Today the water was around 63 when we did a 4k swim. Seeing as air temps will be dropping about 15 degrees to Sunday(forecast for the week) what is the likely hood the water will be in the mid to upper 50s for IM? Rain and wind are in the forecast too.
Tempe report has water at 67 degrees. Last year on race day the temp reading was 63 degrees on this page. It is way hotter than normal with average lows way above normal right now and thru the week. By my calc this will be the warmest swim in years and you should have nothing to worry about.
http://wx.tempe.gov/townlake.aspx gave the temp at 63 early this morning. The lake is shallow and fluctuates easily with air temp.
If it helps, I overheated in the swim last year. I am personally hoping it cools down a bit. Yes may rise and fall but I don’t think you are going to see high 50s.
not sure where you are getting the weather info… accu weather shows one day of wind and and Sunday as relatively calm with some scattered showers. temp being 72 as a high that day. looks like perfect racing weather to me. I cant imagine the “lake” getting below 60 and more likely 63+ unless we get crazy winds here in the next few days
63 in a wetsuit is perfect… 67 is a bit warm for a full suit imo.