar race in Kona, Marino vowed to not return. Things have never gone that well for him there even when he's seemed to have had a really excellent lead up. If it does top out at 84*F versus the 89 of last year it will definitely make for a much less oppressive race for everyone.

Hugh

Genetics load the gun, lifestyle pulls the trigger.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [sciguy] [ In reply to ]
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which is funny, cus he did well at imchoo last week
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [ahhchon] [ In reply to ]
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Which is actually kind of sad. He won a race in wayyyy hotter conditions than Kona will be by 7 minutes.

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Madison photographer Timothy Hughes | Instagram
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Timtek wrote:
Which is actually kind of sad. He won a race in wayyyy hotter conditions than Kona will be by 7 minutes.


Humidity and heat are not the same thing.

The weather in Kona is perfect.

That is, unless you are trying to run a marathon in the afternoon sun.
(Then it feels like your stuck in Roseanne Barr's a#. And smells like it too - but thats just you).
Last edited by: dirtymangos: Oct 4, 16 13:07
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Bozzone, Jan, Sebi, McKenzie. Haven't picked out order yet. Lets go NZL. Southern Hemisphere domination in top 10 this year.



Rinne, Ryf, Hauschildt
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Timtek wrote:
Anyone know why Vanhoenacker isn't racing this year?

He got tired of Greg Welch butchering the pronunciation of his name.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [craigj532] [ In reply to ]
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M- Potts
Kienle

W- Ryf
Carfrae

I'd really like to see Andy win one, Depending on how she recovered from a heavy race load this year I just don't see how Carfrae can hang with Ryf. Of course I'm a noob and don't really know $hit !
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [sciguy] [ In reply to ]
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sciguy wrote:
After his last not so stellar race in Kona, Marino vowed to not return.

I remember that interview he gave. If this year is indeed the coolest in recent history that guy is going to be kicking himself though.

Cooler temps will open really open up the race across the board IMO. Fast athletes will still be fast, but there could be a lot of surprises.

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Madison photographer Timothy Hughes | Instagram
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Men's race I predict a boring race: Frodeno, Reed, Hoffman.
Women's race I think it will be a classic: Carfrae, Hauschild, Wurtele.

I think the men's race will be similar to last year, Kienle will bridge to the front group but will go too hard, so lose it big time on the run. Reed and Hoffman will run more conservatively and be happy with podium places. (2nd and 3rd could be almost anyone!)

Women's race will see Ryf in the front group of the swim, Rinny a couple of minutes back and Hauschild even further back. Hauschild will pass Rinny late on the bike, Ryf won't make up much time on Rinny, and will lose time on Hauschild on the bike. Ryf starts the run, maybe Swallow will be with her, but she will only with a 5-8 minute advantage over the 2 runners. She goes out hard but starts losing time, pushes and blows up. Rinny runs by Hauschild late on in a 2:50 run. Wurtele inherits 3rd place from a broken Ryf.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [NUFCrichard] [ In reply to ]
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Weather updated to 92ºF Saturday. Little different than 84º lol.

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Madison photographer Timothy Hughes | Instagram
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Has anyone brought up TO or Hoffman? Yeah, I'm American, but they look solid and mentally they are ready. USA sweep.

To use a Macca quote "When Crowie won, he was built like a brick sh*thouse." They both look like "a brick sh*house" at the moment.

If I'm using that theory:

Hoffman
TO
Potts
_____

Sanders
Frodo
Don
Kienle
Bozzone

Bigger payout if the odds aren't in my favor, eh. Haven't paid much attention to the Women this year. I'll pick the ladies I like the best. If you have a beer sponsor, you're No 1 in my book.

Corbin
Jackson
Kessler

"The person on top of the mountain didn't fall there." - unkown

also rule 5
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Women: Rinny, Ryf, Wurtele
Men: Kinele, McMahon, Frodeno
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Timtek wrote:
The current pro start list is here: http://www.trirating.com/...-date-pro-startlist/

It's hard for me to bet against the status quo in the men's race: Jan (DNS 70.3 WC), Sebby, Andy Raelert (stress fracture May, 2016), Potts, McKenzie, O'Donnell. Very tough for me to pick a dark horse in this race....

I think the women's race may have more surprises in store. Obviously Ryf (overraced 2016?) and Rinny (contrary to popular belief I don't see her making the podium) will come in as favorites, but with plenty of women wearing higher bib numbers who could challenge: Hauschildt (fast!), Vesterby, Wurtele (unproven in Hawaii), Jackson, Luxford, Swallow.

Curious to hear everyone's picks.

Women
1) Hauschildt
2) Carfrae
3) Ryf

Men
1) Frodo
2) McMahon
3) Kinele
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [kennykill] [ In reply to ]
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1. Ryf
2. Jackson
3. Carfrae


1. Frodeno
2. Kienle
3. Thomas

----------------------------
Jason
None of the secrets of success will work unless you do.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [Timtek] [ In reply to ]
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Men:

Kienle
Frodeno
Vanlierde (boy is he fit) surprises people Saturday

Women:
Ryf in a land slide (anyone that says she isn't as fit as last year is clueless).
Mel H
Mary Beth in her swan song
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [mrw42976] [ In reply to ]
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mrw42976 wrote:
Men:

Vanlierde (boy is he fit) surprises people Saturday


I hope he eats something after the race


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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [randomtriguy] [ In reply to ]
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M-T.O., Kienle, Potts

W. Carfee, Ryf, Wurtele
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [randomtriguy] [ In reply to ]
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randomtriguy wrote:
mrw42976 wrote:
Men:

Vanlierde (boy is he fit) surprises people Saturday


I hope he eats something after the race


Jesus. He looks like he has full blown AIDS.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [NordicSkier] [ In reply to ]
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NordicSkier wrote:
Timtek wrote:
Anyone know why Vanhoenacker isn't racing this year?

He got tired of Greg Welch butchering the pronunciation of his name.

I've read that about 5 times now (stupid IPhone update), and laugh each time
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [sciguy] [ In reply to ]
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Men:

Frodo can hang with Potts for the swim, that says to me Potts won't win. Anything can happen I guess.

Raelert (I just like him)
Frodo
Keinle

McMahon/Sanders are in the top ten

Women:

The 70.3 worlds worries me but Ryf is too good not to podium (I think)
Carfrae
Wurtele
Ryf

Dan Mayberry
Amateur a lot of things, professional a few things.
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Re: It's time for your Kona picks [boobooaboo] [ In reply to ]
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boobooaboo wrote:
Has anyone brought up TO or Hoffman? Yeah, I'm American, but they look solid and mentally they are ready. USA sweep.

To use a Macca quote "When Crowie won, he was built like a brick sh*thouse." They both look like "a brick sh*house" at the moment.

Is being built like a brick shit house weighing around 68kgs at 1.8m? for Craig Alexander...

How heavy was Macca really when he won Kona? His legs are solid but his upper body always looked manorexic with his ribs showing through his chest etc.
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