I really don’t mean this sarcastically, but I know lots of sedentary people who sit on their asses all the time who have elevated LDL. In my case, since I started doing tri’s, my overall cholesterol is only down a little, but my HDL is up alot, which is good. With my family history of heart disease and high cholesterol, I don’t expect my LDL to get too low, even with my moderately strict dieting.
As far as the cholesterol going up thing, one of my brothers is 43, and just had a heart attack, last week as a matter of fact. He has hypertension and does not exercise(I don’t know what his cholesterol is like.) My other brother, 42, has been active and fit his whole life, and went on Lipitor last year because his cholesterol was high. It started getting higher around the time he turned forty.
My opinion(that’s all it is, and I’m not a doctor) is that your genetics may cause you to have higher cholesterol regardless of your exercise regimen, and that your cholesterol may go up as you age, but that frequent exercise will moderate your cholesterol, lower your risk of heart attack, and lessen the amount of calcification in your arteries.
When I was out of shape at 32, my cholesterol was 275. I changed my diet and got it down to around 240. With diet and exercise, it’s down to around 200, and my CRP risk is “very low”. I doubt I’ll ever get it much below 190(the lowest it has ever been measured), but my doctor agrees that exercise and diet are the best way to manage it(as opposed to just taking Lipitor, which does have effects on liver function, and no one knows the long term effects of taking it for 30, 40, or 50 years. We only know that using Lipitor and drinking or taking tylenol can be dangerous.)
So I would guess that if your cholesterol is somewhat elevated due to racing, it is still lower than it would be if you were sedentary. Further, any study similar to the one you suggest would have to factor out the fact(?) that your cholesterol goes up as you approach your forties(which coincides with your “competing for 10-20 years” clause.)
Anyway, that’s my entirely amateur opinion.