lol if I thought it would boost my ego to have a swinging dick contest, i would have posted my own times. actually. actually, i’ll be running my first half-iron in two weeks and i’ll be running my first marathon shortly after that…i’m interested to see what other people run at shorter distances so that I can make an easy conversion on to longer distances. it’s as innocent as that!
Just in case you haven’t seen it, http://www.coacheseducation.com/endur/jack-daniels-nov-00.htm
the Daniel’s tables are a pretty good approximation of projected times. I’ve been tracking against it for the last two weeks (5 mile last weekend, then 1/2 marathon on Sunday) and I’m ± 2 points depending on the race. I know I was undertrained for the 1/2, and it was reflected in the table.
Since you asked, I ran the last 5k of the 5 mile in 22:00 (approximately), and ran the 1/2 marathon in 1:46. So that’s like a 42-44 on the table.
This is a good exercise to go through. However, the reality is that many rec-runners and triathletes fall into the trap of not having enough of a range in the paces that they can work at, mostly due to the fact that they don’t run with enough of a range of paces. For the most part they are stuck in an LSD rut. They think that running a 5K or doing some 5k specific training will not help them or may harm them, cause they have heard that “speed work” is bad or will lead to injury. In reality, it may be the best thing that they could do for their running as it will force them to have more dynamic range in the paces that they can run and if they are doing the right kind of training and workouts lift their lactate threshold - the one fitness parameter that really matters.
I’ve found it to be very accurate as well. My coach (Jesse) designed it. I’m not sure about the formulas—you should email him. Click the QT2 link below.