From Kim Brown on the Infinitnutrition site:
CALCULATING CYCLING CALORIES Determining your hourly calorie replenishment while cycling Example How many calories does cycling burn? This is one of the questions that riders ask most, but there is no precise answer. It depends on many factors: body size, type of bike, pace, terrain, and wind conditions, to name a few. It is known, however, that the energy used in cycling increases dramatically with speed because of the increase in wind resistance.The adjoining chart shows calorie consumption estimates for different body weights and speeds. These numbers were developed by physiologist James Hagberg, PhD. Simply choose your average speed and multiply your weight by the coefficient for that speed and you’ll have a close approximation of the calories you burn per minute.Going uphill adds to this energy cost. It’s estimated that 22 extra calories are burned for every 100 feet of elevation gained, so factor this in. (This value is for a cyclist and bike weighing a total of 176 pounds). Coasting downhill burns no extra calories, of course, but the combination of going up and down always uses more energy than riding on flat ground.
AVERAGE SPEED (MPH) COEFFICIENT (CALORIES/POUND/MINUTE) 8 0.0295 10 0.0355 12 0.0426 14 0.0512 15 0.0561 16 0.0615 17 0.0675 18 0.0740 19 0.0811 20 0.0891 21 0.0975 23 0.1173 25 0.1411
*Table published in Bicycling Magazine’s Complete Bood of Road Cycling Skills, p. 156
The maximum rate of absorption of calories during training falls about 30-50% of your total expenditure. Those athletes with sensitive stomachs should aim at replacing 30% of total calories expended. [/url]Determining your hourly calorie replenishment while cycling: Step 1: Calorie Coefficient x Total Body Weight (lbs) x 60 min = Hourly calorie expenditure
Step 2: Hourly calorie expenditure x estimated finish time (hours) = Total calorie expenditure
Step 3: (if course profile is needed) Total calorie expenditure + (22 calories x (Net elevation gain in feet ÷ 100 feet)) = Total calorie expenditure
Step 4: 0.3-0.5 x Total calorie expenditure = Total calories needed on bike
Step 5: Total calories needed on bike ÷ Estimated finish time (hours) = Hourly calorie replacement needs
[/url]Example: Kim is a 105-lb triathlete with a sensitive stomach. She will be competing in an Ironman event, which has a net elevation gain of 800 ft over 112 miles of riding. Kim averages 20 mph during long rides so estimated finish time for this Ironman course is 5 hours 36 min. Calorie Coefficient for 20mph: 0.0891 Step 1: 0.0891 x 105 lbs x 60 min = 561 calories
Step 2: 561 calories x 5.6 hours = 3,143 calories
Step 3: 3,143 calories + (22 calories x (800 feet ÷ 100 feet) = 3,319 calories
Step 4: 0.3 x 3,319 calories = 996 calories needed while cycling the 112 mile course
Step 5: 996 calories ÷ 5.6 hours = 178 calories/hour replacement rate