I don’t think you need an exercise physiology degree to deduce that some temperature and some lack of clothing will eventually impact performance as far as quantifying that for you and giving a recommendation that’s a pretty big ask.//
EXACTLY… Only question is what is that temp for each person. A lot of talk here about this and that in cold temps, but just like heat, it can vary widely. My best ever /12 distance race in my career was in weather much worse than they will see this weekend. It was 48 degrees and pouring rain almost the entire race, and this was even before wetsuits were allowed in the swim. I put on zero extra clothes, did the entire race in my lycra skin suit, and I never felt more energized in my life. I was able to hammer with a relatively low HR the entire race, never once felt cold, and did the entire race on one bottle of Coke. In a hot race of this duration, I would be suffering to hold normal power, head would be hot and uncomfortable, and I would be drinking at least two big bottles an hour, while pouring unlimited bottles over my head and body.
The cold had me burning “less” calories, using less water in sweat, and had my breathing super calmed by the extremely cold air. Of course theoritacally everyone must know at some level that there are people like me, but from all the whining here, you would think that these are just unacceptable circumstances to race in. I on the other hand, do find it unacceptable when it gets over 90+ degrees!!! Of course my whining falls on deaf ears, like all the complaining here too. At least folks in the cold can take the time and layer up, a lot more than us heat challenged guys get to do on the typical triathlon racing day that comes in the summers…
And the comment about people dying if it is too cold, well for some, sure. But this topic reminded me of a documentary on the guy that swims in the arctic and any other cold body of water, and just doesn’t seemed to get phased by it. They studied him, and just looking at the cold water began a process in his body where blood would move around quickly, to absorb that extreme cold. He would do miles and miles in water so cold, that the average person would be dead in minutes from that exposure.
I say let them race!! It is so few times that the cold adapted and gifted get to actually race a triathlon in their prime environment, that it would be criminal to change, shorten, or even get rid of any of the segments or miles that are due to be raced in this world champs…