I think you'll do well at IMLOU and you'll enjoy the course. The finish line is awesome, lots of people and a huge big screen showing all of the finishers. On race day last year I was around 190# and I'm 6'2 so we're pretty close except my FTP was only in the 310W range at the time. It's only around 4,500 feet of climbing and nothing steep at all. Run is 2 loops and flat, goes right by Churchill Downs, gittyup!

Oh yeah and the swim, prepare to go under an hour as the last 2/3 of the swim is with the current of the river. Most people I talk to say they go 3-5 minutes faster in the IMLOU swim than a lake swim that doesn't have a current.

Quick thoughts:
1. Louisville is later so possible lower weather temps???
2. Flat run should help bigger athletes
3. Finish line is AWESOME!!!

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Pink? Maybe. Maybe not. You decide.

I'd think you would do really well at IMLOU. Small current river swim, "big rollers" on the bike, flat run, early October weather. And you have 3 more months to train.

I'm 6'6, 180lbs. Nowhere near your level, but can say I found it enjoyable.

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Regards,
J. Smith