I think 4 or 5 people are gonna be off the front on the bike and 2-3 will blow up for one reason or another. I think Ben Hoffman and Andy Potts could be in that near second group that could overtake any of the top guys coming off the bike depending. If Keinle and Frodeno try to blow each other out the whole day it will either be epic or a big chance for smarter racers. Last pass will be after mile 20. I liked the live coverage last year and really want the race to be over by mile 20 bc I am gonna miss the last bit bc of a Glow dash 5k fundraiser for my daughter. Can I record it onto our computer?

I think a big factor is who is not gonna have it or is sick ala chrissie or some other people that finished low. Miranda will have her best bike and run slower then 2:50 trying to watch for Ryf who will break 3:05.

Lew Hollander is gonna finish.

I want to see what Ryf will run. Sutton says team Ryf's goal is for fastest run split. Is that truth vs gamesmanship?

I don't think that Ryf will have to run her heart out to be honest.
I'm expecting her to have enough time in bag by T2 that she only needs to run "well".

That's what everyone thought last year at T2, and we all saw how that played out....

So, how many minutes does Ryf need?

---

Pink? Maybe. Maybe not. You decide.

I put the over-under at 10 minutes, and I think I'm being slightly generous towards Ryf's running with that number

I have to believe that Lionel is going to bust the bike ala Starkyowicz in 2013. It also seems odd to me that nobody has Marino on their radar, the dude has two sub 8 hour Ironman victories on the books for the year. Van Lierde has been super quiet going into the race, that leads me to believe he'll be more dangerous than ever. I think Jan's walking through aid stations strategy might be limited this year.

I think Ryf doesn't need the same gap that she had last year, she probably needs 10 minutes or so.

---

Team Zoot 2023