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Traffic and Que Theory
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Here's the scenario: Construction on major freeway forces traffic from three lanes to two lanes. Applying the principles of que theory, should drivers use up all of the three lanes for as long as possible and merge only at the moment the lanes reduce to two or should drivers attempt to merge as early as possible. The reason I ask is that on my commute in this morning, some jerk (and that's the nicest possible thing I can say about him) sat in the third lane, refusing to move, because he thought everyone ought to be merging early rather than later. Was he right?
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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Good question! I've always wondered about that.

As a follow up, does anyone know of a good way to calm your nerves/wreak horrible revenge when everyone starts merging as early as possible and then some git decides to go right to the merge point and jump ahead?

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http://pavlov.psyc.queensu.ca/~psyc382/rockgold.html
(Norman Rockwell's "Do Unto Others")
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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I don't know the heck que theory is, but I'll take a stab at it.

In a mechanical system, it would be better to use all three lanes as far as possible, merging seamlessly at the last instant.

In real life, that doesn't take into account the fact that people aren't ever going to merge seamlessly a the point of lane reduction. If everyone waits to merge until the lanes merge, you're going to be stuck with a snarl at that point.

I seem to recall a similar experiment playing out in WWII. Seems that the army decided that the accordion effect evidenced by convoys was unacceptably inefficient. They tried to implement a system in which every vehicle in a convoy would move ahead at the same instant, all following a common command. This would have saved time and fuel. There were a lot of fender benders.








"People think it must be fun to be a super genius, but they don't realize how hard it is to put up with all the idiots in the world."
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [goobie] [ In reply to ]
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"Serenity now, serenity now"
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [vitus979] [ In reply to ]
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actually...it is queueing theory...from
queue...

it's a theory based on probablities (generally something called markov processes) that desribe things like cars on a road network, calls arriving in a phone network, data exchange in a computer network etc.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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it does not matter much. it depends on the parameter describing the arrival of cars (usually a law of poisson).
but then, provided you have enough cars, it will create a bottleneck...merging early will spread the bottle neck (won't be as bad, but will be on a longer length of road).
However, this assumes that all cars do this. it will spread the chaos...less chaos, but over a longer distance.
overall, those arriving after the bottleneck is created won't see a difference.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [Francois] [ In reply to ]
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You're right -- que looked wrong. I studied queue theory in one stat class in business school. I was intrigued by the notion that there were theories to explain lines of things -- people, cars, data, manufacturing processes, etc.

I'm going to confess -- I'm the git. I may not drive all the way to the front, but usually pretty close.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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I worked a bit in that area and still some days I am moody and will go all the way to the front... :-)
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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I knew it! It WAS you!!

<In the lowest whisper I can muster>
Actually I do it too, depending on how late I am. People are too polite and disorganised to shun me until my proper place in the queue arrives.

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http://pavlov.psyc.queensu.ca/~psyc382/rockgold.html
(Norman Rockwell's "Do Unto Others")
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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I'm the guy in the old silver land cruiser that won't let you over. Hi, nice to finally put a name with a finger.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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Use of the third lane before the constraint (i.e., lane reduction), doesn't effect flow, but it does effect order.

There is an algorithm in operations called, "Min cut-max flow" algorithm. The min cut (i.e., two lane reduction) across the network dictates the max flow across the network, in this case, the stretch of highway between exits.

A similar situation occurs at the supermarket checkout. The checkout conveyor usually tapers from 18" to 12" near the cashier/scanner. The groceries bunch up as the cashier activates the conveyor. This is akin to the pile up that occurs with the lane reduction.

At the grocery store, if you used only 12" of unconstrained conveyor, your groceries would not pile up, the queue would be longer, but the time to process would be the same.

iambigkahunatony.com
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [AmyMI] [ In reply to ]
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Sometimes, I'm the jerk in the third lane. But only when most of the traffic has already merged and some fools are still flying up at 40 MPH over the speed limit to pass 200 cars and get in the line right at the front.

On a different note, does this mean that the construction on the Lodge has started? I have COA argument downtown next Wednesday at 9:00 AM so this information would be useful.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [CTL] [ In reply to ]
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No -- I think Lodge construction doesn't start until the 24th; it was supposed to start today, but was delayed.
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Re: Traffic and Que Theory [Shad] [ In reply to ]
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You mean my finger, right? I'll make sure to wave it next time; a little debris on the shoulder and some orange barrels don't scare me:)
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