You’ve put your finger right on how using critical paces for interval setting works in practice.
Though to be clear, using meet times to set workout intervals will give you very, very aggressive estimates of critical pace.
But you do point out how it tends to work in real life. If you walk on deck with a group of 16 or so swimmers spread across all abilities and have fresh critical paces from last week, it is something like this. Critical pace 50s 10 seconds rest, people can do many, many of them.
100s on ten seconds rest at critical pace, folks can do a good number of them, 18 of them? Some but no means all would pull it off, a good chunk of swimmers would make the inervals but not the paces.
on up to 400s? some people won’t even make one.
A 20 minute swim? which if all the assumptions of the critical power model were correct, everyone should be able to do? You might get one person who would pull it off. I’ve compared critical paces to 3,000 and one hour postal swims on a handful of occasions for our team, I think only one person has ever held critical pace for 3,000.
If you go through a period of working critical pace swimming hard in your practices, in 6 or so weeks you will see a lot more of the people be able to hit critical pace.
In my estimation, true critical pace is 2 to 4 seconds slower than the critical paces we get from our 100, 200, 500 testing. After having done it for years now, we just add or subtract the seconds for people when they do the set. So we just say “Lane 2, 20 x 50 on 1:00, 1 second faster than critical pace” Or lane 4 4 x 400 (:40) within 3 secs / 100 of critical pace. The critical pace chart with everyone’s recent times is hanging on the wall.