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SSDI solvency?
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Monday a new report came out for how long social security can last. Presently SSI will need cuts in 2033 - the trust that finances it will empty that year and be funded only by FICA. Current report says benefits will be cut by 21%.

Disability goes from a different fund that stays solvent until 2098.

Medicare is in better shape than last year's report - the trust fund will stay solvent until 2036 - 5 years longer than last year.

How do we fix it?

Cutting benefits won't pass obviously.
Raising the age might work - going from 65 to 67 back in the 80s reduced payouts by 13%. Raising it again to 70 would reduce lifetime payouts by about 20%. But raising the retirement age to 70? Does anyone have the political will to do that??
Why not drop the $168k tax cap? The CBO says that would earn $1T over the next 10 years!
The easiest would be raising the 6.2% FICA.

I don't think anything will become law if DJ wins.
I doubt anything will pass if R takes control of congress.
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Re: SSDI solvency? [scorpio516] [ In reply to ]
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Raising the cap should be a no-brainer. Political will and courage to be the bad guy? Not there. Write a law to form a commission. Model it like the Base Realignment and Closure Commission (BRAC). Allow them to select the solvency plan and then Congress has to take the vote up or down without amendment.
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Re: SSDI solvency? [scorpio516] [ In reply to ]
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Remove the income cap. Remove the cap of up to 85% of benefits being taxed.
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Re: SSDI solvency? [scorpio516] [ In reply to ]
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Either party can peel off enough votes to take power if the other limits benefits and tax increases are also super unpopular. Tax increases will also be needed for a whole host of other things. Good luck.

They constantly try to escape from the darkness outside and within
Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good T.S. Eliot

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Re: SSDI solvency? [scorpio516] [ In reply to ]
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It is a classic progressive vs conservative fiscal policy issue. It will all come down to reduce benefits, raise taxes or some combination of the two. Conservatives tend to favor reduced benefits and progressives to raise taxes.

Delaying the retirement age is a benefit reduction and increasing or removing the cap is a tax increase.

By the way, the proposal in your link was to just drop the cap. Instead it kept the cap but then taxed incomes after $250k. This helps it avoid the Biden campaign promise to "not raise taxes on the middle class". the trick is that the cap keeps increasing and the $250k "restart" remains fixed so after 15 years, the cap would essentially go away.
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