The hills before you get too and Pilani before you get to the Queen K are quite punchy. I have ridden 41x26 as my smallest gear and each time I have definitely wanted that gear and even used it up Hawi at some stages depending on the headwind. I’m strong on the more heavy side and have gone exactly 5hrs before. Hopefully quicker this year
I ran a 39/54 up front and a 11-28 at the back. You need the range, the climb up palini is where you want a granny gear then coming down from Hawi you can spin out pretty easy so the 54/11 was nice to have. Im sure you could run 1x but thee would be a lot of gaps in shifting, I think stick 2x for Kona.
In 2016 I went 5:10 on the bike it what i would call a “normal” wind and heat day not extreme other way…its a hard course, the best bike guys went 4:52 that day in my division (30-34 in 2016).