I’ve rarely seen so much bad running advice compressed into so few posts!
Your problem isn’t 800m - 5k speed, or needing more speed work, or too long of a long run, or running too many miles (LOL). It’s pretty much the opposite of those things, I’d argue.
You aren’t too heavy and have the raw speed (1:20 HM), you just fade as you go long because you don’t have the miles in your legs. Drop the other sports for a bit and increase the miles. Worry about holding race pace, tempos and workouts to improve your threshold speed. Sure, do some fast economy work to hopefully make your running more efficient. But the real wins are going to be the mileage, and time spent around race pace.
A couple of people have argued something like this.
A few concerns (probably inane ones).
- I am concerned about loosing bike and swim fitness. 12 weeks is not very long. But…
Any opinions about what the minimum amount of swimming and cycling one might do so that it does not take too long to get back to 70.3 shape? - It seems that easy swim and bikes might be almost as effective as easy runs on recovery days.
- I have never been injured. That may be because I am cautious. Going from 45 miles per week max to 70, probably would not be a problem. But in a period of 4-6 weeks?
I think that if you are worried about injury you gain more by losing 7-10 lbs than you can with more mileage. Cut down your protein intake and lose some upper body swimmer muscle, and yes, sacrifice some swimming (and also biking)…you can gain it all back. Running fast marathons is not necessarily a healthy thing. You’re either on the razor’s edge of injury with all the fast miles, or stupidly light for your frame. Go to any local marathon and most of the guys running 2:55 and lower are a lot smaller than you. That’s just the way physics works. Your engine is big enough to overcome some of that size disadvantage and you have good endurance given the 1:20 half marathon…just make the oxygen delivery demands lower on your heart by carrying around less weight and in the last 6 miles you’re largely golden. Couple that with a few more miles and more miles at race speed or slightly faster and 2:50 should go down.
At IM pace you take “less flight” on each stride so there is less pounding for your body to absorb. Marathon, you are going much faster and closer to your 5K speed, so make the oxygen demands easier. It’s like climbers trying to improve their watts or reduce their kilos.