Then none of the above numbers mean anything.
I hesitated to mention the race data, because I figured someone would make this comment. That’s fine.
But as I mentioned in the OP, I do have powertap/speed data from OTHER efforts in race-configuration on a similar course (closed loop, 6.9mi course, 400 ft elevation gain/loss per loop, and similar grades). All of those data points suggest that my current CdA falls in the 0.280 (+/- 0.002-ish) range. I’m fully aware that this is just a ballpark and could be off either way by some amount. However, the data wasn’t meant to be DEFINITIVE, rather just illustrative. I only ran it through aeroweenie to get an idea to the 0.05 precision level (0.4, 0.35, 0.3, etc).
I’ve read the Platypus thread, and as many of the other related/similar threads and external resources as I have been able to find. I’ve been an R&D engineer for 25 years in gaseous-fluid-dynamics related fields, and I’m aware of the need for rigor (baselining, repeatability, etc), and precision required in this type of testing when it comes down to “brass-tacks”.
Also as mentioned in the OP, once I get through my last race of the season, I’m going to spend some time with GoldenCheetah/Aerolab to get some precision data. I have a very good location to go and do that testing, again around the corner from my house: sheltered with trees on both sides, nearly zero traffic, etc. Once I’m past the point where every workout matters (mentally, if not physiologically), I’ll go “waste” a day, several, or weeks/months and start learning what it takes to make reliable/repeatable test runs across a variety of conditions, and then collect a baseline, then start making some changes and see what effects they have.
With full nutrition I’d say that a competitive tri CdA should be <.220m^2. Of course if you don’t have a reliable method to calculate CdA then it doesn’t matter.
Thanks, but that doesn’t answer the question that I asked. There have been lots of threads here and elsewhere reporting results of CdA testing/optimization on TRI and TT bikes indicating that 0.22-0.20 (and in a very few cases, even sub-0.20…maybe even you are one of those, I don’t recall) is achievable. But, I don’t have a TRI-bike; I have a ROAD-bike—and its an old one at that with external cabling, large round tubes, road geometry, etc. I haven’t found any threads that give an indication of how those factors raise the optimal floor from the 0.20-0.22 range on a tri-bike.
So, my question is, “Given those limitations, what is a realistic expectation for CdA, for me, on THIS bike?”
I’m really just looking to have a ball-park goal to shoot for. For other people who have tried to optimize a road-bike for TT/tri…how good were they able to do? 0.26? 0.24? 0.22? In the end, I’m only going to “get what I get”.
- James suggested that 0.25 would be a solid effort for my config.
- I’m okay with an answer like GreenPlease gave—“can’t do it…would just be a wild-ass-guess / making shit up.”