Disclaimer: Every now and then I get flamed by someone who just has a completely different opinion about training, so I unfortunately feel the need to put out this little disclaimer. Everything I write is based on personal opinion from my experience as a coach, former collegiate runner, and the books and articles I’ve read on running an dtriathlon triaining. As always, my number one goal is to simply open a discussion on the topic.
I’ve seen a couple of rules of thumb out there on increasing training load including no more than 10% a week and no more than 10% every three weeks. I think it really depends on where you are in your training and how long you’ve been doing it for. Nevertheless, somewhere in between these two values should work for most people most of the time.
However, there is a big difference between adding 10% to your total running volume and adding a whole bunch of workouts. For example, if you run 40 miles one week of all easy running and then run 44 miles the next with a 40 minute tempo run and 6K of intervals…well, that’s adding quite a bit more than 10% extra running stress.
Jack Daniels has a point system that he uses in his latest book, but I find that it’s a little involved for the non-Phd scientist. So, I’ve taken the liberty of making my own interperetations. I rounded the numbers to make it easy. Keep in mind that it is only a rough estimate and that I am in the early stages of working within this system…in other words, don’t get married to the exact numbers, but do take home the concepts.
A typical “easy” zn1 or zn2 run (65% - 80% of maxHR) will serve as the base line.
Time spent at tempo pace (1 hr race pace, 88% - 92% maxHR) gets multiplied by 3 to equal the stress from an easy run.
Time spent at interval pace (11 minute race pace) gets mulitplied by 5 to equal the stress from an easy run.
Time spent at repetition pace (5 minute race pace) gets multiplied by 7 to equal the stress from an easy run.
In other words, if you wanted to build up your base from 25 miles a week over 2 months at +10% every 2 weeks, the 9 week period would look like this:
25, 25, 28, 28, 30, 30, 33, 33, 37…a total increase of ~50% in two months.
Now lets say that you want to add a 20 minute tempo run and continue increasing by 10% every 2 weeks. For the ease of math, I’ll assume 8 min/mile for easy running and 6:20/mile for tempo runs. So, even though the 20 minute tempo run will be 3 miles, it counts as 60 minutes of running at 8 minutes/mile…or 7.5 miles.
So, if you want to run another 37 mile week, you count the 20 minutes at tempo pace as an 8 mile run (rounding) which leaves you with 29 miles for the rest of the week. So, in reality you will run 29 easy + 3 tempo = 32 miles. So now your 1st 13 weeks looks like this:
25, 25, 28, 28, 30, 30, 33, 33, 37…32, 35, 35, 39…
Now lets say you want to add in 8x 200 at 1 mile race pace over the next 5 weeks. That’s ~5 minutes at rep pace, x 7 = 35 minutes of easy running, or about 4 miles. So, 1 mile of rep training = 4 miles of easy running. So your 39 mile week (that already has a 20 minute tempo in it) needs to be cut back again since the 1 mile of rep training counts as 4 miles of easy running. Hold this for the next 5 weeks and you have:
25, 25, 28, 28, 30, 30, 33, 33, 37,…32, 35, 35, 39…36, 40, 40, 44, 44…
Now turn that rep workout into 5K of intervals @ 5:40/mile. Now you have ~20 minutes of interval running x 5 = 1:40 of easy running, or the equivalent of 12 miles of easy running (the rep workout was worth 4). So increasing 44 by 10% puts you at 48, but 1 of that = 4 easy, so that’s 51…and then 12 of that will equal 3 at interval pace, so now you are at 42 miles:
25, 25, 28, 28, 30, 30, 33, 33, 37, …32, 35, 35, 39…36, 40, 40, 44, 44…42, 42, 46, etc.
OK, some might point out that typically a season won’t end with more total running at the end than you had at the end of the base phase. I did this to try to simplify the math. Typically I’d increase the 200’s to either 8x400 or 16x200 at the end of the 5 weeks. Also, the tempo run gets bumped up to at least 30 minutes. So now your 44 mile week with an additional mile of rep training (equivalent to 4 miles easy) and additional 1.5 miles of tempo (equivalent to 4 miles easy), will actually be cut back to ~39 miles.
As always, use common sense and listen to your body. You should undersatnd that it is unreasonable to add 10% every 2 weeks for ever. It’s meant to be an upper limit. I’ve rarely known a person to continue to increae their training volume in the last two weeks leading up to a 10k race. The above example should show you the MOST you could expect to increase your mileage given the added workouts.
Part of what inspired this was my own dumbass mistakes this winter. I was doing really really well and, in the excitement, increase both my mileage AND my workouts. When I re-examined my logs, I had found that I effectively increased my training stress by 50% in one week (even though it was only a 15% increase in mileage). Two weeks later I had a serious injury that caused me to cancel a few races.
Feel free to ask questions, comment, discuss, and flame away!