You could do maybe 2 simulation ride BUT 4:00 not long enough ... for example, if you thought you were going to be on course for 5:30 I would advise something like 15min easy start & finish then the middle 5:00 as close to "projected race effort as possible" ... I have different ways to skin the cat like: 5 x 55min @ IM / 5min cruise OR 10 x ?? etc etc. it does take a bit of mental pressure off and accounts for general fatigue YET still gives a very good account of projected power
KEYS ... do not shoot for a target number ( say 210w because that is 70% of 300w FTP ) ... shoot for a target bin (say 195 - 225) then see where your NP falls for the ride OR for the segmented intervals. Lets say at 3 weeks out your NP (for the 5hr segment or for the long intervals) ends up at 210 and you think that is consistent with ability to "run well" after
- DO NOT elevate your target for fresh legs ... se that cushion to get of the bike preserving your ability to run.
- Use the 210 as wattage ceiling on the flats (as in NEVER EVER go over) ... set a ceiling for hills / climbs ... set a strategy for downhills / tailwinds etc.
- Make sure your target power bins allign with your current run fitness / experience / race history
Cheers,
-------------------------
Dave Latourette
http://www.TTENation.com