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Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert)
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Stage one in the books and one of those great moments in cycling when the "wrong" guy wins it. Looked to be somewhat of a mix up with the sprint trains, Lukas Postalberger, who's really a domestique/lead-out guy for his team, get's a bit of a gap in the final kilometer, and then get's the green-light to just go for it, and rides in for the win!

Never in his wildest dreams did he think he would be pulling on the Maglia Rosa when it was all over!

Big day for the Bora-Hansgrohe team as they take all the Jerseys!

Love the Giro - living up to it's unpredictable and wildness, on Stage One!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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steve, be honest .... did you think he sat up 50 meters to early? I was SURE the blew it. I visualized him pointing to the logo on his jersey ... and finishing fourth.

what a great result. no way to predict that, even at the 2k to go mark

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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steve, be honest .... did you think he sat up 50 meters to early? I was SURE the blew it. I visualized him pointing to the logo on his jersey ... and finishing fourth.


Yes, he almost missed it and blew it. I kept saying (shouting), "Don't sit up. Don't sit up"! They were RIGHT on him.

BIG rookie mistake.

At least this did not happen - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2UD0QtUeXbI


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
Last edited by: Fleck: May 5, 17 9:42
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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oh my god, I've never seen that one before. THAT's gonna leave a scar. jeepers
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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The feed I was watching had the announcers yelling at him as he sat up!! They were nervous it was too early to sit up... Glad it worked out though.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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THAT's gonna leave a scar

Dave,

This version of that same video will REALLY scar you then ( If you are a Democrat!) - warning - MASSIVE laughs - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7vKDzgRdEY


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
Last edited by: Fleck: May 5, 17 10:40
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Good first day. Sad to see Teklehaimanot not taking those early points for the KOM jersey but he can only blame himself for that...

2020 Team Zoot MTN
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [tsdogma] [ In reply to ]
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Love it when that happens. It's great for the guy- GT STAGE WINNER.
Even though I had Caleb for the win.

Lil observation: Did anyone see at an intermediate sprint all the past winners' names painted on the road? Left me shaking my head ruefully.

The Giro is cray cray.

While I'm in the bag for the Cannondale kids, I predict once again that Katusha, Astana do very well. It must be all the garlic.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Steve, what media outlet are you using in Ontario to watch? Let's start a new thread for each day's stage so that things don't get buried.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Dev,


I thought one thread would be better, than putting one up for each day. Did not want to hog the front board, and other than REAL controversy, the discussion/debate about each stage is more or less done for the day at the end of that day and we move on to the next stage!

I watched today here - http://www.granfondoguide.com/ - it's the Eurosport feed with Sean Kelly et al on the commentary.

Please send a Thank You note to the folks at Gran Fondo Guide - Simon Smith & Mark Harding for making this happen - marketing@granfondoguide.com


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Ding! Ding! Ding!!!!


not so good for that whole Italian racing thing.....


http://www.granfondoguide.com/LiveStream/GirodItalia/1/2712/bardiani-riders-withdrawn-from-giro-start
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Steve, did you catch what happened to the BMC rider at 3k to go? He is shown holding his crank and pedal in his hand. However, there is something that looks like a BB bearing cup too. I can't tell if the crank fell off, if he broke the spindle, the BB came, out, or some combination of the above.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [JesseN] [ In reply to ]
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Yes. I saw that. With the way modern cranks/BBs are built, I always wonder how that could happen?

I recall a photo from a long time ago of the great Laurent Fignon sitting on the road, after he had fallen. Fignon is sitting on the road with the pedal and the whole of the crank arm, sitting in front of him and it's obviously snapped/sheered right off off at the BB.

Found photo - http://bit.ly/2pRJm8r


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
Last edited by: Fleck: May 6, 17 7:47
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [JesseN] [ In reply to ]
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I'm watching the Giro here on the Granfondo Guide supplied live stream - http://http://www.granfondoguide.com/LiveStream/GirodItalia


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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watching on xfinity in the states.

gotta say, I don't know this area at all. its beautiful. glorious mountains and valleys

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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Dave - Indeed. Looks like a beautiful area.

All back together with 30Km to go. Downhill and flat run-in to the finish. Slow stage so far - 34km/h average. Piano! Could be a wild and very fast bunch sprint for the win here in Stage 2.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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ha! yesterday we didn't know the winner with 2K to go. today, we knew it was gonna be Griepel with about 30k to go

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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Bad luck for Caleb Ewan - pulled out of the pedal with about 200m to go. Amazing that he stayed up-right. That could have brought down a bunch of people.

Greipel in Pink! First time for him, I think I heard them say.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Damn!
I have Ewan in my team, you'd think the Orica mechs would crank the pedal release to maximum for the sprinters.

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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I have Ewan in my team, you'd think the Orica mechs would crank the pedal release to maximum for the sprinters.


I am sure they do.

Looks like there may have been a bit of contact, just prior to the pull out. There is a tendency when you are doing this to counter the movement with some leg twisting/torquing - if that is radiated to the pedal, then you will pull out - that's the way they work - you need to pull straight up to stay engaged.

As I noted, I'm always amazed when sprinters do this and they are able to keep the bike upright - Kudos to Caleb. It's a very dangerous high speed situation.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Happy for Greipel. By all accounts a great guy and a sprinter who'll ride everything and smash it for his team when he can.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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I think the pedal pull out was either caused by or coincided with a dropped chain. You can see he pauses to clip in, spins quickly for a second, then raises the middle finger in frustration. I think he somehow dumped it off the big chainring.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [JesseN] [ In reply to ]
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Looks like a dropped chain, the way he spun out afterwards.

Good save by Katusha.

'It never gets easier, you just get crazier.'
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [georged] [ In reply to ]
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Day 3 shows how much the wind can change the race.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [KarlC] [ In reply to ]
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Big time. Made for a much more exciting race in the last 15 or so km!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [KarlC] [ In reply to ]
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Day 3 shows how much the wind can change the race.


Looked to be some awesome stage-recon work on the part of Quick-Step and then a strategic decesion to launch an almost whole team attack when they turned into the quartering head-wind at just the right moment. Blew the whole front of the race up.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Love the Giro - No "transition" stage(s) like they have at the Tour de France, they go from "sprinters stages", right to a full blown Mountain Goat stage!

Profile for tommorow's Mt Etna Stage - http://www.steephill.tv/...talia/profile-04.jpg

. . well they did give them a rest day! :)


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Fleck wrote:
Looked to be some awesome stage-recon work on the part of Quick-Step and then a strategic decesion to launch an almost whole team attack when they turned into the quartering head-wind at just the right moment. Blew the whole front of the race up.

That move is just in the Quick-Step DNA. Crosswind? Drive it full gas to the gutter and blow shit up. And it's not like it was a secret. You could see teams trying to advance for miles before the turn. But a Classics team is going to win that positioning battle every time. Also in the sprint Gavaria's leadout man drove Nizzolo into a Nathan Haas, causing Nizzolo to have to scrub speed. Nasty, dirty racing by Quick Step. Love it.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Nasty, dirty racing by Quick Step. Love it.

Indeed, they played that one well! :)






Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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More great work today by Quick-Step - they are ruling the early days of the Giro!

The Etna stage which I could not watch live (just did a bit of a review) proved to be a bit anti-climatic - most of the CG contenders eye-balled one another when the crux part of the race happened mid-way up Etna. A few digs from Nibali. Zakarin gained a few bonus time seconds. They said that the Etna would be too early for someone to really go for it, and that proved to be the case.

If you are new to following Road Racing the best summary web site is http://www.steephill.tv/ - great aggregation of news and content.

Love guys like Jan Polanc - away in a break since 2km in, and somehow hangs in and on, all the way for the win!

Looks like back to more action for the sprinters tomorrow.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Jungels is interesting. Prominent in the Ardennes, crazy strong pounding it out on the flats and he's their GC guy. He was smart to help make the QS effort in the wind stick but he looked like Boonen doing it.
Would be cool, but I cannot see him sticking in the front group in the high mountains.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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I was able to catch the last 10-15k at work and would argue that it was anything but anti-climatic...Sure, none of the big names did anything but it was excruciating watching to see if Polanc could hold them off! Another k and he would have been toast...it was a fantastic finish to watch.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Toefuzz] [ In reply to ]
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Chapeau to Polanc, he was solo for a large part of the stage.
He also got lucky because Gaviria went way wide on a turn 18K from the finish, threw a spanner in the works of the peloton, after that none of the GC contenders wanted to seriously stick their necks out.
Still too early for Nibili or Quintana.
Too bad for Dennis, hurtin for certain from yesterdays crash, lots of people were expecting big things from this kid

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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agreed on all counts. I couldn't watch yesterday's stage live either but I would have been surprised to see any GC guy make a move, with the possible exception of Nibali. and even for him it would have been a vanity project. its just too early to go so deep, only to be obliged to defend the jersery for another two weeks. no thanks. still a cool stage though. the break worked!!!!
and I too am loving the QS 'dominance'! LOL

also agree on the stages. we should have some old school travel-log racing for a couple of days with sprint finishes. and then a break gets away on either Friday or Saturday (you heard it here first). Sunday .... I don't know. could be fun, or it could be a replay of today.




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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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HAHAHA! Another classic "wining the bell lap" episode!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
HAHAHA! Another classic "wining the bell lap" episode!

you just knew it was going to happen. if one were to be cynical, then one would say that being on camera for doing silly stuff like that is better than being anonymous (the whole "the only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about" philosophy)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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wow, QS is having a great year. another stage, another jersey. on top of Phil Gil's great start to the year.
not too shabby.

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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not too shabby.


In the past on these boards we have been very critical of QS - despite massive talent and horse-power, they would often botch up races that they should have won.

But yes, this year in all seems to be coming right for the new blue-train!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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QS looks like they may try and split this again. Wind is up.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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Kind of a long boring stage until a wild finale with a crazy sprint at the end. Young Caleb Ewan wins his first ever Giro stage.

In review, they could not see the line until about 100M to go. I thought that Ewan had gone too early - he went around his last lead-out man, before he had pulled off. It was a long sprint, and he just won in a close photo finish at the line!

Tomorrow there is a bit of geography/topography that may play into the hands of a break-away that can stick! The GC favorites will be probably taking it easy, so it will be a good day for a break to get away and stay away. The massive mountain top finish at Blochaus comes up on Sunday could provide another shake-up in the GC!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Agreed, extremely boring stage.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [EnderWiggan] [ In reply to ]
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bump.........

i follow Cannondale pretty closely and while we keep hearing about how they haven't won a GT stage in 2 years, it was Formolo who did that in this race and he's riding pretty well thus far.....Woods got a fourth yesterday and can do some work at the beginning of the climb today and Carthy and Dombrowski should be in the mix with Formolo..Joe D may or may not be up for it as he's been hurt, etc but i think he's been keeping his powder dry.... .Rolland made the break...almost there...little negotiations going on now..hope they let him on cuz i don't want Cdale to do any more work today until the climb........i'm thinking this is a Quintana day, hoping for Yates too and Formolo...
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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well, this sucks.....all the Cdale boys working on the front except Formolo so I guess he's the man today if they have one...Rolland is too dangerous overall, apparently....
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
well, this sucks.....all the Cdale boys working on the front except Formolo so I guess he's the man today if they have one...Rolland is too dangerous overall, apparently....

We need a proper thread for today's stage:



Everything is totally tense in the lead up to the base of the Blockhaus climb. Movistar and Bahrain are drilling it at the front with 3K to go to the climb. It's the 50th anniversary of the first climb up
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Oh Jeez, Sky carnage all over the road. Geraint doesn't look good.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Holy shit.....right before the climb, the peloton is going full throttle and a police moto stops at the edge of the road. Team Sky literally plows right in. Thomas and Landa down with 2 others. It looks like Movistar and Bahrain OK....I see Adam Yates at the back of the peloton on the base of the climb!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Oh Jeez, Sky carnage all over the road. Geraint doesn't look good.

It looks like Thomas is pedaling but not injured....just gapped. Same with Adam Yates. The commentators are talking about this trend of motos messing up the racing (Ventoux last year)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Did I just see Thomas with a teammate pulling him?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Did I just see Thomas with a teammate pulling him?


That's Landa, the other Sky GC threat. Thomas is bleeding from a few places. Yates also off the back. No way they catch the GC gruppo with Movistar drilling it.
Last edited by: trail: May 14, 17 7:22
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Did I just see Thomas with a teammate pulling him?


That's Landa, the other Sky GC threat. Thomas is bleeding from a few places. Yates also off the back. No way they catch the GC gruppo with Movistar drilling it.

Did I see a 2:46 gap from Thomas to the front of the peloton?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
trail wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Did I just see Thomas with a teammate pulling him?


That's Landa, the other Sky GC threat. Thomas is bleeding from a few places. Yates also off the back. No way they catch the GC gruppo with Movistar drilling it.


Did I see a 2:46 gap from Thomas to the front of the peloton?

Yup. He's not closing that. But if he ends the day with less than 2:00, that'll be reasonable.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
trail wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Did I just see Thomas with a teammate pulling him?


That's Landa, the other Sky GC threat. Thomas is bleeding from a few places. Yates also off the back. No way they catch the GC gruppo with Movistar drilling it.


Did I see a 2:46 gap from Thomas to the front of the peloton?


Yup. He's not closing that. But if he ends the day with less than 2:00, that'll be reasonable.

2:39 for Land and Thomas.

Jungels looks like he is jettisoned from the top group. Are Doumoulin and Nibali still in there? Do I see Woods in there in the top 11.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Teejay just exploded....bummer...Zakarin off the back now...I see the Cdale rider with him is Formolo? Doumoulin still hanging on these steepest grades?

Maglia Rosa to Quintana?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Nibali gets into the TT posiiton on a 10% grade and counters attacks from Quintana and Pinot!!!

The entire giro just detonated. Nibali has to take the first Italian stage win for the home crowd on their 100th Giro
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Interesting that Quintana is riding a high variability strategy and Nibali just maybe ups his effort by 5-10% and gradually closes each attack
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Kind of surprised Movistar is revealing Quintana's numbers. Showing 477W last time they showed it on screen.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Sanny87] [ In reply to ]
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Great ride by Dumoulin and Pinot. Dumoulin is now officially a climber. With his TT skill, he's a threat to Quintana.
Last edited by: trail: May 14, 17 8:00
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Sanny87 wrote:
Kind of surprised Movistar is revealing Quintana's numbers. Showing 477W last time they showed it on screen.
when you are the king by a long margin, you really aren't afraid what everyone else is doing
trail wrote:
Great ride by Dumoulin and Pinot. Dumoulin is now officially a climber. With his TT skill, he's a threat to Quintana.
I guess the fact that there aren't so many true mountain top finishes should aid Dumoulin. Wonder how much time Dumoulin would take from Quintana.

I'm thinking perhaps 2:15-2:45?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Sanny87 wrote:
Kind of surprised Movistar is revealing Quintana's numbers. Showing 477W last time they showed it on screen.

when you are the king by a long margin, you really aren't afraid what everyone else is doing
trail wrote:
Great ride by Dumoulin and Pinot. Dumoulin is now officially a climber. With his TT skill, he's a threat to Quintana.

I guess the fact that there aren't so many true mountain top finishes should aid Dumoulin. Wonder how much time Dumoulin would take from Quintana.

I'm thinking perhaps 2:15-2:45?

Lots of TTing left and final day is Monza to Milano. Quintana will need to explode Dumoulin in the Dolomites or this thing will be super close.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Sanny87 wrote:
Kind of surprised Movistar is revealing Quintana's numbers. Showing 477W last time they showed it on screen.

when you are the king by a long margin, you really aren't afraid what everyone else is doing
trail wrote:
Great ride by Dumoulin and Pinot. Dumoulin is now officially a climber. With his TT skill, he's a threat to Quintana.

I guess the fact that there aren't so many true mountain top finishes should aid Dumoulin. Wonder how much time Dumoulin would take from Quintana.

I'm thinking perhaps 2:15-2:45?

If Quintana was doing 477W was Dumoulin pushing close to 600W at that moment in time?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Didn't show Dumoulin's at the time, wasn't in the same group. It was one of the steep sections where he was pulling away from Nibali and Pinot.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Lots of TTing left and final day is Monza to Milano. Quintana will need to explode Dumoulin in the Dolomites or this thing will be super close.
I wonder how much time Quintana will have on Dumoulin going into the final stage? This could be very entertaining.

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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Alvin Tostig wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Lots of TTing left and final day is Monza to Milano. Quintana will need to explode Dumoulin in the Dolomites or this thing will be super close.

I wonder how much time Quintana will have on Dumoulin going into the final stage? This could be very entertaining.

With the amount of TTing left, I would think Quintana would need 3-3.5 min of buffer generated in the mountains to be sure of the win. What do you think?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Alvin Tostig wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Lots of TTing left and final day is Monza to Milano. Quintana will need to explode Dumoulin in the Dolomites or this thing will be super close.[/quote]
I wonder how much time Quintana will have on Dumoulin going into the final stage? This could be very entertaining.[/quote]

With the amount of TTing left, I would think Quintana would need 3-3.5 min of buffer generated in the mountains to be sure of the win. What do you think?[/quote]

2 ITTs left, tuesdays (stage 10)is 39.8k with a few hills; last stage is 29.3k slight downhill.
Certainly the 10th stage will favour Dumuolin, he'll prolly win the pink by a minute or so.
But Quintana looked like a beast today on the Blockhaus, and didn't look like he was suffering much.
The last week has a lot of climbing, this gonna be epic!

I hope they fire that motocop

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 14, 17 12:27
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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C'Dale really lighting up this race, Tejay going for the reverse breakaway, and an amazing ride by Dumoulin who will likely take the lead after the first TT. The question remains can he hang on in the final week? I do wonder if Sky now tries to burn up Quintana before the tour.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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Ron_Burgundy wrote:
C'Dale really lighting up this race, Tejay going for the reverse breakaway, and an amazing ride by Dumoulin who will likely take the lead after the first TT. The question remains can he hang on in the final week? I do wonder if Sky now tries to burn up Quintana before the tour.

The best way to have done that was for Thomas to have been in contention on the mountain stages, with Quintana having to bury himself in advance of the TT's. Having said that, Dumoulin seems like Sky should pay Dumoulin a massive bonus if he can keep the heat on Quintana and stay within 2 min before the final stage ITT from Monza to Milano. If Dumoulin can do that, Quintana should have burned a lot of matches prior to LeTour. I am not sure what Sky can do right now to burn Quintana's legs aside from some some of surprise ambush where they catch Movistar napping and Thomas gains back 3+ minutes.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Alvin Tostig wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Lots of TTing left and final day is Monza to Milano. Quintana will need to explode Dumoulin in the Dolomites or this thing will be super close.

I wonder how much time Quintana will have on Dumoulin going into the final stage? This could be very entertaining.


With the amount of TTing left, I would think Quintana would need 3-3.5 min of buffer generated in the mountains to be sure of the win. What do you think?
Between the two ITT's, Dumoulin might take back 3-3.5 minutes. But on the last stage, it will be tough for Dumoulin to take back more than 90 seconds.

Shame about Thomas, Landa, and Yates today, but sometimes stuff happens. Still plenty of GC contenders and a lot of racing left to go though. Should be entertaining.

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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With crashes like this one involving a moto at a critical juncture in the race it would seem to make sense that a commissar could step up and neutralize things for a finite amount of time, maybe a minute or two. That way, riders who can stay in the race has an opportunity to get back on and back in and are not screwed by some external factor. Pretty subjective, and they would probably have to see the accident as it occurred, or have a race official watching on tv communicate with them quickly, but really does suck that this sort of thing sends a guy home or out of contention. Thomas, Yates- this was such a critical time for these guys and they're effectively out of the GC. And there was a time when guys would pull up and neutralize themselves. I don't blame the various DS for being pissed at Movistar.

As for Cannondale, or Tejay or really anyone else in the race, they're doing what they can with what they have. Not sure why that's up for ridicule Formolo was top 10, 90 seconds behind Nibali, and ahead of Kruijswijk, a GC favorite. Mission accomplished. Tejay finished with Jungels. He was never going to factor in this kind of climb anyway. Lots of guys got popped and we're only a third of the way through the race.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:

As for Cannondale, or Tejay or really anyone else in the race, they're doing what they can with what they have. Not sure why that's up for ridicule Formolo was top 10, 90 seconds behind Nibali, and ahead of Kruijswijk, a GC favorite. Mission accomplished. Tejay finished with Jungels.

OK, I'm not ridiculing, just disappointed. Tejay finished 16 seconds behind Jungels. If he'd finished around 2 minutes back, I could put a positive spin on it. 3:46 and 17th is bad. It looked like Hermans had to slow up to pace Tejay to the line. It was a bad day, full stop.

Same with Formolo. He's not a TT guy, so not sure what the end-game is. Finishing top-10 GC? I'd prefer Cannondale go for a stage win or two (which Formolo was the last to do) rather than finish 4-5 places off the GC podium. That way they'd be doing a lot more for their sponsors and the confidence of their riders. In my opinion.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
McNulty wrote:


As for Cannondale, or Tejay or really anyone else in the race, they're doing what they can with what they have. Not sure why that's up for ridicule Formolo was top 10, 90 seconds behind Nibali, and ahead of Kruijswijk, a GC favorite. Mission accomplished. Tejay finished with Jungels.


OK, I'm not ridiculing, just disappointed. Tejay finished 16 seconds behind Jungels. If he'd finished around 2 minutes back, I could put a positive spin on it. 3:46 and 17th is bad. It looked like Hermans had to slow up to pace Tejay to the line. It was a bad day, full stop.

Same with Formolo. He's not a TT guy, so not sure what the end-game is. Finishing top-10 GC? I'd prefer Cannondale go for a stage win or two (which Formolo was the last to do) rather than finish 4-5 places off the GC podium. That way they'd be doing a lot more for their sponsors and the confidence of their riders. In my opinion.

I didn't see your post. I was looking at another. Cannondale is still going for stages. That's always been the plan, and it was a shot for Formolo yesterday. But everyone has a plan until they're punched in the face, right? The Rolland in the break thing turned out to be a huge waste of energy. Movistar simply dominated the stage and the Cannondale DS, who doesn't have a team full of fans maybe should have known that they wouldn't let Rolland get too far up the road. Tejay- I give the guy credit for still trying to hang as a GC guy. He's got a lot of pride. He takes a lot of crap, but he brings a lot of it on himself too. Hermans will get to ride now.
Overall with Cannondale, I think they're riding aggressively and taking their shots, with nothing to lose going up against Sky and Movistar. I can't fault them for that. They rode the same in the one days.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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So ITT is up tomorrow, any predictions? Dumoulin takes pink?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [EnderWiggan] [ In reply to ]
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EnderWiggan wrote:
So ITT is up tomorrow, any predictions? Dumoulin takes pink?
I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Dumoulin will be in pink after tomorrow.

Pinot will be very close though. And Quintana won't lose that much time, although he could be in 4th (behind Mollema).

Should make for a good last week for the Giro.

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Dumoulin will be in pink after tomorrow.


The main GC contenders are now out on the ITT course (nearly 40km - with an uphill finish), and at this point Dumoulin, based on time, is in virtual Pink! But Quintana, may be fastest over the closing few kilometers which is uphill.

Who will take this?


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
Last edited by: Fleck: May 16, 17 9:13
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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Great call on Dumoulin. Takes the Stage win and the pink jersey.

Fill badly for Thomas - if not for the crash with the moto the other day, he would be right in the mix. Clearly he has the legs as he finished a strong second today in the ITT.

Dumolin now up by 2:23 in GC, but the other top 8 - 9 behind him still reasonably bunched. There are still some savage, mountain states to go in this Giro and anything can happen!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Sanny87] [ In reply to ]
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Sanny87 wrote:
Kind of surprised Movistar is revealing Quintana's numbers. Showing 477W last time they showed it on screen.

How would a rival team use this number to their advantage?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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This is the GC standing, end of the 10th stage: http://www.giroditalia.it/eng/rankings/
Dumoulin is 2:23 to the good of Quintana, with 11 stages remaining.
4 of the stages will be climbers [including the Stelvio], still one more ITT on the finale.
I'll predict Quintana will pass Dumoulin in the mountain stages for pink, and the winner will be decided in Milan.

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 16, 17 19:44
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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so when does NQ get the jersey back and how big of a lead does he need?

tomorrow (5/17) - a 2, two 3s, and a 2
Saturday (5/20) - a finishing cat 1
Tuesday (5/23) - fer sher. gotta have it after this

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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dsmallwood wrote:
so when does NQ get the jersey back and how big of a lead does he need?

tomorrow (5/17) - a 2, two 3s, and a 2
Saturday (5/20) - a finishing cat 1
Tuesday (5/23) - fer sher. gotta have it after this

not tomorrow; he's going to be too knackered by today's effort. Perhaps Saturday, more likely Tuesday.

How big a lead? Say 1 min 45, perhaps a bit less. Dumoulin would be tired by the final stage as well, doubtfull he'll be as effective. I'm not sure about the bonus second situation, but Quintana may be able to pad his lead with those (so the actual gap at the end of the stages doesn't need to be as large). It favors Dumoulin that there aren't as many MTF this year
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Fleck wrote:
Great call on Dumoulin. Takes the Stage win and the pink jersey.
The "going out out a limb" part was tongue in cheek, but I was pretty sure about Dumoulin being in pink after today.

However, I didn't think Dumoulin would be that much faster than everyone else. Quintana (and Pinot) were worse than I thought they'd be.

Given today's performances, Quintana will need at least a two minute lead over Dumoulin going into the final stage. That could happen. The loss of Kelderman won't help, but Dumoulin will probably just follow Quintana's wheel for as long as he can when they get to a mountain stage. Should be lots of fun to watch!

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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rather, i think Dumoulin will let Quintana ride away and just ride at a sustainable pace

Quintana will have to attack on the penultimate or an earlier climb to make a real difference
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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What's going on today? Who all are in this breakaway group 2 min up on the pink jersey Dutch Windmill guy?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Am I seeing Pinot attacking solo off the pack, ~ 2 min up on Dumoulin?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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No, he's only a handfull of seconds ahead of the Maglia Rosa group. Chase group is a large group of riders that have been away for a long time. Leaders are Rolland and Fraile.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [SkippiTT] [ In reply to ]
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Great racing ahead of a 220 k day coming up. Nice ride by Rolland, great ride by Fraile. Good on him. I thought Rui was going to come around them all.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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Lotta good racing yesterday in Cali.....
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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previous wrote:
Nasty, dirty racing by Quick Step. Love it.




looking for someone with more bike racing knowledge than me:
did the Bora squad try to drive Gaviria into the boards by blocking his leadout man into him?

https://t.co/mAhBILBJql


with a few hundred to go, the Bora and QS riders were bumping harnd. then they stopped. but once Gaviria started his flyer up the right side, it appeared that the Bora rider spotted him and tried to drive the QS rider right to cut off the lane. good on him, the QS rider knew Gaviria was coming and held the right side open.

so says my untrained eye.



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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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Thomas from the Sky Team has abandoned. He said his knee that was banged up on the Blockhaus stage has gotten worse every day. Considering that, his ITT was amazing. I wonder if his ITT position puts less stress on the injured part of the knee than his road position, or he just "dealt with it" in the ITT as there was more pain from elsewhere in the body, but at lower intensity on long stages it is really apparent.

http://www.cyclingnews.com/...ns-the-giro-ditalia/

Dev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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Looks like Selig of Bora actually blocked Ewan. Richeze of QS took a bump from Ewan to keep space for Gaviria on the right - amazing work from Richeze.

One could also say that Selig was making space to allow others to come on the left but to my eye he pulled off too much to the right. Others might see it differently.

Richeze was complaining about Selig constantly bumping in every sprint - seems a bit overly agressive.

I also thought the 700m to go attack from Postlberger was a great tactic - didn't expect to pull it off but he did force QS to close him down and that disrupted their train.

Gaviria has amazing cat-like sprinting qualities. He appears to be much bigger than Cav or McEwen who have similar characteristics.

I believe it was a slight downhill so that would have helped Gaviria a bit compared to Bennett or Ewan. He's a few lbs heavier than Bennett and quite a lot heavier than Ewan.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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or his time-trial position puts more stress on the knee. he could get through it once for the itt, but that extra stress on top of the (previous day?) crash maybe put the knee too far gone to recover this week?

dev, heard you and konaexpress are riding in Gatineau park tomorrow. have a fun time, and watch out for the racing cars. they seem to be worse this year.

run well, run happy
george
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [carlosflanders] [ In reply to ]
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It was a really cool sprint to watch. Richeze absolutely knew what he was doing, and his attempt to make space for Gaviria on the barrier was super smart and legal.

Gaviria is a little bigger than Bennett and Ewan, but at 70-71kg, he is pretty average in size for a sprinter. In addition to his ridiculous kick and maneuverability, his team has also mentioned several times how aerobically strong he is compared to other sprinters. He's probably marginally fresher at the end which makes it a little easier for him to unleash. His combination of skills is going to allow him to win a ton of races.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
Lotta good racing yesterday in Cali.....


Damn, Talanksy is hurting people. Great TT today.

He needs to group up the young Cannondale guys and teach them the ABCs.


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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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OK, it seems that Fleck needs to change the title of this thread to, "Cervelo releases new disc brake aero road bike with built in optional motor" at Giro. It seems like no one on ST is really interested in some of the best racing going on:

Here is today's stage profile. It is the first day that the climbers can try to do some damage on climber Dumoulin. Movistar has to shut down any breakaways so that no one can steal the stage time bonuses. Quintana needs to take every second of time bonus he can. Same with Nibali and Pinot. Those three teams should be motivated to keep things together until the climb up to Oropa. There should be a replay of the drag race to the foot of Blockhaus:


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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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i am intrigued by this stage. it could be a slug fest if it was at the end of the tour. sadly i suspect it will go down like Etna or the post TT stage; lots of staring, a few feints, but in the end, all drama, they all have Tuesday on their mind.

and good points about the doping. the race organizers don't get enough of the beating for the doping. some of these courses, wtf. of course no 'normal' person could do that. it would be carnage. and so, the UCI and the ASO look like the WWE. SMH.


(edit: i just realized that was in the other thread)
Last edited by: dsmallwood: May 20, 17 6:27
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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If you look at the Tour de Ski (XC ski World Tour race), basically a 12 year old kid could easily finish all stages every day with some effort. The stages are short enough so that it's full on racing, but a human does not need WWE style enhancement to just complete the thing and not be shattered. If you do any of these Grand Tour Queen Stage type of days, definitely a rest day before and after is needed for "real humans". I understand that pro athletes can race hard and recover faster than the rest of us tourists, but even they have their limits. When people used to say that athletes in the 80's raced less hard in cycling and the giro was a 4 hour cigar smoke followed by 1 hour of racing there was some truth to that. With access to less high octane dope, the peloton knew for self preservation things had to be paced out to just survive through the three weeks. Now with higher octane dope, and better prep, while not as insane as the Tour in terms of racing from the gun every day, it's not a cigar smoke/espresso stop tour for 80% of each day. Basically back then, there were equivalently stupid stages, but the peloton self preserved. It would be like an unwritten NFL rule where for 6 quarters, they would play touch football and the refs would roll with that, because the organizers decided to have 8 quarter games instead and it would turn into tackle football only in quarters 7 and 8.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana attacks, TD brings it back, and then attacks Quintana just as a "bring it bro" kind of moment.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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What a finish! I got home from work in time to watch the last 10k...probably the best finish I've watched so far this year. I definitely did not expect Quintana to get dropped.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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they should have more cobbles on climbing stages

i recall Dumoulin taking seconds on people in the 2015 Vuelta during similar circumstances, albeit on flat ground
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Toefuzz] [ In reply to ]
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Yup, so much for a dull stage. Fantastic finish. Can't wait til Tuesday. I just hope TD doesn't grenade
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [ridenfish39] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana is under pressure and mentally on the back foot, He tried to do too much today and paid the price.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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Ron_Burgundy wrote:
Quintana is under pressure and mentally on the back foot, He tried to do too much today and paid the price.

i don't think he's on the back foot; not until after 2 of the mountainous stages are over. Sunweb looked awfully weak in the final. If Quintana decides to attack on the penultimate climb or even earlier, Dumoulin might lose time. Sunweb will need to send people into the break to make sure that someone actually accompanies Dumoulin in the later kms of a stage
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Dumoulin surprised me at the cobbles today, but the final week is going to be the real test.
Lots of cat 1/2 climbs in one stage several days in a row.
If he's still leading his rivals going into final final TT, then the pink is his; if he's trailing Quintana by 2 minutes or more, Quintana will probably win.
If Dumoulin is behind by less than 2 minutes........

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
Sunweb will need to send people into the break to make sure that someone actually accompanies Dumoulin in the later kms of a stage

Geschke and Ten Dam are riders capable of getting in a break and helping TD. Hope they are in shape and have just been keeping their powder dry to this point. I don't recognize the names of any of the other remaining Sunweb riders (w/ Kelderman out). Are any of the others capable of providing support?

Stage today looked meh till 4-5 km to go and ended up super.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Ron_Burgundy wrote:
Quintana is under pressure and mentally on the back foot, He tried to do too much today and paid the price.


i don't think he's on the back foot; not until after 2 of the mountainous stages are over. Sunweb looked awfully weak in the final. If Quintana decides to attack on the penultimate climb or even earlier, Dumoulin might lose time. Sunweb will need to send people into the break to make sure that someone actually accompanies Dumoulin in the later kms of a stage

OK, so I missed watching today's stage and went for a ride but did not expect Quintana to be outgunned by Dumoulin for the stage. I guess we now know who is the boss of this peloton! Hopefully everything we see is what we see and there is no magic going on at Sunweb. I'm a fan of Dumoulin but it's feeling a bit too good to be true at the moment. Fingers crossed that the Dutch Grand Tour curse can be broken by this guy though. He's really riding like the boss of the peloton!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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RoYe wrote:
Dumoulin surprised me at the cobbles today, but the final week is going to be the real test.

Lots of cat 1/2 climbs in one stage several days in a row.
If he's still leading his rivals going into final final TT, then the pink is his; if he's trailing Quintana by 2 minutes or more, Quintana will probably win.
If Dumoulin is behind by less than 2 minutes........


I just watched today's highlight video and how Dumoulin just took control over the race:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvJiP0fbPxM

This feels like the Indurain transformation to me.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
RoYe wrote:
Dumoulin surprised me at the cobbles today, but the final week is going to be the real test.

Lots of cat 1/2 climbs in one stage several days in a row.
If he's still leading his rivals going into final final TT, then the pink is his; if he's trailing Quintana by 2 minutes or more, Quintana will probably win.
If Dumoulin is behind by less than 2 minutes........


I just watched today's highlight video and how Dumoulin just took control over the race:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvJiP0fbPxM

This feels like the Indurain transformation to me.

Well I hope so, being Dutch myself, after the bitter crashes of Kruijswijk and Mollema in the last two years. Dumoulin said himself in an interview that he was very glad but surprised he won the stage. He said the stage was favourable for him because it was all flat with only the climb at the end. Let's see how he'll do Tuesday. And indeed, we still have Kruijswijk and Mollema🇳🇱
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
did not expect Quintana to be outgunned by Dumoulin for the stage.
I thought Dumoulin would be able to stay with (or at least very close to) Quintana on today's stage, but seeing Dumoulin leave Quintana behind (on any hill) was surprising.

The climbs next week will be a bigger challenge for Dumoulin, but he sure looks good after today's stage.

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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Alvin Tostig wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
did not expect Quintana to be outgunned by Dumoulin for the stage.

I thought Dumoulin would be able to stay with (or at least very close to) Quintana on today's stage, but seeing Dumoulin leave Quintana behind (on any hill) was surprising.

The climbs next week will be a bigger challenge for Dumoulin, but he sure looks good after today's stage.


Today's stage has a 2000 ft "bump" before the finish in Bergamo:



They are on that section now, with Maglia Rosa group together. Small breakaway group 49 second up. No major players in that from what i can see

http://www.streaming-hub.com/lequipe-21-live/
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana crashes, but no major damage on the first descent. It looks like Dumoulin sat up and slowed down the Maglia Rosa group to let everyone re group...at least it looks like that.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Yep, very nice of Dumoulin to do it.

devashish_paul wrote:
Quintana crashes, but no major damage on the first descent. It looks like Dumoulin sat up and slowed down the Maglia Rosa group to let everyone re group...at least it looks like that.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [EnderWiggan] [ In reply to ]
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didn't realize that the stage finish is the same as the 2014 Giro di Lombardia, with that infamous gate of death with 1km left

edit: thank goodness i'm wrong about this. they choose a slightly different finish
Last edited by: echappist: May 21, 17 7:40
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Odd finish. Quintana "sprints" into 2nd place for the stage.

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [EnderWiggan] [ In reply to ]
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EnderWiggan wrote:
Yep, very nice of Dumoulin to do it.

devashish_paul wrote:
Quintana crashes, but no major damage on the first descent. It looks like Dumoulin sat up and slowed down the Maglia Rosa group to let everyone re group...at least it looks like that.

Yeah, he won me over with that move. As you guys know, I was critical of Movistar keeping the rev's up when the race was on at the bottom of Blockhaus and Thomas and Yates were down. Most people responded with "when the race is on no mercy". Glad to see Dumoulin react differently. He may have had the chance to put Quintana right out of contention today, but let him back in and then Quintana even got to claw back some bonus second due to his 2nd overall on the stage!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
EnderWiggan wrote:
Yep, very nice of Dumoulin to do it.

devashish_paul wrote:
Quintana crashes, but no major damage on the first descent. It looks like Dumoulin sat up and slowed down the Maglia Rosa group to let everyone re group...at least it looks like that.


Yeah, he won me over with that move. As you guys know, I was critical of Movistar keeping the rev's up when the race was on at the bottom of Blockhaus and Thomas and Yates were down. Most people responded with "when the race is on no mercy". Glad to see Dumoulin react differently. He may have had the chance to put Quintana right out of contention today, but let him back in and then Quintana even got to claw back some bonus second due to his 2nd overall on the stage!

interesting thing is that movistar were the ones on the front pushing the pace on the descent when quintana crashed
"Gorka Izagirre led Quintana on the descent, but came into a curve a bit hot and Quintana had to brake hard to avoid overlapping wheels in the turn. He still slid out into the dirt and tumbled into the crash barrier. He was not hurt and quickly got going again. Unfortunately, his Movistar team car stopped just after the corner and several riders went close to hitting it - including two Movistar riders."

i think it wouldn't have been unreasonable to take advantage of that situation, clearly just not dumoulin's style - he wants to win with his legs.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Alvin Tostig] [ In reply to ]
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Alvin Tostig wrote:
Odd finish. Quintana "sprints" into 2nd place for the stage.

Nothing odd about time bonuses, those 6 seconds will come in handy on the last stage TT

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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RoYe wrote:
Alvin Tostig wrote:
Odd finish. Quintana "sprints" into 2nd place for the stage.

Nothing odd about time bonuses, those 6 seconds will come in handy on the last stage TT


I think he was more referring to Quintana sprinting.....

As for the bonus seconds - on a day when Tommy D had the grace to pull the peloton up when a GC competitor was down (exactly a week after the crash that took out Thomas, Linda, Keldermann) Quintana & Movistar lost me. Then again, they lost me with the pink shorts and the "what red flag?" last time.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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Maybe.

Dumoulin effectively has 4.5 minutes to work with in high mountains. Baring a complete implosion or bad luck, last week he showed he only has to stay within himself this week to bring it home. The terrain favors Quintana and doubtful Dumoulin can climb with him, but he doesn't need to with that kind of cushion.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?


Tomorrow is the "coppi cima ", but by no means the last chance to test Dumoulin.
Quintana will try to take back a minute or two Tuesday, a few minutes thursday, friday, and saturday also.
Duloulin will still be in the pink, but not sure for how much longer

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 22, 17 10:50
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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break should stick tomorrow.....I'm going with a Cannondale guy.....:)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [nightman] [ In reply to ]
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In reference to the sprint on Stage 13; here's Bennett's point of view.

Says that Richeze deliberately blocked and bumped leadout guy to block out Bennett at about 250m. Has been getting aggressive with Selig and Muhlberger the last few stages.

"With his sprint done, Gregor Muhlberger pulled over to the left 50m later to let Rudi launch me from his wheel but as soon as he did Richeze came up alongside him and drove a shoulder into him to try and block my path to the line."

Worth a read

http://www.independent.ie/sport/other-sports/cycling/sam-bennett-richeze-told-rudi-hed-make-him-crash-the-next-time-if-necessary-35735661.html
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [carlosflanders] [ In reply to ]
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carlosflanders wrote:
In reference to the sprint on Stage 13; here's Bennett's point of view.

Says that Richeze deliberately blocked and bumped leadout guy to block out Bennett at about 250m. Has been getting aggressive with Selig and Muhlberger the last few stages.

"With his sprint done, Gregor Muhlberger pulled over to the left 50m later to let Rudi launch me from his wheel but as soon as he did Richeze came up alongside him and drove a shoulder into him to try and block my path to the line."



yea, that's interesting. I watched that part five or six times. I can't speak to the bumping before Bennett got loose, other than to say there was a lot, but these two comments sound like sour grapes.

to the first, the street had painted lines, you could see it was Ewan banging on Richeze to close out Gaviria on the right. Richeze held a straight line. to his credit. the banging by Ewan was late and looked pissy. I guess it could have been retaliatory.

and as far as "closing the door", man, that horse was gone

Edit: and great find on that interview. such drama in these big races. races within races.


Quote:

behind me, Richeze rammed Ewan out of the way, pulling his own foot out of his pedal with the impact and almost causing a pile-up, to let Gaviria come up along the barriers.

When I started my sprint I could have gone right, drifted towards the barriers and closed the door on him, but I'd rather win by being the fastest.

Last edited by: dsmallwood: May 22, 17 11:55
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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To be fair, the piece is probably ghost-written by a journalist from an interview with Bennett. They're always going to try to phrase it to get some controversy.

I think nearly everyone thinks that Richeze was in the right to take a bump from Bennett. The shenanigans described a couple of hundred meters earlier wasn't captured on camera so we only have the interview.

For good measure, here's a description of the sprint from stage 5. Breathless stuff.

""MOVE UP! WAIT! GO!"
From 1.5km to 1.3km to go felt really long today because I wasn't comfortable at all. On the roundabout, with 1.2km to go, I lost Rudi's wheel when my handlebars got hooked on the guy on my inside as we leaned into the sweeping U-turn at 55kph. As my bars were higher than his, they caught underneath and I had to shoulder him to get them off.
In order to keep my speed up, I tried to pedal around the curve but could feel my shoe brushing off the tarmac, and with my arse on the tip of my saddle and all my weight on the front of the bike, my back wheel started to skip.
Trying to keep my wheel on the ground, accelerate and overtake the guy in front of me, I used up a bit of energy to get back up to ninth in line behind Rudi and Lukas.
Elbow
Suddenly, we had just 600m to go, and with the other lead-out men pulling off the front, Quickstep came up the outside with their sprinter and former pink jersey Fernando Gaviria in tow.
One of them went straight to the front, while Max Richeze jumped in on Rudi's wheel in third place. I used another bit of energy trying to go around him, with the Brazilian sticking an elbow in my arse just to let me know he was there and make it that bit harder for me. To be honest, though, I didn't even notice it until I watched the replay. It's all part of the game and didn't bother me. With Rudi now opening up his lead-out on the front, a headwind in the finishing straight meant I knew I had to time my sprint perfectly to have any chance of winning the stage."
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?

i'd say stage 18 (Thursday) and, to a lesser extent, stage 20 would also matter. Key is to get Dumoulin isolated on the penultimate climb and have Dumoulin chase Quintana up the penultimate climb, through the valley, and on the final climb. Doubtful that he'd be distanced by a lot with attacks just on the last climb
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [carlosflanders] [ In reply to ]
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Bump from Ewan - I should have said
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?


i'd say stage 18 (Thursday) and, to a lesser extent, stage 20 would also matter. Key is to get Dumoulin isolated on the penultimate climb and have Dumoulin chase Quintana up the penultimate climb, through the valley, and on the final climb. Doubtful that he'd be distanced by a lot with attacks just on the last climb

Quintana himself doesn't seem suited to being off the front for very long, though. He seems to do best at quick strikes rather than just riding people into submission. I think the risk to Dumoulin is collusion among the top 4-5 guys. If Pinot or someone goes on the penultimate climb and everyone forces Sunweb to chase, Dumoulin could be alone very quickly. I think the risk to Dumoulin is just completely cracking on the final climb from having to close gaps himself over a period of an hour or more.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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I think the X factor for Quintana is how the rest of the podium contenders perform in relation to each other. Quintana needs to make a strong move...but he can't do it by himself. There are a ton of situations that would call for contenders to potentially work with Quintana to gain time on TD (if it means possibly jumping spots with another podium contender), and there are just as many situations where contenders would just sit on Quintana and let him burn himself out to pounce on him.

If the gaps between 3rd-5th were closer to TD and/or TD wasn't a superior TTer, I think the others would be more likely to work with Quintana to drop TD...but they need to put around 5 plus minutes into TD before the TT. I think Pinot and Nibali understand that their current goals are the podium and are not the same as Quintana...who should be going all in for Pink.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
echappist wrote:
H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?


i'd say stage 18 (Thursday) and, to a lesser extent, stage 20 would also matter. Key is to get Dumoulin isolated on the penultimate climb and have Dumoulin chase Quintana up the penultimate climb, through the valley, and on the final climb. Doubtful that he'd be distanced by a lot with attacks just on the last climb


Quintana himself doesn't seem suited to being off the front for very long, though. He seems to do best at quick strikes rather than just riding people into submission. I think the risk to Dumoulin is collusion among the top 4-5 guys. If Pinot or someone goes on the penultimate climb and everyone forces Sunweb to chase, Dumoulin could be alone very quickly. I think the risk to Dumoulin is just completely cracking on the final climb from having to close gaps himself over a period of an hour or more.


we do have that one stage in the 2014 Giro where Quintana attacked the neutral descent and did the lion share of work to drive the break through the valley and onto the final climb. interestingly, also the mountain stage after the last rest day (and on the Stelvio stage, no less), when one could really catch people out.

edit: before Contador's audacious raid in the Fuentes De stage of 2012 Vuelta, no one thought of him as someone who'd go long; so always time for people to try new things
Last edited by: echappist: May 22, 17 15:41
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
trail wrote:
echappist wrote:
H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?


i'd say stage 18 (Thursday) and, to a lesser extent, stage 20 would also matter. Key is to get Dumoulin isolated on the penultimate climb and have Dumoulin chase Quintana up the penultimate climb, through the valley, and on the final climb. Doubtful that he'd be distanced by a lot with attacks just on the last climb


Quintana himself doesn't seem suited to being off the front for very long, though. He seems to do best at quick strikes rather than just riding people into submission. I think the risk to Dumoulin is collusion among the top 4-5 guys. If Pinot or someone goes on the penultimate climb and everyone forces Sunweb to chase, Dumoulin could be alone very quickly. I think the risk to Dumoulin is just completely cracking on the final climb from having to close gaps himself over a period of an hour or more.


we do have that one stage in the 2014 Giro where Quintana attacked the neutral descent and did the lion share of work to drive the break through the valley and onto the final climb. interestingly, also the mountain stage after the last rest day (and on the Stelvio stage, no less), when one could really catch people out.

edit: before Contador's audacious raid in the Fuentes De stage of 2012 Vuelta, no one thought of him as someone who'd go long; so always time for people to try new things

There was also the stage in the 2015 TdF where Quintana attacked Froome at the bottom of Alpe d'Huez and basically went solo the last 10 km (with some help from Anacona who dropped back from the break). Froome had Porte and Poels to guide him up much of the way to limit his losses.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
break should stick tomorrow.....I'm going with a Cannondale guy.....:)

And I think we probably agree on who we would LIKE it to be.... Just hope they give it a go!!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Queen Stage tomorrow. Many say it is best, and maybe last, chance for contenders to break Dumoulin.

Will Dumoulin give up pink or significant time?

Will someone from the break win? And if so, who?

Break doesn't stay away.

Movistar is going on the rampage to try and break Dumoulin. The other contenders try to stay in Movi's wake.

Quintana wins the stage, puts 90 seconds into Dumoulin. Not enough.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [eb] [ In reply to ]
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Anyone have a link to where to watch today?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Skippy74] [ In reply to ]
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Skippy74 wrote:
McNulty wrote:
break should stick tomorrow.....I'm going with a Cannondale guy.....:)


And I think we probably agree on who we would LIKE it to be.... Just hope they give it a go!!


Well, looks like they're trying. Joe D. has had a rough spring and he's either been just surviving so far or riding into form.
Last edited by: McNulty: May 23, 17 5:20
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [ridenfish39] [ In reply to ]
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ridenfish39 wrote:
Anyone have a link to where to watch today?

http://rai2.web.tv

Hurry. It is Italian but that is better than hearing the eurosport idiot.

So far nothing from Quintana. I have a feeing that TD is going to increase his buffer today attacking on the final climb.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
If Pinot or someone goes on the penultimate climb and everyone forces Sunweb to chase, Dumoulin could be alone very quickly. I think the risk to Dumoulin is just completely cracking on the final climb from having to close gaps himself over a period of an hour or more.

I expected some action on the Stelvio. But after watching the stage, nothing was ever going to happen there. I was fooled by the graphic display of the stage. As it turns out, the valley before the final climb is long, long, long, and by some reports windy. Not good scenario for long range attack.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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holy shit..........
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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Code Brown for Dumoulin?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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literally, oh s#1+

hopefully it's not a stomach bug
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Zacharin attacks. Shocking. What a doping dick.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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" the adrenaline effects everyone differently"
(Sopranos)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Openers
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]
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Worst timed dump of all time?


--Chris
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [chriselam] [ In reply to ]
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lotta movement in the overall standings.......
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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maybe they'll end up going slower here with all the acceleration and slowing down
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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what a travesty; the other teams can all go to hell.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
literally, oh s#1+

hopefully it's not a stomach bug

I just read he needed to take a dump.. still have 30s on NQ though. Did they attack him while he was in the bushes???
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [flyrunride] [ In reply to ]
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flyrunride wrote:
echappist wrote:
literally, oh s#1+

hopefully it's not a stomach bug


I just read he needed to take a dump.. still have 30s on NQ though. Did they attack him while he was in the bushes???

Zakarin did.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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what a loon, I hope he cracks and falls off the top 10.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [flyrunride] [ In reply to ]
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flyrunride wrote:
what a loon, I hope he cracks and falls off the top 10.

he's no Denny Menchov.......
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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At this point, Dumoulin still has a 31sec. lead over Quintana and 1:12 on Nibbles with 4 mountainous stages and one TT to go.
I'm in the majority, the contenders (especially Zaharin) should have shown more sportsmanship to the the pink jersy; it also over-shadows a brave effort by Landa and a braver result from the shark.
I think this day will motivate TD tho, he will ride the next 4 stages with a chip on his shoulder & do the TT like a man possessed.
The Giro never fails to entertain!

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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RoYe wrote:
I'm in the majority, the contenders (especially Zaharin) should have shown more sportsmanship to the the pink jersy; it also over-shadows a brave effort by Landa and a braver result from the shark.

Well they did. They neutralized for a while. But they hit the bottom of the climb, and Zakarin had Kruijswijk attacking the breakaway up the road, threatening his GC position. How long do you wait for a guy taking a dump?

I don't know all the Euro peloton rules, but if it's me in a bike race, and I decide to take a dump on the most critical climb, I'm telling the guys, "It's on me - you guys go." Dumoulin had all day and several scripted nature stops to take care of business. Instead he forced the issue at the most critical part of the race. I'm all for respecting the pink jersey, but the jersey doesn't make him a special snowflake who gets to call a neutralized nature break whenever he wants.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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its a fair point. the NFL is derided for its litigious nature but arguing about when we race and when we don't is just as zany.
this is the queen stage, this is the critical piece, its a little silly to ask for a time out.

to be fair to TD, I bet he was in agony.

Last edited by: dsmallwood: May 23, 17 14:05
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Was at the shop today and well known respected rider from our area comes in....."you take a dump on that stage w 20k to go and want the race to take a timeout...that's up for grabs at that point".


I only get text cyclingnews updates but they did "chill" for a while yes? The group atleast tried to see what was up before going on? Or atleast the fireworks didn't go off because he stopped, right?

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
what a travesty; the other teams can all go to hell.

I think the crux of it was that Dumoulin wasn't making any headway getting back to the group even when the pace was off, so the question became how long do they wait around for him. It took him a while to get going to even match the pace of the domestiques once they started riding.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
RoYe wrote:

I'm in the majority, the contenders (especially Zaharin) should have shown more sportsmanship to the the pink jersy; it also over-shadows a brave effort by Landa and a braver result from the shark.


Well they did. They neutralized for a while. But they hit the bottom of the climb, and Zakarin had Kruijswijk attacking the breakaway up the road, threatening his GC position. How long do you wait for a guy taking a dump?

I don't know all the Euro peloton rules, but if it's me in a bike race, and I decide to take a dump on the most critical climb, I'm telling the guys, "It's on me - you guys go." Dumoulin had all day and several scripted nature stops to take care of business. Instead he forced the issue at the most critical part of the race. I'm all for respecting the pink jersey, but the jersey doesn't make him a special snowflake who gets to call a neutralized nature break whenever he wants.


You might be missing some of the nuances of this thread.
Dumoulin had a stomach bug and experienced an diarrhea attack.
Do you really think the leader of the Giro, with millions watching live, is going suddenly decide to "force the issue" with a bowel movement? Sheesh

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 23, 17 22:54
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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I'd have little appetite for nuance once well into the Stelvio. One of very few places that Tom might be vulnerable. I'd put that firmly into the "race is on" category.

Is diarrhea "misfortune" like getting a mechanical or getting crashed out by Izagirre on descent? I don't know. That sounds like it might be expanding the boundaries of etiquette.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
I'd have little appetite for nuance once well into the Stelvio. One of very few places that Tom might be vulnerable. I'd put that firmly into the "race is on" category.

Is diarrhea "misfortune" like getting a mechanical or getting crashed out by Izagirre on descent? I don't know. That sounds like it might be expanding the boundaries of etiquette.

OK moving over to tomorrow's stage its on the road in between Cortina D'Ampezzo and Bolzano. My personal story was that I was riding in this area from Cortina to Bolazno around Canazei, when myself and my buddy who were bike touring on a cold rainy day, got kicked off the side of the road by the Carabinieri for the Giro to come through. Basically we sat shivering on the side of the road while Moser, Lemond, Hinault, Guiseppe Saronni and Roberto Visentini went blow to blow in the 1985 Giro. Some of you may recall this was a the first Grand Tour for an American team (7-11) who took 2 stages with Ron Kiefel and then Hampsten took stage 20: https://en.wikipedia.org/...1985_Giro_d%27Italia


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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Looking at a lot of these situations where the race sits up and waits, there's usually a teammate that lobbies for the race leader in distress. Tough call, fog of war, heat of battle, etc. But Zacharin appeared to go right when he was told what was transpiring. Bullshit move from a bullshit guy. Just heard his DS called his attack off. Good on him.

So when there's stuff that can fall under the heading of "that's racing" there's some grey area. But when race leaders get taken out by a random cop moto, that seems like a good time for the commissar to call a one or two minute time out. Really a bad way to blow a guy's chances in a GT that he targets 12 months out. Dumolin had a serious situation, part of racing, fatigue, diet etc. Still, a quick TO for the whole race in deference to the jersey seems righteous. All others let fly at their own risk.

Robbie McEwen once took a dump while he was riding versus risking getting dropped. Good story. That story is the only reason to read his book.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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btw, this is Cannondale's day. Woods.
Last edited by: McNulty: May 24, 17 6:39
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
btw, this is Cannondale's day. Woods.


Ooh, nice bridge by Woods just now. And Van Garderen. Good chance for a North American win here.
Last edited by: trail: May 24, 17 7:51
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
btw, this is Cannondale's day. Woods.

good call
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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CANNONDALE! Woods and Rolland played that really well.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
McNulty wrote:
btw, this is Cannondale's day. Woods.


good call

Except he makes that call every day. :)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
CANNONDALE! Woods and Rolland played that really well.

they now have as many world tour wins as Rally cycling in the last two years.......
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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The only reason why Roland won today was because of my bike fit. It had nothing to do with his team or his coach or the fact that he covered a half a dozen attacks in the last 15k or held 400w for the last 8k...it was the fit.






Ian Murray
http://www.TriathlonTrainingSeries.com
I like the pursuit of mastery
Twitter - @TriCoachIan
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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Ron_Burgundy wrote:
trail wrote:
CANNONDALE! Woods and Rolland played that really well.


they now have as many world tour wins as Rally cycling in the last two years.......

Stand down! They shut down those four UAE tools, so give them this day. They deserve it.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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it is a good win. I am happy for Rolland. I feel like he's been banging on that wall for a while now.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
echappist wrote:
McNulty wrote:
btw, this is Cannondale's day. Woods.


good call

Except he makes that call every day. :)

Ha. Looked like PR was trying to set up Woods. Worked out pretty well. So stinkin happy for those guys.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [ianpeace] [ In reply to ]
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ianpeace wrote:
The only reason why Roland won today was because of my bike fit. It had nothing to do with his team or his coach or the fact that he covered a half a dozen attacks in the last 15k or held 400w for the last 8k...it was the fit.





I was sayin that all day. Wow, PR looks GOOD on that bike....damn.....
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Ron_Burgundy wrote:
trail wrote:
CANNONDALE! Woods and Rolland played that really well.


they now have as many world tour wins as Rally cycling in the last two years.......

Stand down! They shut down those four UAE tools, so give them this day. They deserve it.

McNulty 1:16 : Thou not knowest dick and yet thou runneth at the mouth.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [ianpeace] [ In reply to ]
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ianpeace wrote:
The only reason why Roland won today was because of my bike fit. It had nothing to do with his team or his coach or the fact that he covered a half a dozen attacks in the last 15k or held 400w for the last 8k...it was the fit.





way cool; only gripe is that his noggin was sticking so far up during his flat ground efforts. Moot point in the end, but i was hoping he'd do the IAB to save a few watts and go faster
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dev and other speculators] [ In reply to ]
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ok, its time for wild speculation. the next two days finish with climbs, with tomorrow being the hardest hitter.
- can NQ get lose?
- can Nibs or anyone else?
- does it matter? (can anyone get the overage required to mitigate the TT loss)

i could see Nairo going for it at Friday's finish and maybe getting to even but that would be for naught.
i really think he needs to take a flyer earlier on Thursday. checker or wrecker.



General Classification after Stage 17
NED 1 DUMOULIN, Tom (SUNWEB) 76:05:38
COL 2 QUINTANA, Nairo (MOVISTAR) + 31
ITA 3 NIBALI, Vincenzo (BAHRAIN - MERIDA) + 1:12
FRA 4 PINOT, Thibaut (FDJ) + 2:38
RUS 5 ZAKARIN, Ilnur (KATUSHA ALPECIN) + 2:40














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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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http://www.steephill.tv/...talia/profile-18.jpg

This is the type of stage where Dumoulin has struggled with in the past, multiple steep climbs with an uphill finish.
Quintana with Movistar and Nibbles with BM will put TD to the test.
I hope Dumoulin is over his stomach problems, he'll do well in the early climbs, but can he ride with the contenders in the run to Val Gardena?
I predict the gap will shrink but the jersey stays with Sunweb.

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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This is what I think of when I see TJ racing... Still waiting but good to see him in the break today.



2020 Team Zoot MTN
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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dsmallwood wrote:
ok, its time for wild speculation. the next two days finish with climbs, with tomorrow being the hardest hitter.
- can NQ get lose?
- can Nibs or anyone else?
- does it matter? (can anyone get the overage required to mitigate the TT loss)

i could see Nairo going for it at Friday's finish and maybe getting to even but that would be for naught.
i really think he needs to take a flyer earlier on Thursday. checker or wrecker.



General Classification after Stage 17
NED 1 DUMOULIN, Tom (SUNWEB) 76:05:38
COL 2 QUINTANA, Nairo (MOVISTAR) + 31
ITA 3 NIBALI, Vincenzo (BAHRAIN - MERIDA) + 1:12
FRA 4 PINOT, Thibaut (FDJ) + 2:38
RUS 5 ZAKARIN, Ilnur (KATUSHA ALPECIN) + 2:40














This was my feeling on the Stelvio stage. I felt that NQ and Nibbles needed to attack early on the steepest parts near the bottom of Stelvio, and gap TD and then TTT it for the next 75 km and try to gain back 4 minutes. But on the descent to Prato from Stelvio I said the stage was a snoozer and the Giro was over and the climbing midgets were racing for first loser....until the oh shit moment and TD gifts back a full 2 minutes. But the small guys still need almost 2 full minutes on TD to have a chance during Monza to Milano on Sunday. So that means they need to gain back 2.5 minutes more between now and Saturday. They can't do that just attacking the final climb, so I totally agree with you, there has to be an early ambush of Sunweb and then a few teams dashing for the stage from 60K out. Basically they need to create a breakaway and make sure that TD cannot bridge up. It almost feels like you need half of four teams sitting up (like around 12-16 riders) getting in the way of Sunweb+TD while 10 of there guys fly up the road in a perfectly sync'd TTT.

Or TD has to do a big bonk and lose 2.5 to 3 minutes. I think the likelihood of the latter is zero.

So which stage will they try to get away?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana and Nibali have to go on the attack.

Quintana used to be that sort of rider when the road tilted up, but more recently in grand tours(TDF in particular) with the win on the line, he seems to race more conservatively, just following wheels. It's all a bit maddening.

Now Nibali, tends to race with a bit more passion, throwing caution to the wind and just going for it - we saw a bit of that yesterday.

It's down to the wire here, and with Doumilan being such a strong ITT force, it's to the other guys in the top-10 GC to make up as much time as they can, if not crack him completely before they get to the last stage!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Fleck wrote:
Quintana used to be that sort of rider when the road tilted up, but more recently in grand tours(TDF in particular) with the win on the line, he seems to race more conservatively, just following wheels. It's all a bit maddening.

For the Giro so far, I don't think that's fair. There was absolutely nothing conservative about Quintana repeatedly attacking on the Blockhaus until there was no one left and all the other GC contenders were in damage control mode. And in Stage 15, field-sprinting for 2nd.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana used to be that sort of rider when the road tilted up, but more recently in grand tours(TDF in particular) with the win on the line, he seems to race more conservatively, just following wheels. It's all a bit maddening.

---
Maybe I'm way off but doesn't that seem to be how GT racing goes? X new climber goes off and climbs to the gods then we pronounce him the next GC favorite for next 5 years and then we beat our heads waiting for those same fireworks every big mt stage and then we are left with "well shit that was a dud" feeling more times than not. But Q is like, bro I'm just doing all I can to maitain this podium, "go big or go home" is for the Freds' of the world.

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Fleck wrote:

Quintana used to be that sort of rider when the road tilted up, but more recently in grand tours(TDF in particular) with the win on the line, he seems to race more conservatively, just following wheels. It's all a bit maddening.


For the Giro so far, I don't think that's fair. There was absolutely nothing conservative about Quintana repeatedly attacking on the Blockhaus until there was no one left and all the other GC contenders were in damage control mode. And in Stage 15, field-sprinting for 2nd.

Tomorrow's stage to Val Gardena has a pretty tough saw tooth profile on a "short day", but it looks like it packs in 3300m of vertical in around 137K



Midway through the stage the summit of Passo Valparolo caps out at 14% just before the descent. After that there are two more solid climbs and a short 200m hump before the finish. That 14% grade has to be the one for the smaller riders to make a run for the rest of the stage, but its really an obvious place to attack and TD should be ready. Also before the stage finish there is a final 12% grade to create separation for stage finish bonus seconds

My 2 cents is that unless some kind of ambush materializes, the entire GC group basically finishes the last climb in a parade and then the small climbers all attack each other for bonus placement seconds if there is no breakaway with guys in it 10-15 minutes down. If a breakaway stays away, then there will be a a group parade almost to the finish line and then very small separation. Stage seems too short for anyone to bonk, but they just had back to back 6 hour days, so you never know who went too deep.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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I think Dumoulin has a good shot of staying in the Maglia Rosa tomorrow. Sure, the final KOM (which ends with 5km) is back loaded, but after the 5km to go mark, the road flattens out, and we even get some cobbled sections. Dumoulin might get dropped before the KOM but will probably crawl back to limit his loses. Should be an interesting day
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
I think Dumoulin has a good shot of staying in the Maglia Rosa tomorrow. Sure, the final KOM (which ends with 5km) is back loaded, but after the 5km to go mark, the road flattens out, and we even get some cobbled sections. Dumoulin might get dropped before the KOM but will probably crawl back to limit his loses. Should be an interesting day

It will also be interesting to see who potentially runs out of gas after back to back ~6 hour days into the third week. There is always going to be one athlete who just caves. I don't want that athlete to be Dumoulin, Quintana or Nibali. I want these guys to race and decide it on legs and cardio only....but you never know. Quintana is on his third grand tour in only 10 months, but that guy never really blows up either
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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I think TD does a lot of stem starin' today, staying within himself as best he can, no panic unless, of course, he needs to let fly again. I'd like to see him win it all, but today is key. He could flat out blow up. He rode so smart on Blokhaus. When NQ went on the steep section, he kept it together and rolled him up later and NQ was then just hanging on. NQ's real advantage is on the steep grades. Other than that, guys can hang with him.

Joe D and Cannondale for the win. :)

Or Yates.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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Rosskopf would be good, too

Jest aside, this is brutal, and Dumoulib is quickly isolated. His team needs to hang tough for another 3 climbs, and i dont see it happening...
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Rosskopf would be good, too

Jest aside, this is brutal, and Dumoulib is quickly isolated. His team needs to hang tough for another 3 climbs, and i dont see it happening...


Ha, yes....psyched to see Joe in the break!.......Jesper Stuyven is now in....strong group
Last edited by: McNulty: May 25, 17 5:21
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Rosskopf would be good, too

Jest aside, this is brutal, and Dumoulib is quickly isolated. His team needs to hang tough for another 3 climbs, and i dont see it happening...

Who is in the breakaway. I see the Maglia Rosa group down 2:22. Is Nibali in the break? There was some banter in french about Nibali, but I missed what group he is in.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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OK, I see Anacona, Amador, Rolland, Teejay and Landa in the break. .Looks like 2 other Cannondale in there. Are Woods and Formolo with Rolland?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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I can see Nibali attacking on the 3rd climb (Gardena) and using his descending skills. It's a super long decent with a short climb in the middle before the last climb to the finish. I can't imagine he won't put the pressure on there. I wish I could see this live!

_______________________________________________
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Bonesbrigade] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
OK, I see Anacona, Amador, Rolland, Teejay and Landa in the break. .Looks like 2 other Cannondale in there. Are Woods and Formolo with Rolland?

Viella and Dombro

Bonesbrigade wrote:
I can see Nibali attacking on the 3rd climb (Gardena) and using his descending skills. It's a super long decent with a short climb in the middle before the last climb to the finish. I can't imagine he won't put the pressure on there. I wish I could see this live!

will be an exciting stage indeed; time to chill your prosecco
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
OK, I see Anacona, Amador, Rolland, Teejay and Landa in the break. .Looks like 2 other Cannondale in there. Are Woods and Formolo with Rolland?

Dombrowski and Rolland for Cannondale. Tejay and Rosskopf for BMC. No Rally guys in the break.
Good for Joe for busting this group up.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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espresso then prosecco. what a day.


some hard punching today. good stage. I hope NQ and Nibs are waiting for a last climb throw-down.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [dsmallwood] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana starts punching early

Dumoulin able to benefit a bit from work of Nibble's work
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Play by play has been great from cyclingnews. Seems they are going for it today!

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [B_Doughtie] [ In reply to ]
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Nibbles and Quintana caught. First fire extinguished
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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this is good.......scenery is okay too...Villella, right...would have been a big ask of Rolland...Formolo has another clear shot today
Last edited by: McNulty: May 25, 17 6:52
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Great riding, entertaining stage...I have to think if they can pop off another attack or 2 that may be the end? Of course attacking and re-attacking may not be so easy. solid day of riding by all.

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Great racing going on.

TD seems to have great instinct on these climbs, waiting out the attack and catching them by the top.

I hope he crushes dream on the final climb.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
this is good.......scenery is okay too...Villella, right...would have been a big ask of Rolland...Formolo has another clear shot today

Formolo has been towed along by the Malia Rosa group. should be fresh
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Triagain3] [ In reply to ]
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Joe D is gonna have a go on the climb if they're getting caught.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [any] [ In reply to ]
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those are nice roads and beautiful mountains. this is a pretty Giro.

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
McNulty wrote:
this is good.......scenery is okay too...Villella, right...would have been a big ask of Rolland...Formolo has another clear shot today


Formolo has been towed along by the Malia Rosa group. should be fresh

Except I don't see him....did he get dropped?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
Joe D is gonna have a go on the climb if they're getting caught.

Cannondale dropped the ball on the descent. Should have at least one guy with TVG and Landa.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Triagain3] [ In reply to ]
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I hope he crushes dream on the final climb.


We are about to find out.

10K to go and onto the final climb straight up to the finish! GC favourits all in a group, eye-balling one another!

TJ for the stage win . . does it matter?


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Fleck wrote:

TJ for the stage win . . does it matter?

Every Grand Tour stage win matters.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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What were you saying about Quintana "just following wheels?" :)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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What were you saying about Quintana "just following wheels?" :)

He must have had a peak at the Slowtwitch forum over night! :)

Here we go!


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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hopefully TJ won't repeat his attack on the Alpe d'Huez in 2013
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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and now he's going backwards
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [logella] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana might get dropped toward the end of the stage
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
What were you saying about Quintana "just following wheels?" :)

My feed from L'Equipe froze just when the Columbian climbing midget droid attacked. What's going on?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Quintana is the most frustrating rider from a spectator perspective. Seems like he rides not to lose rather than trying to win.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [logella] [ In reply to ]
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This is great. Total slugfest. Good for TVG and Landa.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Meanwhile TD is showing them all that he's not to be messed with.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [logella] [ In reply to ]
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logella wrote:
Quintana is the most frustrating rider from a spectator perspective. Seems like he rides not to lose rather than trying to win.

My feed is on and TD throws it down and take midget droid with him!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [logella] [ In reply to ]
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logella wrote:
Quintana is the most frustrating rider from a spectator perspective. Seems like he rides not to lose rather than trying to win.


I have no idea what you're talking about. He threw the initial haymaker.
Last edited by: trail: May 25, 17 7:53
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
logella wrote:
Quintana is the most frustrating rider from a spectator perspective. Seems like he rides not to lose rather than trying to win.


I have no idea what you're talking about. He threw the initial haymaker.

These guys just gave away 20 seconds to Pinot
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Go TVG!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
These guys just gave away 20 seconds to Pinot

They're racing for first.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Go TVG!

Nice win.....but Nibbles and NQ giving away time to Pinot is not wise, given that when Pinot is on during a TT he's going to hurt them.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [tsdogma] [ In reply to ]
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Great win for TJ today! I think he saw my post...

2020 Team Zoot MTN
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Good on TGV, glad to see him fight after such a rough road.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Go TVG!

WHAT A DAY.

Damn happy for Tejay, the MT boy. Great ride from Joe, VA boy.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Fleck wrote:


TJ for the stage win . . does it matter?


Every Grand Tour stage win matters.


Especially your first ever one (not counting TTT).

I'm no Tejay fanboy, but in my opinion this was huge for him. Finally did something.

Edit: just saw his interview. First thing out of his mouth was talk of not being in GC. He still has no sense of reality.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
Last edited by: H-: May 25, 17 8:06
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [logella] [ In reply to ]
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logella wrote:
Meanwhile TD is showing them all that he's not to be messed with.

Eurosport commentators jokes that Dumoulin was "trolling" Quintana and Nibali when Dumoulin attacked at the steepest pitch on the final climb
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Also Landa is really good at leading guys out for stage wins! Not sure what he was thinking there.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Eurosport commentators jokes that Dumoulin was "trolling" Quintana and Nibali when Dumoulin attacked at the steepest pitch on the final climb


Why was Dumoulin doing most of the work over the final few Kms while NQ and Nibali just sat on? In fact, Dumoulin even did a WFT and seemed to be saying - "how about some help and a pull boys"?

A great last 10km. Pinot most likely the biggest beneficiary.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Fleck wrote:
Eurosport commentators jokes that Dumoulin was "trolling" Quintana and Nibali when Dumoulin attacked at the steepest pitch on the final climb


Why was Dumoulin doing most of the work over the final few Kms while NQ and Nibali just sat on? In fact, Dumoulin even did a WFT and seemed to be saying - "how about some help and a pull boys"?

A great last 10km. Pinot most likely the biggest beneficiary.

In his interview TD said he hopes NQ and Nibs lose their podium spots. He said Pinot is better in TT and it could happen. LOL. Patron.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Can we now officially state that the race for first loser is officially confirmed and we can paint a Pink Jersey on TD's bike, paint his bike and helmet pink and convert the Dutch national flag to pink for the rest of the week? Now we're watching stage hunting and how the 2-5th GC spots shuffle around between now and the end of the ITT.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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While I understand TD's frustration and was barking at the TV for them to pull through, it may have been they just didn't have anything left. Nibali and Quintana's attacks, and subsequent having to chase down TD's accelerations, may have drained them.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Can we now officially state that the race for first loser is officially confirmed and we can paint a Pink Jersey on TD's bike, paint his bike and helmet pink and convert the Dutch national flag to pink for the rest of the week? Now we're watching stage hunting and how the 2-5th GC spots shuffle around between now and the end of the ITT.

No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.

LOL. More likely that TD gets two more stage wins before this is over.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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Anyone else think TD is doors to the hills? How can he stink with the mountain goats?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [heeler50] [ In reply to ]
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though it raises eyebrows, what he has done wasnt too surprising.

Nibbles is about 10lbs lighter and is hardly mountain goat, and Quintana may not have yet hit peak form. Dumoulin's weight is not too different from Froomes's, though that there is another can of worms. So who knows
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Edit: just saw his interview. First thing out of his mouth was talk of not being in GC. He still has no sense of reality.

He said he's not in GC. That's a perfect sense of reality.

I don't understand this constant crap about TVG and how half the Internet seems to revel in parsing his every word and expression for evidence of some kind of horrible character flaw.

He won the ToC and Pro Challenge then followed it up quickly with two 5th places at the TdF at a young age, at one point nearly dropping his GC guy in the TdF in the same way that Froome nearly dropped Wiggins. 4th in Olympic TT. That's a REALLY good reason to think you're candidate to be a really good GC guy. I'd have thought the same thing about myself.

Yes, that promise hasn't panned out. He's really struggled. I don't know why, and I don't think he nor BMC does either. But the dude trains and races really hard. He's a good guy, and a good racer. And possibly completely clean. Deserves none of the armchair vitriol.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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with the stares at the others, the trolling, the size/build, overcoming the dysentery and getting back on, the no jour sans,...yeah, it has me wondering...looks a bit like some other guy with shoulders from back in the day....anyone know if he has a TUE or two in his jersey?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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x2
I cheer this and wish him success.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
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No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.

LOL. More likely that TD gets two more stage wins before this is over.

Nibbles, Quintana - would like to win.
They didn't go for it today. (They just tested things a bit).

My guess is that they think their chances might be better later on.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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TJ, finally!

TD looked good today, barring the unforseen [this the Giro afterall], he will win on sunday.
Quintana was on the radio a lot, attcked half-heartedly on the run towards Val Gardena but he was suffering big time, as was Nibbles.

Will friday & sat be the replay of today?

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Stage 19
Who would win a 15k hill climb time trial?
My guess:
Quintana- 32 seconds ahead
Nibbles - 15 seconds
Dumoulin- 0

That means that ignoring team dynamics, stage 20 and stage 21.
Quintana and Dumoulin are essentially even odds at this point.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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The more I think about it the more convinced I am....

The smartest move today for Quintana was to watch, maybe test, but NOT to go for it.

Stage 20 won't be optimal for Quintana either. The flat 15 K at the end will allow everyone to catch back up if Quintana or nibbles try to get away.

Stage 19 is thus Quintana's best shot at the win. And I think 30 seconds is definitely achievable.
Last edited by: Velocibuddha: May 25, 17 10:17
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
with the stares at the others, the trolling, the size/build, overcoming the dysentery and getting back on, the no jour sans,...yeah, it has me wondering...looks a bit like some other guy with shoulders from back in the day....anyone know if he has a TUE or two in his jersey?

He has been a pretty vocal opponent of TUE use by Sky, so I would be surprised if he had any of the more nepharious ones.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Can we now officially state that the race for first loser is officially confirmed and we can paint a Pink Jersey on TD's bike, paint his bike and helmet pink and convert the Dutch national flag to pink for the rest of the week? Now we're watching stage hunting and how the 2-5th GC spots shuffle around between now and the end of the ITT.


No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.

Do you think Quintana has any chance of making up 2.5 minutes BEFORE Sunday? Without a bonk, a mechanical at the wrong time, or an unfortunate crash, I don't see how it is humanly possible to make up that much time on Dumoulin. They basically have the same loaded down watts per kilo (when you add in bike, helmet, shoes, electronics, clothing and bottle). On top of that Quintana basically gave away a full minute to Pinot today. Basically within a minute of Quintana you have Pinot and Nibali, both of who could make up a minute on the final ITT and push Quintana off the podium, forget about the win. I get it that he is going for the win, in which case rolling with Pinot's attack would have been beneficial anyway than sitting on Dumoulin's wheel.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Dumoulin can make it, riding GC today means riding scientifically and they all learned how to. TvG raced nice today ..

*
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the s u r f b o a r d of the K u r p f a l z is the r o a d b i k e .. oSo >>
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
The more I think about it the more convinced I am....

The smartest move today for Quintana was to watch, maybe test, but NOT to go for it.

Stage 20 won't be optimal for Quintana either. The flat 15 K at the end will allow everyone to catch back up if Quintana or nibbles try to get away.

Stage 19 is thus Quintana's best shot at the win. And I think 30 seconds is definitely achievable.

In order for Quintana to win the Giro he will need atleast a 2 minute lead going into the ITT finale, AND ride the best TT of his life AND hope Dumoulin has to take another mid-race dump!
I'm not saying its impossible, but the way Dumoulin is climbing & TTing these days, its highly improbable

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
Stage 19
Who would win a 15k hill climb time trial?
My guess:
Quintana- 32 seconds ahead
Nibbles - 15 seconds
Dumoulin- 0

That means that ignoring team dynamics, stage 20 and stage 21.
Quintana and Dumoulin are essentially even odds at this point.

Doubtful. Likely more of Dumoulin's teammates will be around as it's not as hard a stage. Final climb eases up toward the top, just the sort of finish Dumoulin likes.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Oops forgot stage 21 was downhill TT.

No..... Quintana is screwed.

If his last TT tells us anything ..,
Quintana might need 30 seconds just to maintain 2nd.

So Quintana's best hope is something happens to leave Dumoulin isolated before tomorrow's climb.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Yes, that promise hasn't panned out. He's really struggled. I don't know why, and I don't think he nor BMC does either. But the dude trains and races really hard. He's a good guy, and a good racer. And possibly completely clean. Deserves none of the armchair vitriol.

I was hoping he would win and think riding in front and racing a stage to win will be great for him.

Certainly he has showed talent (though one can argue that the two 5ths are a bit misleading based on circumstances those years). This is only his third win (other than TT) in Europe and his first grand tour stage. Excellent step for him.

I've always just thought it weird that he has been hyped as a GC contender for years when he has never won a stage before. I can't think of any others, though probably there are some. Of course that is not his fault.

He showed great emotion at the finish line. However, in his interview he seemed downcast and the first things out of his mouth are disappointment about the GC and his lack of form earlier. I just kind feel he has the cart before the horse. Be a winner first and then start thinking about GC contention.

I'd be more of a fan if, for instance, he targeted Lombardia now.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
H- wrote:
Quote:
No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.


LOL. More likely that TD gets two more stage wins before this is over.


Nibbles, Quintana - would like to win.
They didn't go for it today. (They just tested things a bit).

My guess is that they think their chances might be better later on.

I think Nibali and Quintana realize that the only way they are going to jump TD by the end of the week is if he cracks hard. Last time TD was leading a grand tour heading into the final weekend, he cracked hard and lost 4 minutes to the GC during stage 20 of the 2015 Vuelta...so they know its possible. They aren't just going to ride away and put 2+ minutes while he's still capable of riding a strong tempo. They just don't have that much of a superior w/kg right now.

So I think they are putting in some short digs to see if TD is on the ropes. When they realize he's not in trouble, there is no point in continuing the move thus burying themselves to gain 10-15 seconds...so they let it come back together.

When they got to the crest of the last climb, they were in TD territory with 3km to go...again, no point in them using any energy and see if TD would burn some energy chasing Pinot while they sit in the draft...hoping it will add up to his fatigue in the event they can crack him tomorrow or Saturday. TD was smart enough not to go too hard...pretty textbook all the way around if you ask me.

TD may or may not crack in the last 2 stages...but I think it's the only card Nibali and Quintana can play at this point.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
H- wrote:

Edit: just saw his interview. First thing out of his mouth was talk of not being in GC. He still has no sense of reality.


He said he's not in GC. That's a perfect sense of reality.

I don't understand this constant crap about TVG and how half the Internet seems to revel in parsing his every word and expression for evidence of some kind of horrible character flaw.

He won the ToC and Pro Challenge then followed it up quickly with two 5th places at the TdF at a young age, at one point nearly dropping his GC guy in the TdF in the same way that Froome nearly dropped Wiggins. 4th in Olympic TT. That's a REALLY good reason to think you're candidate to be a really good GC guy. I'd have thought the same thing about myself.

Yes, that promise hasn't panned out. He's really struggled. I don't know why, and I don't think he nor BMC does either. But the dude trains and races really hard. He's a good guy, and a good racer. And possibly completely clean. Deserves none of the armchair vitriol.

Boom.Tejay battles and he battles clean and does the best he can at the highest level. He could have mailed it in or gone and raced in Cali with Rally and been big fish little pond. But he's now a GT stage winner out of a break- that was caught. Hell of a ride.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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I am curious to see what his plans are for the rest of the year. If he can pull off another great ride at the Giro I can see him changing his role for the rest of the year to build some confidence.

2020 Team Zoot MTN
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Jason N] [ In reply to ]
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Jason N wrote:

Nibbles, Quintana - would like to win.
They didn't go for it today. (They just tested things a bit).

My guess is that they think their chances might be better later on.


I think Nibali and Quintana realize that the only way they are going to jump TD by the end of the week is if he cracks hard. Last time TD was leading a grand tour heading into the final weekend, he cracked hard and lost 4 minutes to the GC during stage 20 of the 2015 Vuelta...so they know its possible. They aren't just going to ride away and put 2+ minutes while he's still capable of riding a strong tempo. They just don't have that much of a superior w/kg right now.

So I think they are putting in some short digs to see if TD is on the ropes. When they realize he's not in trouble, there is no point in continuing the move thus burying themselves to gain 10-15 seconds...so they let it come back together.

When they got to the crest of the last climb, they were in TD territory with 3km to go...again, no point in them using any energy and see if TD would burn some energy chasing Pinot while they sit in the draft...hoping it will add up to his fatigue in the event they can crack him tomorrow or Saturday. TD was smart enough not to go too hard...pretty textbook all the way around if you ask me.

TD may or may not crack in the last 2 stages...but I think it's the only card Nibali and Quintana can play at this point.[/quote]
difference is that the last stage of the 2015 Vuelta was exceedingly hilly and similar to today's Giro stage. The next two mountain stages are nothing alike. Best thing Nibbles and Quintana could do is to send riders up and hope that they make the rendez-vous toward the top of the climb on the last day and have their teammates pull them away (15 km of flat from top of GPM to finish).
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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Something must have been wrong with Tejay the first week. It's been a reverse TdF for him, really shining in the last week!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Jason N wrote:


I think Nibali and Quintana realize that the only way they are going to jump TD by the end of the week is if he cracks hard. Last time TD was leading a grand tour heading into the final weekend, he cracked hard and lost 4 minutes to the GC during stage 20 of the 2015 Vuelta...so they know its possible. They aren't just going to ride away and put 2+ minutes while he's still capable of riding a strong tempo. They just don't have that much of a superior w/kg right now.

So I think they are putting in some short digs to see if TD is on the ropes. When they realize he's not in trouble, there is no point in continuing the move thus burying themselves to gain 10-15 seconds...so they let it come back together.

When they got to the crest of the last climb, they were in TD territory with 3km to go...again, no point in them using any energy and see if TD would burn some energy chasing Pinot while they sit in the draft...hoping it will add up to his fatigue in the event they can crack him tomorrow or Saturday. TD was smart enough not to go too hard...pretty textbook all the way around if you ask me.

TD may or may not crack in the last 2 stages...but I think it's the only card Nibali and Quintana can play at this point.


difference is that the last stage of the 2015 Vuelta was exceedingly hilly and similar to today's Giro stage. The next two mountain stages are nothing alike. Best thing Nibbles and Quintana could do is to send riders up and hope that they make the rendez-vous toward the top of the climb on the last day and have their teammates pull them away (15 km of flat from top of GPM to finish).


Yeah, I don't see it happening the next two stages, but for those saying that Quintana isn't racing to win, I believe he is...he's just outmatched right now and he knows it. He knows his best shot is not to just throw the kitchen sink at TD just because the road is pointing up. He's got to get lucky and hope for an off day and pounce on that if it ever comes (also with the right mix of teammates up the road as you mentioned). TD was clearly on form today, and no teammates up the road...so Quintana will hope for better luck tomorrow or Saturday even if the profile doesn't favor it.

We all know races are not won on paper, and what "should happen." Sometimes the easier stages on paper can be the most difficult and stressful. I actually applaud Quintana for trying a few times today, but at the same time being smart enough to know what his "best" chances are.

ETA: Allowing Pinot and others to gain time may actually benefit Quintana and Nibali's chances to isolate TD, as it brings more threats to the overall GC. Yes it also brings threats to their podium spots, but as prior GT overall winners, I think they are all in for pink, not the podium.
Last edited by: Jason N: May 25, 17 13:25
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Td was on Giant in that Veulta. He had no team, they were there for the sprint stages. Astana took it to him on that stage. Sent two strong riders up the road and Giant could not match it. When he was isolated Aru attacked, he bridged to his teammates and dropped the hammer.

TD was alone and got crushed. This current team would handle the situation better and prevent the isolation. That an TD is a different rider in this Giro.

That is just my take, I could be remembering things wrong.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Triagain3] [ In reply to ]
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There was a lot of climbing in this Giro. But the two time trials seem to be the determining factor.

I do think Quintana could close the gap on TD tomorrow- if Quintana were to burry himself.

But what good would that do?

TD will just take back the 30 seconds (plus 60 more) on that downhill TT.

I think Quintana might have won, if he had Valverde as an official domestique.
But Valverde is probably just too good to be anybody's domestique.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Perhaps he could have won with a super domestique like Valverde. However, TD except for the shit stop has looked only slightly weaker on the climbs the NQ. I imagine having Valverde break wind for NQ, would have just meant they both moved along quicker.

I just think having followed this race it was never NQ's to win. TD has been in control the entire time.

I hope he is a TDF contender and becomes the guy to unset Froome. I really like TD's personality and riding style and would gladly cheer him on for a good many years.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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Haha, best quote of the week.

they now have as many world tour wins as Rally cycling in the last two years.......[/quote]
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Jason N] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
Allowing Pinot and others to gain time may actually benefit Quintana and Nibali's chances to isolate TD, as it brings more threats to the overall GC. Yes it also brings threats to their podium spots, but as prior GT overall winners, I think they are all in for pink, not the podium.

Quintana and Nibali may be, but I think Pinot and Zakarin (and their teams) will be thrilled with moving up to podium. Indeed, Pinot may already think he is virtual podium with the TT at the end. So any Quintana attack would be marked by Pinot and his team. In fact that already happened today (the extra time Pinot got later was just an unexpected bonus). However, Pinot would need to have a much better TT than stage 10 but he underperformed there.

If Pinot attacks, Quintana and Nibali can play chicken again and try to make TD chase. However, I just have a feeling that Pinot is more likely to play for 2nd or 3rd.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Quote:
Allowing Pinot and others to gain time may actually benefit Quintana and Nibali's chances to isolate TD, as it brings more threats to the overall GC. Yes it also brings threats to their podium spots, but as prior GT overall winners, I think they are all in for pink, not the podium.


Quintana and Nibali may be, but I think Pinot and Zakarin (and their teams) will be thrilled with moving up to podium. Indeed, Pinot may already think he is virtual podium with the TT at the end. So any Quintana attack would be marked by Pinot and his team. In fact that already happened today (the extra time Pinot got later was just an unexpected bonus). However, Pinot would need to have a much better TT than stage 10 but he underperformed there.

If Pinot attacks, Quintana and Nibali can play chicken again and try to make TD chase. However, I just have a feeling that Pinot is more likely to play for 2nd or 3rd.

You may be right that Pinot won't attack and rely on the TT to move up the podium, but that may induce Zakarin to attack, which in turn forces Pinot to follow, which in turn means that TD has to chase while Nibali and Quintana play chicken...

I do feel that TD is the strongest rider left...by quite a margin. But him losing time to Pinot and Zakarin today is opening up a lot of possibilities. This was the next best thing for Nibali and Quintana's hopes for pink other than actually dropping TD today...which they couldn't do.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Velocibuddha wrote:
devashish_paul wrote:
Can we now officially state that the race for first loser is officially confirmed and we can paint a Pink Jersey on TD's bike, paint his bike and helmet pink and convert the Dutch national flag to pink for the rest of the week? Now we're watching stage hunting and how the 2-5th GC spots shuffle around between now and the end of the ITT.


No - they think (correctly) that they can still break him on stage 19 and 20.


Do you think Quintana has any chance of making up 2.5 minutes BEFORE Sunday? Without a bonk, a mechanical at the wrong time, or an unfortunate crash, I don't see how it is humanly possible to make up that much time on Dumoulin. They basically have the same loaded down watts per kilo (when you add in bike, helmet, shoes, electronics, clothing and bottle). On top of that Quintana basically gave away a full minute to Pinot today. Basically within a minute of Quintana you have Pinot and Nibali, both of who could make up a minute on the final ITT and push Quintana off the podium, forget about the win. I get it that he is going for the win, in which case rolling with Pinot's attack would have been beneficial anyway than sitting on Dumoulin's wheel.


This is what Dumoulin said about Nibali and Quintana and them just focusing on him today:

"They are only focusing on me and trying to make me lose instead of trying to win. In the last moments, they lost a lot of time to the other competitors. I really hope that riding like this they will lose their podium spot in Milan, that would be really nice, and I would be really happy," he told Eurosport.

"I was very friendly to everyone for the whole Giro. But today I wasn't happy with how they rode. I think Nibali and Quintana are here to win the Giro right? Well, the only thing they did was to try to make me lose today. "
"I was never really in trouble but in the finale, I was not completely happy with the situation. I'd have liked to stay all together. At top of the climb with four kilometres to go, it was a good situation for Quintana, Nibali and me. That's why I didn't understand their tactics. I was frustrated and angry that they only rode on my wheel. I don't understand them."
Last edited by: devashish_paul: May 25, 17 20:07
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Jason N] [ In reply to ]
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Tomorrow looks like a potential chance for Quintana to get into Pink. It might be





I think he has to go early in the bottom part of the climb and put TD on the ropes with a gap and then attack again on the 14% grade. After that, it's back to TD favourable grades, so he needs some partners who will come with him and TTT on the less steep parts to sustain the gap.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
I think Nibali and Quintana are here to win the Giro right? Well, the only thing they did was to try to make me lose today. "

Uh...I'm pretty sure the first step in winning is dropping the fastest guy. I hope TD is just pretending to be upset as gamesmanship and doesn't genuinely believe that Quintana and Nibali were supposed to close down Pinot for him.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
I think he has to go early in the bottom part of the climb and put TD on the ropes with a gap and then attack again on the 14% grade. After that, it's back to TD favourable grades, so he needs some partners who will come with him and TTT on the less steep parts to sustain the gap.

That would be awesome. But there is one problem. There is no possible "partner" because new riders are not allowed to enter the race.

To this point there has been no one who could go with Quintana whom TD could not follow, and if Movistar sends teammates up the road they are spent by the time Quintana bridges to them and can't pull away from TD.

For all the criticism of Sunweb, I think TD's team won the race for him today. They were pulling in front quite a bit up to Gardena, keeping the break at about two minutes. By the time Quintana attacked on Gardena he had lost all his teammates. He did have Amador and Anacona up front, but by some reports they did not drop back to help him but in fact were dropped by the break which had to ride hard to stay out in front. That report seems plausible to me as evidently Amador and Anacona did not have much left in the tank because at the pace they could muster, TD was able to pull himself and all the other GC guys up to them by the top of the climb.

Should Quintana and Nibali have dropped Amador and Anacona and gone at a harder pace up Gardena? Sure they could have. But then it would be two guys together on 30+ km non-technical descent and flat before the final climb vs. large group of GC contenders behind.

Quintana might be the strongest on the 14% but the second strongest on the steep (and overall strongest), and best candidate to be his partner is TD. Nibali potentially could be that Quintana's attack partner on Chianzutan (is this stage in China?), but the two would face 60 km of flat before the final climb. I don't see it happening -- but it would be exciting if it did. If half of Movistar and Bahrain teams are in a break before Chianzutan, then TD may have poop again if Quintana and Nibali go on Chianzutan.

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
I think he has to go early in the bottom part of the climb and put TD on the ropes with a gap and then attack again on the 14% grade. After that, it's back to TD favourable grades, so he needs some partners who will come with him and TTT on the less steep parts to sustain the gap.

Yep, pretty much - the first 5K of Piancavallo are Q and Nibs' last really good opportunity to put some time into Dumoulin.

Some badly miscalculated tactics played out today for Quintana and Nibali. Their negative racing put Pinot back within range of the podium. They may not care whether they finish 2nd or 4th, but that's not the issue. The issue is that they just ensured that Francaise des Jeux will be riding hard and not letting Q or Nibs go anywhere.

Dumoulin suddenly has another team whose interests are directly aligned with his. His team is really weak on the climbs, so this is a big plus for him. Pinot is not really interested in attacking Dumoulin; his interest is in keeping the podium within range so that he can get there with a good TT on Sunday.

Reichenbach has been an amazing domestique for Pinot, and you can bet that if Quintana and Nibali manage to make a move on Piancavallo, Reichenbach will be riding tempo, tapping out the rhythm bringing them back, with Pinot on his wheel, and Dumoulin right behind.

This was an unforced error on the part of Movistar and Bahrain-Merida. Seemed like a good idea in the heat of the moment, bu I'm sure they're regretting it now that they have had time to reflect.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [eb] [ In reply to ]
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This was an unforced error on the part of Movistar and Bahrain-Merida.

-----
Except the position they are in made it more of a forced error. ETA: I say error because it didn't work, but as Trail put it...they are trailing..they had to attack...they attacked....it didn't work...maybe it works tomorrow and maybe it doesn't. But they are in position they are that leaves them attacking like this.

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
Last edited by: B_Doughtie: May 25, 17 22:38
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [eb] [ In reply to ]
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eb wrote:

Some badly miscalculated tactics played out today for Quintana and Nibali.

I didn't see negative racing. Or bad tactics. They threw down their attacks. They just didn't work. Maybe you think that they had a lot of extra power left at the end and could have tried to bridge up to Pinot. Sure didn't look like it to me. I thought it took just about everything Quintana had to reel TD's counter-attack back in, and he was happy just to make it back to his wheel.

There was no tactic that was going to work on Dumoulin today. He was just toying with them.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Triagain3] [ In reply to ]
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Triagain3 wrote:
Td was on Giant in that Veulta. He had no team, they were there for the sprint stages. Astana took it to him on that stage. Sent two strong riders up the road and Giant could not match it. When he was isolated Aru attacked, he bridged to his teammates and dropped the hammer.

TD was alone and got crushed. This current team would handle the situation better and prevent the isolation. That an TD is a different rider in this Giro.

That is just my take, I could be remembering things wrong.

This is the same team, just the name has changed. To your point though, Astana used a simple recipe to hammer him then - I don't think it will work here. Hes' missing Wilco Keldermans thanks to the Blockhaus incident but hes still got LTD and some good young climbers. Moreover, hes got a lot of other guys who also think they can get on the podium or want the white jersey. Yates (Orica), Formolo (Cannondale) and Jungels (Quickstep) are all riding for the white jersey and that dynamic could really help Sunweb.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [PT] [ In reply to ]
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Oh man, drama yet again
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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word on the street is gremlin Quintana and goblin (shark) Nibali attacked when Dumoulin was taking a nature break.
Last edited by: echappist: May 26, 17 5:36
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
word on the street is gremlin Quintana and goblin (shark) Nibali attacked when Dumoulin was taking a nature break.


Dumoulin doesn't appear to be upset with them if that was the case.

Edit: On Italian TV one the Subweb people just said he was simply caught toward the back of the bunch when the acceleration occurred, he wasn't stopped for a nature break.
Last edited by: ThisIsIt: May 26, 17 5:56
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [ThisIsIt] [ In reply to ]
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Another nature break. What is wrong with this guy's bladder?

Did he have is partially removed as a weight saving method?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
word on the street is gremlin Quintana and goblin (shark) Nibali attacked when Dumoulin was taking a nature break.

yeah the Brit commentators say it's just not cricket..........

Cannondale in the break again...looks like Rally missed the break...no, wait, they missed the race.....maybe the TdF....no wait, they'll be in Minnesota racing against local bike shop teams......are they booked up during the Vuelta?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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McNulty wrote:
echappist wrote:
word on the street is gremlin Quintana and goblin (shark) Nibali attacked when Dumoulin was taking a nature break.


yeah the Brit commentators say it's just not cricket..........

Cannondale in the break again...looks like Rally missed the break...no, wait, they missed the race.....maybe the TdF....no wait, they'll be in Minnesota racing against local bike shop teams......are they booked up during the Vuelta?

I raced with Britton back in Sask. when he was a junior. Good kid. Road an awesome TOC.


All of TD's stop seem ominous...
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
I'd be more of a fan if, for instance, he targeted Lombardia now.


ditto. I like TJ. i think some of his sour-graping is 'cause he's really putting himself out there.
so GT GCs have yet to pan out. so what. not everyone can be the next Froome.
perhaps the kid could be the next Gilbert.
that would be a great objective.

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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Triagain3] [ In reply to ]
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Triagain3 wrote:
McNulty wrote:
echappist wrote:
word on the street is gremlin Quintana and goblin (shark) Nibali attacked when
I raced with Britton back in Sask. when he was a junior. Good kid. Road an awesome TOC.

no doubt....they're doing great...Huffman as well
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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that bottle throw was awesome lulz
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Sean H] [ In reply to ]
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Sean H wrote:
that bottle throw was awesome lulz

that was cool....i'm going to start doing that.....
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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I've never seen someone have the strategy that TD has on these climbs. Not respond to accelerations, just do his own power with confidence he'll pull them back in. Highly entertaining for sure.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Sean H] [ In reply to ]
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i think he should be okay. he's on slope of 12% right now; no need to go into red here

though TD doesn't look as good
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Sean H] [ In reply to ]
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Sean H wrote:
I've never seen someone have the strategy that TD has on these climbs. Not respond to accelerations, just do his own power with confidence he'll pull them back in. Highly entertaining for sure.

Froome is pretty similar.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:

though TD doesn't look as good


Don't know why Quintana is dropping the hammer here if he was *anything* in the tank.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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they need to maintain gap at top of climb to really make time. if TD is back when the gradient top out, it's gruppos compacto; however, drafting btwn the leaders would help them create a bigger gap if TD isn't back
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
they need to maintain gap at top of climb to really make time. if TD is back when the gradient top out, it's gruppos compacto; however, drafting btwn the leaders would help them create a bigger gap if TD isn't back


I don't know, with that many guys in the group I have to think the fastest 3-4 guys could sustain a much higher pace over the final 4km.

Edit: I think Nibali and Quintana are just at their limit. That's all they've got. Pinot is having a great couple of days.
Last edited by: trail: May 26, 17 7:54
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Landa earned that one.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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that's what i meant;

sigmoidal, if you will. any slight gap will get amplied on the flatter section

looks like TD will lose the jersey. Issue will be how good he'll be for the time trial; doubtful he'll be as good.

also, where is Pinot?
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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And Zakarin and Pozzovivo go with no response. Quintana and Nibali are definitely just in survival mode.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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Exciting. Can't remember the last time all 3 podium spots in the GC cracked. The pretenders are on the assault.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:

looks like TD will lose the jersey. Issue will be how good he'll be for the time trial; doubtful he'll be as good.


The time trial is lining up to be super exciting. Everything's all tightened up now across the top 5. Top 3 within 43 seconds. And I don't think Pinot and Zakarin are far off that.

This is how it should be. None of that business with Froome 5 minutes clear and doing a just-don't-crash TT.
Last edited by: trail: May 26, 17 8:14
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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perhaps clean racing after all

This is the most exciting finale I could recall. There was Hesjedal trailing Rodriguez and taking Maglia Rosa on the final day in 2012; and there was Evans overhauling Schleck in 2011. top 6 are separated by fewer than 90 second. TD will rue the lack to attention when descending that hill as he surely burned a few matches
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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Going to be an all-out assault from Quintana and Nibali tomorrow.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Exciting. Can't remember the last time all 3 podium spots in the GC cracked. The pretenders are on the assault.


NQ is the least exciting GC contender to watch race, give me conti any day. Anyways, if TD keeps the gap under minute he will win in the TT, by NQ's own admission he needs 90 seconds coming into the TT. A dead flat TT will significantly favor TD regardless of the fatigue level; likely NQ has gone very deep as well to gain these time gaps and could pay a serious price in the TT.

Edit: Tomorrows stage will be quite interesting, Monte Grappa is filled with so much history it makes the racing that much more enjoyable. Nibbles looks fatigued, NQ is either on the limit or waiting until tomorrow, likely on the limit. Pinot and the doped Russian are on a serious mission, i think one of them gets into the top 3 tomorrow.
Last edited by: Ron_Burgundy: May 26, 17 8:24
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]
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Carl Spackler wrote:
Going to be an all-out assault from Quintana and Nibali tomorrow.

Yup. They're going to want another minute. And now that blood is in the water, they'll be watching for the first hint of weakness. It's going to be a fun couple of stages.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Ron_Burgundy] [ In reply to ]
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Ron_Burgundy wrote:
]

NQ is the least exciting GC contender to watch race


I think he gets a bad rap. Take-GC-by-the-throat assault on the Blockhaus. Field-sprinting for 2nd. Throwing down as many attacks as anyone else. Yesterday he sent Anacona up the road, bridge to him, and tried a game-ending attack. He just didn't have it. Today he was just in survival mode like Dumoulin and Nibali. He's human. And his never-see-me-suffer poker face is kind of cool.
Last edited by: trail: May 26, 17 8:29
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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trail wrote:
Carl Spackler wrote:
Going to be an all-out assault from Quintana and Nibali tomorrow.


Yup. They're going to want another minute. And now that blood is in the water, they'll be watching for the first hint of weakness. It's going to be a fun couple of stages.

Damn, I was stuck in meetings, but it sounds like they gapped TD on the steepest 12-14 degree grade section and then they all just sat on their watts in survival mode of sorts, the small guys in a group building a gap and TD more or less solo riding within himself, and then we they got on the "flatter section" the group effect allowed Quintana, Nibali and Pinot to gain more time and Pinot gained the most? Pinot may be the biggest winner in the last 2 days. Pinot is almost in spitting distance of winning this Giro. From what I understand he was "off" in the first ITT but when he has been on in the past, he's even beaten Dumoulin in an ITT? Can someone confirm that?

Now we need to get Quintana on a 650 bike loaded down with cement or depleted uranium filled aero bottles for the downhill TT....or a 75W booster motor :-)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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This race is still wide open.
TD was isolated today.

There will be 15k of flat tomorrow after the final climb.
But if TD is 1 minute off of Nibbles and Quintana after the climb (like today).
And TD is without support.
That 1 minute is not coming back.

That would give Quintana his 90 seconds on TD, and 43 seconds on Nibbles - going into the time trial.

That is even odds 3 ways.

TD is still probably favorite. (Because disaster can befall Quintana and Nibbles also)
I say:
30% chance TD wins
28% Nibbles
26% Quintana
10% Pinot
2% Zakarin
2% Pozzovivo

Tactically - I think Quintana needs Nibbles and/or Pinot on the last 15k tomorrow to keep TD away.
But Nibbles can perhaps take 43 seconds out of Quintana on the time trial.

The race can be won by Nibbles or Pinot.
It can be lost by TD.
Quintana's best hope is to sneak in a middle ground win- between a TD loss and a Nibbles Victory.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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This race is still wide open.
TD was isolated today.


I love this race. Agreed - still wide open all the way back to Possivivo in 6th place 1:30 down.

Tomorrow will be critical to setting up the final TT on Sunday.


Steve Fleck @stevefleck | Blog
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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I think TD losing the jersey was a good thing. He can settle in, and most importantly he doesn't have to wear the crappy magila rose skin suit for the final tt. That's like 1 min right there?;)
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
This race is still wide open.
TD was isolated today.

There will be 15k of flat tomorrow after the final climb.
But if TD is 1 minute off of Nibbles and Quintana after the climb (like today).
And TD is without support.
That 1 minute is not coming back.

That would give Quintana his 90 seconds on TD, and 43 seconds on Nibbles - going into the time trial.

That is even odds 3 ways.

TD is still probably favorite. (Because disaster can befall Quintana and Nibbles also)
I say:
30% chance TD wins
28% Nibbles
26% Quintana
10% Pinot
2% Zakarin
2% Pozzovivo

Tactically - I think Quintana needs Nibbles and/or Pinot on the last 15k tomorrow to keep TD away.
But Nibbles can perhaps take 43 seconds out of Quintana on the time trial.

The race can be won by Nibbles or Pinot.
It can be lost by TD.
Quintana's best hope is to sneak in a middle ground win- between a TD loss and a Nibbles Victory.

I am giving Pinot the highest hopes of victory outside TD. it's still TD's race to lose. Now that i checked the google, Pinot beat TD in the Romandie ITT in 2016. But Pinot needs to gain some time tomorrow. TD could just as easily attack tomorrow and take the stage and overall win, although he is looking "less strong" than earlier.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Fleck] [ In reply to ]
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Not only is this racing hotting up on the course, it's getting heated allround
http://www.cyclingnews.com/...riticism-of-tactics/
Nibbles was quite irritated at TD for some "cocky" remarks after stage18.

Quintana now leads TD by 38sec., but the consensus seems to be he'll need 90 seconds plus for a realistic shot at the overall win.
That means Movistar and Emirates are going to try and gap the pink on tomorrows climbs, and then TTT to the finish.
What a great finish this is shaping up to be!

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 26, 17 12:22
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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devashish_paul wrote:
Velocibuddha wrote:
This race is still wide open.
TD was isolated today.

There will be 15k of flat tomorrow after the final climb.
But if TD is 1 minute off of Nibbles and Quintana after the climb (like today).
And TD is without support.
That 1 minute is not coming back.

That would give Quintana his 90 seconds on TD, and 43 seconds on Nibbles - going into the time trial.

That is even odds 3 ways.

TD is still probably favorite. (Because disaster can befall Quintana and Nibbles also)
I say:
30% chance TD wins
28% Nibbles
26% Quintana
10% Pinot
2% Zakarin
2% Pozzovivo

Tactically - I think Quintana needs Nibbles and/or Pinot on the last 15k tomorrow to keep TD away.
But Nibbles can perhaps take 43 seconds out of Quintana on the time trial.

The race can be won by Nibbles or Pinot.
It can be lost by TD.
Quintana's best hope is to sneak in a middle ground win- between a TD loss and a Nibbles Victory.


I am giving Pinot the highest hopes of victory outside TD.

I was thinking Pinot too. He's put time into the other 3 the last couple of days and is a good time trialist.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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RoYe wrote:

That means Movistar and Emirates are going to try and gap the pink on tomorrows climbs, and then TTT to the finish.


I don't know about that. I don't think Quintana feels safe with that TT time gap over Nibali either. And no team seems to be a fan of UAE.
Last edited by: trail: May 26, 17 16:00
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
That means Movistar and Emirates are going to try and gap the pink on tomorrows climbs, and then TTT to the finish.

UAE don't have a dog in the hunt or the team to do this. You mean Bahrain-Merida? Or UAE to set up Costa for a stage win?

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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RoYe wrote:
Not only is this racing hotting up on the course, it's getting heated allround
http://www.cyclingnews.com/...riticism-of-tactics/
Nibbles was quite irritated at TD for some "cocky" remarks after stage18.

Quintana now leads TD by 38sec., but the consensus seems to be he'll need 90 seconds plus for a realistic shot at the overall win.
That means Movistar and Emirates are going to try and gap the pink on tomorrows climbs, and then TTT to the finish.
What a great finish this is shaping up to be!
TDs little cry after the stage reminded me of crybaby cancellara whenever he lost a tt in a grand tour so have to agree with Nibali on this
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
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That means Movistar and Emirates are going to try and gap the pink on tomorrows climbs, and then TTT to the finish.

UAE don't have a dog in the hunt or the team to do this. You mean Bahrain-Merida? Or UAE to set up Costa for a stage win?

Oops, yes, I'm meant Bahrain, not Emirates
Was looking at the 39Km stage 10 TT results, Dumoulin was WAY faster than any of the top 6.
Nibbles was 2:07 back, Pinot 2:42, and Quintana 2:53, Zakirin 2:19, Pozzivivo 3:07.
The 21st stage finale is only 28km tho.
Stage 20 is gonna be epic!

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [trail] [ In reply to ]
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I think Nibali could still take it. He put 40-something seconds into Quintana on first ITT so Quintana not only has to gain on Dumoulin but also not loose anything to Nibali.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]
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Everyone together on the Monte Grappa 24K climb. This is where Quintana secured his win during the 2014 Giro, but it was an ITT. It's not that steep and Dumoulin should be fine! Cycling news is saying that there is a rumor that Orica and Trek might be working to help Dumoulin win overall. What are your throughts? I can see why Trek would do it, but why Orica?


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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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GC group down to 14 after that crazy Zakarin attack. Mollema dropped, Formolo out, Dumoulin hanging onto the back with 7K to go and now that pack down to 8.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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It looks like Dumoulin is pacing his way out for tomorrow, trying not to spike any efforts and keeping it all steady. The profile favours that. Descent of Monte Grappa looks super high speed. I am getting motion sick watching out of the eye of the cameraman!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Reading text updates....so is Dumoulin in the Q group or not? I didn't see his name in the main group w Q and Nib.

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [B_Doughtie] [ In reply to ]
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B_Doughtie wrote:
Reading text updates....so is Dumoulin in the Q group or not? I didn't see his name in the main group w Q and Nib.

Brooks, he was momentarily on the ropes on Monte Grappa, but reeled things in. Nothing steep enough to drop him. Let's see if anything happens on the final climb, but TD seems to be nicely pacing himself out to open up some kick ass power tomorrow and take the win from the climbing goats. The entire GC crew is together from what I can see after the Monte Grappa descent
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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What a race....top 5 GC minus TD TTTing to the finish 23 second up on TD...only rollers/downhills.

TD has Mollema and Yates (Trek and Orica) to tow him in
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Its all upside down.....Pinot takes back 25 seconds on TD.....30 second separating the top 4 going into the ITT!!! I think TD has this win now.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Way to go Pinot!...

TD was destroyed at the end. Could have been a lot worse than 15 seconds is Bob of the Jungels wasn't in that group. What a beast.

Zakarin is going to hurt someone if he doesn't learn to ride. Really screwed up their rhythm.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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I'll be on an island by myself in saying I don't think TD wins now. Not after having to iTT after this week. Sorta the death by a thousand cuts when you want your legs to go, they just won't have anything left.

Regardless this has been beautiful to watch.

Brooks Doughtie, M.S.
Exercise Physiology
-USAT Level II
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [B_Doughtie] [ In reply to ]
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B_Doughtie wrote:
I'll be on an island by myself in saying I don't think TD wins now. Not after having to iTT after this week. Sorta the death by a thousand cuts when you want your legs to go, they just won't have anything left.

Regardless this has been beautiful to watch.
Wouldn't be a shock to see any of the top four win.

Heck of a race!

"Human existence is based upon two pillars: Compassion and knowledge. Compassion without knowledge is ineffective; Knowledge without compassion is inhuman." Victor Weisskopf.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [McNulty] [ In reply to ]
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If the last couple k were uphill or Jungels wasn't there TD would be been in serious trouble. Should be interesting tomorrow but bet he take some it. Quintana could easily end up 3rd.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Quote:
Cycling news is saying that there is a rumor that Orica and Trek might be working to help Dumoulin win overall. What are your throughts? I can see why Trek would do it, but why Orica?

Did you forget the drama at foot of Blockhaus and Orica's reaction?

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Carl Spackler] [ In reply to ]
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Carl Spackler wrote:
If the last couple k were uphill or Jungels wasn't there TD would be been in serious trouble. Should be interesting tomorrow but bet he take some it. Quintana could easily end up 3rd.

I am not sure if NQ will make the podium, Nibali can TT well and Pinot seems to be riding very well. Nibali needs 39 seconds, Pinot 43, and TD 53.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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I think it is still wide open.
If I had to give odds:
Pinot- might be the favorite now. Did he push too hard for stage 19 win?
Maybe - 38% chance
Dumoulin- can he recover enough by tomorrow to win this. (Maybe not).
- 28% chance
Nibbles- did he ride sufficiently within himself to have a big performance tomorrow, are Pinot and Dumoulin too tired. Can he catch Quintana? - 20%
Quintana- has he been saving himself for this? Is he the guy that has given the least of himself so far and who thus has the most left? (I think so). But does he have to enough time? - 12%
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Final standings will be Dumoulin, Pinot +35, Nibali +45

________
It doesn't really matter what Phil is saying, the music of his voice is the appropriate soundtrack for a bicycle race. HTupolev
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
I think it is still wide open.
If I had to give odds:
Pinot- might be the favorite now. Did he push too hard for stage 19 win?
Maybe - 38% chance
Dumoulin- can he recover enough by tomorrow to win this. (Maybe not).
- 28% chance
Nibbles- did he ride sufficiently within himself to have a big performance tomorrow, are Pinot and Dumoulin too tired. Can he catch Quintana? - 20%
Quintana- has he been saving himself for this? Is he the guy that has given the least of himself so far and who thus has the most left? (I think so). But does he have to enough time? - 12%

It feels like Quintana has given the least of himself in this last week...or he has nothing. On today's stage at the end, he probably misjudged the finishing location and went to early. I have no idea otherwise why he was pulling that early. He gave up important time bonuses. I was pretty sure Pinot was going to win, but NQ can probably jump in a small frontal just as good as the other 4 (he got second in his crash stage).

I am guessing tomorrow's stage will be around 20 min faster for the favourtes than the first TT, but I think NQ can't hold the 53 second on Dumoulin. i am going with Dumoulin-Pinot-NQ-NIbali.

Now can someone get NQ a 650 bike with a rear disk and get him to bury his nose into his front tire please. This position just won't cut it on this bike:


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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [devashish_paul] [ In reply to ]
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Here is why I think Quintana went to the front today with 600m to go:

The bunch was slowing, waiting for the sprint. Quintana was afraid that Pinot, Nibali, etc. - where going to start messing around with that track style super slow tactical stuff - that they do when they really want to win a stage.
Quintana wasn't gonna get the time bonus.
Better to keep the group moving.
Quintana kept the extra seconds on Dumoulin.
Pinot probably would have won even if Quintana had let them slow up.
Last edited by: Velocibuddha: May 27, 17 11:23
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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If Dumoulin loses this Giro, it will have come because of the "oh shit" moment on Umbrailpass on the back side of Stelvio. Until then he as so far ahead that the race for second was the only one. By giving away 2+ minutes right there, he gave the rest of these guys hope that they could chip away with small gaps and stage time bonuses. I hope on tomorrow's ITT there are no crashes and no flats or mechanicals.....just a full blast drag race.

This is going to be like Versailles to Paris 1989 all over again:









The worst part of this podium is that that Pedro Delgado takes the win had he not missed his start time on the stage 1 prologue!!!




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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [Velocibuddha] [ In reply to ]
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Velocibuddha wrote:
Here is why I think Quintana went to the front today with 600m to go:

The bunch was slowing, waiting for the sprint. Quintana was afraid that Pinot, Nibali, etc. - where going to start messing around with that track style super slow tactical stuff - that they do when they really want to win a stage.
Quintana wasn't gonna get the time bonus.
Better to keep the group moving.
Quintana kept the extra seconds on Dumoulin.
Pinot might have won anyway.

I was wondering if he had that exact train of thought. It was definitely one of those prisoner dilemma game theory problems playing out at 120% FTP. Keep the pace up to maximize time on TD and gift the other guys the time bonus, or play the game and MAYBE get the time bonus or it all closes down and TD pulls to the back and wins the sprint! It was super fun watching. We had a perfect day for training here and I sat on the trainer to watch the stage for the first hour of my ride and then did the rest outdoors after the stage....I could not leave my screen!
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Final standings will be Dumoulin, Pinot +35, Nibali +45

I think same order, albeit closer gap btwn Dumoulin and Pinot, due to issue of freshness

for those pointing out that Pinot beat Dumoulin in the Romandie time trial, that stage had a proper 3km, 5.5% hill in the middle. This last stage is downhill.

also no rain to make corners tricky, though temperature is on the high side
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Final standings will be Dumoulin, Pinot +35, Nibali +45

I can see Dumoulin on the top step overall, Nibbles 2nd, Quintana 3rd, Pinot.
Pinot has been burning a lot of matches the last 3 stages, does he have any left for tomorrow?
Quintana under performed on the stage 10 TT, he'll redeem himself in the finale.
The shark has chance to take the Giro if he ride the best TT of his life.
Dumoulin will take the pink for 2017.

res, non verba
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [H-] [ In reply to ]
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H- wrote:
Final standings will be Dumoulin, Pinot +35, Nibali +45

+1.

Quintana 4th, Zakarin 5th.

Dumoulin is tired, but a downhill time trial into a headwind (predicted) favors him.
Pinot seems fresh and frisky; he's going to move up.
Nibali will do OK, but he needs more cushion to hold those guys off.
Quintana is going to suffer into the headwind, and he has to wear a pink suit which will cost some seconds.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [eb] [ In reply to ]
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Giro Final GC:
Dumoulin
Quintana - 31 sec
Nibili- 40s
Pinot- 1:17

Jos Van Emden wins the TT stage
Bob Jungels takes back the White jersey
Wow, that was a memorable Giro!

res, non verba
Last edited by: RoYe: May 28, 17 9:53
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [RoYe] [ In reply to ]
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Being Dutch I had a good day, stage-win and the first Dutchman to win the Giro. 🇳🇱

Nothing to add in the end, only that Quintana was stronger as I thought and also TD was very concerned until the last km of Quintana.

Edit: I mean AT THE FINAL TT Quintana was stronger as I thought. During the mountain stages I was rather surprised that he could never really gain a big distance.

To me it's now turning focus to Roland Garros.🎾
Last edited by: longtrousers: May 28, 17 21:57
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [longtrousers] [ In reply to ]
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Too bad then, that Ajax lost the Europa league finals. Unless, of course, if you like Feyenoord or PSV
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [longtrousers] [ In reply to ]
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longtrousers wrote:
Being Dutch I had a good day, stage-win and the first Dutchman to win the Giro. 🇳🇱

Nothing to add in the end, only that Quintana was stronger as I thought and also TD was very concerned until the last km of Quintana.

To me it's now turning focus to Roland Garros.🎾

Think about it this way: TD had time to fertilize the Italian countryside, allow his rivals to catch back up into the race, and ride the TT carefully while still winning the Giro.
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Re: Giro Stage by Stage - Discussion & Debate (Spoiler Alert) [echappist] [ In reply to ]
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echappist wrote:
Too bad then, that Ajax lost the Europa league finals. Unless, of course, if you like Feyenoord or PSV

Yes, being born in Amsterdam, that was less satisfying.
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