i probably can't do it, but i like to think about what *might* be possible.

here's why i think it might be possible (feel free to shoot me down):
- when i ran that mile, i was literally sitting at my desk and got the idea to go all out 5' beforehand. hand my shoes on, out the door and started running within 20 steps. no warm-up. turns out it was 6:56.
- i broke my femur 3 months prior to that...to the day.
- i had "run" one time, one month prior (trot 1/2 mile, walk 1/2 x3).
- i was 5# heavier than i am today.
[edit to add: - also....race day. motivation will be high, tons of other runners. it could lift me up/lift my pace...potentially putting my bike power a bit at risk but increasing the chance of running a fast (for me) time.]

running 6:30 x 3.1 is probably unlikely, but if i do my speed work at that pace, then *maybe* it is possible.

i have plenty of engine in me, lots of ability to suffer for 20', and plenty of endurance. i need to move my feet/legs at that pace. no illusions--i have no economy at that pace right now...but maybe in 4 weeks????

truth is, i'd be stoked with 21'....hell, i'll be thrilled with any time as long as i give every step my full effort. just doing this race is stepping out of my comfort zone.