Ironman Texas 2025 - Predictions and Race Day

Wurf’s move to the front has been really impressive

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Von Berg has cut 15 secs off the front lead, 45 seconds back now. Will he catch and will he pay this effort on the run?

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He will. He’s almost there.

(Appreciate middle of the night for you.)
Knibb went through half way in 2:07:46. Your 2:13 might be pretty close! Though Matthews at half way in 2:08:58 (Perterer 2:08:34).
Knibb - Matthews at 83 miles: <8 minutes back (5:45 behind leaving T1) and Perterer has ‘let her go’ (as @pier87 says)
I would say Perterer is locked on for the podium. She is the best runner of those who are competition (Jewett is 22 minutes back - latter’s KQ looking dodgy )

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Hogenhaug bike falling apart! Not sure he can still ride with his whole cockpit looking completely loose…
And Von Berg has pretty much closed the whole gap, only 10 seconds back from the tail of the front group…great effort and clearly race awareness

Rudy really charged to bridge that gap

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Who cares about this stuff, so far knibb races a text book ironman

Risky move to go solo like that - lots of work to hold the split solo and certainly to bridge - clear statement of intent.

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Taylor seems now in front of the group of 5 pro guys she was stuck with for pretty much the last 20-30k, curious to see her pace now

Chevalier and Iden 4 mins down now
Kat Matthews holding strong at 8 mins, Perterer lost almost a minute from her very quickly and going with Zilinskas now

Rinny not knowing how to say Louisville is pretty annoying.

https://louisville.edu/healthcareethics/images/LooAVul_variedpronounce.jpg/image_view_fullscreen

Wurf will smash the bike record, if any athletes in the front group has a decent 2H 40 run, they will also improve the course record by around 10 minutes!

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I think Hogenhaug stopped to fix the bike but they are not showing it, he lost about a minute and is now with Stornes and Hirsch

Taylor Knibb has dropped most of the guys that were on her wheel. Have to say it’s quite embarrassing they’re all trying to hard to draft her, she’s destroying them. And to be fair, I think they’re drafting the moto with the camera on her looking at the gaps…
Kat has gained about 10 second back…they’ll probably end up 8 mins apart in T2

Lol
She has never not cycled solo.
In every of her non drafting races.
She is riding super controlled

I reckon that too. Will be interesting to see how the first 10 miles go.
Gathering data for October.
As I said a few days ago:
“If Knibb thinks she could [run 2:50], then glass slipper the bike to generate a five minute gap and then invite Matthews to run sub-2:45. Ha ha!”

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Curious to hear Trevor Foley’s story later on. Already 15min behind. He will pick up some people on the run, but he lost 8 minutes on the bike. That doesn’t match his confidence in his latest video.

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Kat still powering through, she gained another 20 seconds, have to say I’m surprised!

Is was speaking of Kat

What happened to Blu?