motoguy128 wrote:
1:00 swim with a 3:40 run at best with a 5:17 bike won't cut it. You'll be 20' out of the top 5. In comparison, I have an athlete in your AG looking to KQ and he'll probably go 55:00 (current aided), bike right at 5:00 flat and run 3:25 for around 9:25 with transitions. and will be on the bubble for 2nd or 3rd in his AG I suspect and might need a rolldown. It will come down to the run. He's made the most improvement there, but is somewhat unproven in triathlons.
I predict you go around 9:55 depending on the swim and if you blow up on the run or not.
I didn't stay for allocation/roll down. Did M25-29 get two or three spots? Any roll?