klehner wrote:
We can be careful, and respectful. My heart goes out to the families of these incidents.
However, what you are doing is the same thing that states do to promote their lotteries. The law of large numbers allows us to make the following predictions with near certainty about the next 12 months:
- one or more triathletes will die in a bike accident; and
- one or more people will win the Power Ball lottery.
The law of large numbers also says the following, also with near certainty: - neither of the above will be you
The number of hours, or miles, or riders, is so big, and the number of fatalities among triathletes is so small, as to make the risk very, very small. Throw out the deaths that were entirely preventable by the rider (riding in sketchy conditions, riding drunk, riding through intersections illegally, riding without a helmet, etc.), and the risk is made vanishingly small. I think this is well said. Looking at the NTSB data for 2014 (just published in 2016), the actual risk is 0.23 deaths per 100,000 people.
I'm not sure how you could use the site here to get meaningful data. Defining the actual number of rider hours/miles per year would help in knowing what the denominator is to more accurately calculate the risk, but how to do it and how to use social media/ST/internet sites?
Education about how to ride appropriately and safely is likely the best thing that can be done, IMO. The highest death rate is older males and the second risk population are adolescents. Quite a different population/skill set etc. Being a good role model/parent and wearing a helmet and making your child wear one is a good start. We're not going to change risk behavior on a website, but education is key. Safer roads would help, but we all make choices. I know I am not stopping riding outside.
Here is a link to the 2014 data on cycling fatality-cycling information starts on page 152
https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/#/DocumentTypeList/12 http://www.pedbikeinfo.org/...tsheet_crash.cfm#No1 and a nice article about 'fear mongering' related to cycling.
http://bfw.org/...g-a-bicycle-is-safe/ And simply having a helmet on reduces the risk by 50%.
http://www.bhsi.org/stats.htm The data suggest that the actual injury rate over the past 20 years is going down and the death rate had been unchanged year over year.
Quick Facts
Highlights of US statistics available from the US Department of Transportation:
Traffic Safety Facts - 2014 Data (released in June, 2016 and still the most recent). Their data has only deaths and injuries related to car crashes.
- 726 bicyclists died on US roads in 2014 (743 in 2013, 726 in 2012. 1,003 back in 1975)
- 50,000 bicyclists were injured in traffic 1n 2014, up from 48,000 in 2013 (52,000 in 2010)
- Bicyclists 14 and under killed in 2014: 50 (7% of total. Injured: 6,000
- Bicyclist deaths represented 2.2% of all 2013 traffic fatalities. (2.3% in 2013)
- Average age of a bicyclist killed on US roads: 45 (36 in 2002)
- Males killed 87%. Males injured 83%.
- Nearly one fifth (24%) of the cyclists killed had been drinking. (Blood alcohol over .01 g/dl)
- Fatal crashes typically were urban (71%) and not at intersections (56%).
- Fatalities were about half during daylight hours.
Who is getting killed in bicycling crashes?
A detailed breakdown of the age, gender, and location of bicycle crash victims is available from The
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Some of the more noteworthy trends and numbers are:
- The average age of bicyclists killed in crashes with motor vehicles continues to increase, climbing to 45 years old in 2014, up from 39 in 2004, 32 in 1998, and 24 in 1988.
- 88 percent of those killed were male.
- 71 percent of bicyclist fatalities occurred in urban areas.
- 20 percent of bicyclist fatalities occurred between 6 and 8:59 p.m.
- 19 percent of bicyclists killed had blood alcohol concentrations of 0.08 g/dL or higher.
- In 35 percent of the crashes, either the driver or the bicyclist had blood alcohol concentrations of 0.08 g/dL or higher.
- California (128), Florida (139), and Texas (50) lead the nation in the number of bicyclist fatalities.
- Just two states, Rhode Island and Vermont, reported no fatalities in 2014.
-
Causes of injury
According to the
2012 National Survey on Bicyclist and Pedestrian Attitudes and Behaviors, nearly a third of all injuries are caused when bicyclists are struck by cars.
Six most Frequent Sources of Injury Percent
Hit by car 29
Fell 17
Roadway/walkway not in good repair 13
Rider error/not paying attention 13
Crashed/collision 7
Dog ran out 4
How can bicycle-related injuries and deaths be prevented? Effective InterventionsEffective interventions to reduce injuries and fatalities to bicyclists include the following:
Bicycle helmets Bicycle helmets reduce the risk of head and brain injuries in the event of a crash.5 All bicyclists, regardless of age, can help protect themselves by wearing properly fitted bicycle helmets every time they ride.
Bicycle helmet laws for children These laws are effective for increasing helmet use and reducing crash-related injuries and deaths among children.6
Bicycle helmet laws for adults
These laws increase helmet use among adults.6
Promising Interventions
Interventions that have shown promise for reducing injuries and fatalities to bicyclists include the following:
Active lighting and rider visibility - Fluorescent clothing can make bicyclists visible from further away than regular clothing during the daytime.6
- Retro-reflective clothing can make bicyclists more visible at night.6
- Active lighting can include front white lights, rear red lights, or other lighting on the bicycle or bicyclist. This lighting may improve the visibility of bicyclists.6
Roadway engineering measures Information about roadway engineering measures, like bike lanes, that can improve safety for bicyclists is available from
The Pedestrian and Bicycle Information Center.
2014 NATIONAL STATISTICS-US Dept of Transportation
PedalcyclistsKilledorInjuredandFatalityandInjuryRatesper100,000Population,byAgeandSex-by cause
Failuretoyieldrightofway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
196
27.0
Failuretoobeytrafficsigns,signals,orofficer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
70
9.6
Notvisible(darkclothing,nolighting,etc.). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
61
8.4
Undertheinfluenceofalcohol,drugs,ormedication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
49
6.7
Wrong-wayriding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
35
4.8
Makingimproperturn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
34
4.7
Dartingorrunningintoroad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
28
3.9
Impropercrossingofroadwayorintersection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
3.3
Operatingwithoutrequiredequipment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
22
3.0
Ridingonwrongsideoftheroad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
22
3.0
Improperorerraticlanechanging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
1.8
Failingtohavelightsonwhenrequired . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
11
1.5
Inattentive(talking,eating,etc.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
1.4
Failuretokeepinproperlaneorrunningoffroad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8
1.1
Makingimproperentryorexitfromtrafficway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
7
1.0
Some older data here:
Cyclist fatalities occurred more frequently in urban areas (66%), at nonintersection locations (67%), between the hours of 5 p.m. and 9 p.m. (30%), and during the months of June, July, and August (36%). (
NHTSA, 2004)
89% of fatal bike crashes in NYC occurred at or within 25 feet of intersections. ("Bicyclist Fatalities and Serious Injuries in New York City",
PDF, NYC government, 2005)
33% of cycling fatalies were at intersections. (
Treehugger, 2009)
The most common bike-car collision is a driver failing to yield at a stop sign. (
Bicycling Life, 1995)
Study shows the most common kinds of bike-car collisions. (
Bicycling Life, 1995)
Riding the wrong way (against traffic) is three times as dangerous as riding the right way, and for kids, it's seven times as dangerous. (
Bicycling Life, 1985-89)
Riding on the sidewalk is several more times more dangerous than riding in the street. (
William Moritz, 1998) Another study says it's twice as dangerous. (
Bicycling Life, 1985-89)
Most deaths on major roads. Fifty-seven percent of bicycle deaths in 1999 occurred on major roads, and 37 percent occurred on local roads. (6)
Streets with bike lanes have a significantly lower crash rate then either major or minor streets without any bicycle facilities (38 and 56% respectively). (
William Moritz, 1998)
Streets with bike lanes are safer than those without. Article also has information about the safety of bike paths. (
BicyclingInfo.org, 2004)
Texas leads cycling deaths. Texas ranks 14th in number of cyclist fatalities per capita. (5)
Four states lead cycling deaths. Four states (California, Florida, New York, and Texas) accounted for 43% of bicycle deaths in 1999. (6)
Austin stats. Statistics specific to Austin are listed
below.
And Austin, Tx used to be a pretty dangerous place to ride. (old data)
Stats specific to Austin A good collection of statistics regarding car-bike collisions in Austin is available on the
bicycle section of the City's
Safe Communities page. Here are some excerpts from their report (percentages have been rounded):
- An average of 2.4 cyclists dies each year in Austin. (From 1980-96, the fewest in any one year was 0, and the most was 7.)
- Of the 41 cyclists killed between 1980-1996, 39 were struck by motor vehicles. (>95%)
- 80% of the victims were age 39 or under.
- From 1990-96, 12 cyclists were killed, but another 1,222 were injured. Of those injured, around 15% suffered incapacitating injuries (i.e., needed help leaving the scene of the crash).
- Surprisingly, from 1994-96, nearly 78% of cyclist injuries occurred during daylight hours, which a huge chunk of the total (42%) occurring during just the four-hour period of 4-8pm.
- However, although nighttime collisions are more rare, they're also more dangerous. While only 22% of all injuries occurred at dusk or at night, 46% of fatal and incapacitating injuries did.
- From 1994-96, 57% of bicycle injuries either occurred at intersections or were intersection-related. Another 16% occurred at commercial or residential driveways. Since driveways are really a kind of intersection, ~73% occurred at some kind of intersection.
- Bicyclists were judged to be in violation of the law in 62% of crashes from 1994-96.
- Of the 180 cases in which the police noted motorist-related crash factors, citations were issued to motorists only 35% of the time. (1994-96) For example, in the 39 cases in 1998 where drivers caused or contributed to bike collisions by failing to yield the right of way, citations were issued in only 14 cases.
- While most collisions occurred on city streets, those occurring on the frontage road of I-35 or on county roads were about twice as likely to be fatal or incapacitating (probably due to the increased speed of automobiles on these roads).
Another link to helpful suggestions about avoiding different types of collisions.
http://bicyclesafe.com/ It's always about choices and education about actual risks. I feel bad when I see or hear people who have been involved in bike tradegies, and as a medical professional myself, I hear about it a lot-because people know I bike.
Seems to me there are some obvious take home messages that we should personally always do, and I'm sure most here already do these things.
Wear a helmet and make your child.
Don't drink and cycle.
Be extra cautious between 6 and 9pm on a weekend or 3-6pm on a weekday-or choose very safe roads as this appears to be a high risk time of day.
Ride in numbers-safely, following the rules of the road.
Wear bright clothing.
Ride on safe streets with bike lanes.
And do not worry about the risk as much as people would have you believe. The risk is low, but the choice is always our own.
Dale