jwbeuk wrote:
I'm a fan of posting the entire article. http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/behind-trumps-victory-divisions-by-race-gender-education/ I like how the gap shrinks when inserting non-college graduates of all races (I guess non-white uneducated preferred Hillary by a WIDE margin) or the fact that Romney received 61% of those same voters or that Trump won over white college graduates at the same rate McCain did but less then Romney or that a majority of white women voted for Trump or that Blacks all voted for Hillary... I can go on but if your smart enough maybe you can read the numbers for yourself, not sure, maybe you can't. Of course we all know that those without a college degree are idiots because hey, if that person had just attended a fine academic institution like Evergreen State... well you get the picture.
mr. mike wrote:
jwbeuk wrote:
No no no. It was just the dumb uneducated, drug addled middle American's who voted for Trump because Hillary was a woman and Comey, and emails, and RUSSIA!!!! Duffy wrote:
Trump 2020 is the inevitable (and unfortunate) backlash.
MAGA!
nailed it, at least with respect to "uneducated".
"Trump’s margin among whites without a college degree is the largest among any candidate in exit polls since 1980. Two-thirds (67%) of non-college whites backed Trump, compared with just 28% who supported Clinton, resulting in a 39-point advantage for Trump among this group. In 2012 and 2008, non-college whites also preferred the Republican over the Democratic candidate but by less one-sided margins (61%-36% and 58%-40%, respectively)."
Nice, I expected you would merely decry it as fake news.
Actually, the thing I found most surprising when I looked that up (and in fact the google search that led me to it a few weeks ago) was looking at the results with respect to the elderly vote. I expected that to have really shifted strongly to Trump, at least as dramatically as the shift in non-college educated whites, but my recollection of the article is that it was very consistent with other recent elections.
I would love to see some analysis on how much of that shift \\was due to non-college educated whites who voted for Obama voting for Trump, and how much of it was due to \non-college educated whites coming out to vote for Trump who simply didn't vote in recent elections. I suspect it was a lot more of the latter than the former. I think that would explain part of the polling errors in 2016. Pollsters were looking at "likely voters" and disregarded some key votes that came from "unlikely voters".