Overconfident people - this you?

[axlsix3]

I know a few overconfident people at home and work but wouldn’t put them into the conspiracy theorists bucket. At work they do seem to catch the eye of upper management but the work they produce on average is no better or worse than the other team members.

Overconfident Minds Fuel Belief in Fringe Conspiracy Theories - Neuroscience...

Key Facts:

• Misplaced Majority: Conspiracy believers wrongly assume most people share their views 93% of the time.
• Cognitive Overconfidence: They consistently overestimate their abilities, especially on tasks requiring numeracy or perception.
• Correction Resistance: The least accurate individuals are least likely to realize their beliefs are inaccurate.

Overconfidence is a hallmark trait of people who believe in conspiracies, and they also significantly overestimate how much others agree with them, Cornell University research finds.

[MOP_Mike]

Dunning…Kruger…something…something…

[WannaB]

I’m completely certain this is all BS

[klehner]

@WannaB

I’m completely certain this is all BS

Ha!

[Rick_pcfl]

@axlsix3

Overconfidence is a hallmark trait of people who believe in conspiracies, and they also significantly overestimate how much others agree with them, Cornell University research finds.

Kind of reminds me of comments that I see in news articles… i.e “Everyone knows that the 2020 election was stolen.”

[BarryP]

@axlsix3

At work they do seem to catch the eye of upper management…

I had a coworker who was a “rising star.”

Though he has good soft skills, and presented himself well (largely because of the confidence), most of his ideas were terrible based off of wild shit he’d just pull out of his ass.

But, more importantly, at that time he had gotten into running. He had just read Born to Run and wanted to be a minimalist runner. This was during the peak of the minimalist running craze (~2010).

He was interested in having me teach him everything I knew about running, but as I went through that process, he ultimately just disbelieved anything that I told him that didn’t match with what he already believed. I mean simple things like, “We ran 65 miles a week in season in college, and some of the better runners would run as much as 80-90 miles a week in the summer.” He was certain I was either pranking him, or remembering it wrong.

Oh…he was my manager for a year, so you can imagine how I enjoyed that.

[sphere]

@axlsix3

• Misplaced Majority: Conspiracy believers wrongly assume most people share their views 93% of the time.
• Cognitive Overconfidence: They consistently overestimate their abilities, especially on tasks requiring numeracy or perception.
• Correction Resistance: The least accurate individuals are least likely to realize their beliefs are inaccurate

So they’ve met my inlaws.

[renorider]

@axlsix3

Cognitive Overconfidence: They consistently overestimate their abilities, especially on tasks requiring numeracy or perception.

this is clashing SO HARD with my imposter/impostor syndrome (fuck, I can’t even spell my condition correctly! I’m such a fraud)

[ACE]

did he have those feet shaped shoes you used to see? Forgot the names of them.

An employee whose ideas are, “based off of wild shit he’d just pull out of his ass” sounds like a liability.

[BarryP]

@ACE

did he have those feet shaped shoes you used to see? Forgot the names of them.

An employee whose ideas are, “based off of wild shit he’d just pull out of his ass” sounds like a liability.

He shot right up to director level pretty fast, but didn’t last very long in that job. I think he got to a level where results were expected, and he simply wasn’t able to produce.

He had great soft skills, was enthusiastic, wrapped up his projects throughly and quickly, rubbed elbows with all the right people, and told management what they wanted to hear. But damn, he had bad ideas!