Another thought provoking opinion piece by Krugman

Toyota, Moving Northward Published: July 25, 2005

Modern American politics is dominated by the doctrine that government is the problem, not the solution. In practice, this doctrine translates into policies that make low taxes on the rich the highest priority, even if lack of revenue undermines basic public services. You don’t have to be a liberal to realize that this is wrong-headed. Corporate leaders understand quite well that good public services are also good for business. But the political environment is so polarized these days that top executives are often afraid to speak up against conservative dogma.

Instead, they vote with their feet. Which brings us to the story of Toyota’s choice.

There has been fierce competition among states hoping to attract a new Toyota assembly plant. Several Southern states reportedly offered financial incentives worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

But last month Toyota decided to put the new plant, which will produce RAV4 mini-S.U.V.'s, in Ontario. Explaining why it passed up financial incentives to choose a U.S. location, the company cited the quality of Ontario’s work force.

What made Toyota so sensitive to labor quality issues? Maybe we should discount remarks from the president of the Toronto-based Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association, who claimed that the educational level in the Southern United States was so low that trainers for Japanese plants in Alabama had to use “pictorials” to teach some illiterate workers how to use high-tech equipment.

But there are other reports, some coming from state officials, that confirm his basic point: Japanese auto companies opening plants in the Southern U.S. have been unfavorably surprised by the work force’s poor level of training.

There’s some bitter irony here for Alabama’s governor. Just two years ago voters overwhelmingly rejected his plea for an increase in the state’s rock-bottom taxes on the affluent, so that he could afford to improve the state’s low-quality education system. Opponents of the tax hike convinced voters that it would cost the state jobs.

But education is only one reason Toyota chose Ontario. Canada’s other big selling point is its national health insurance system, which saves auto manufacturers large sums in benefit payments compared with their costs in the United States.

You might be tempted to say that Canadian taxpayers are, in effect, subsidizing Toyota’s move by paying for health coverage. But that’s not right, even aside from the fact that Canada’s health care system has far lower costs per person than the American system, with its huge administrative expenses. In fact, U.S. taxpayers, not Canadians, will be hurt by the northward movement of auto jobs.

To see why, bear in mind that in the long run decisions like Toyota’s probably won’t affect the overall number of jobs in either the United States or Canada. But the result of international competition will be to give Canada more jobs in industries like autos, which pay health benefits to their U.S. workers, and fewer jobs in industries that don’t provide those benefits. In the U.S. the effect will be just the reverse: fewer jobs with benefits, more jobs without.

So what’s the impact on taxpayers? In Canada, there’s no impact at all: since all Canadians get government-provided health insurance in any case, the additional auto jobs won’t increase government spending.

But U.S. taxpayers will suffer, because the general public ends up picking up much of the cost of health care for workers who don’t get insurance through their jobs. Some uninsured workers and their families end up on Medicaid. Others end up depending on emergency rooms, which are heavily subsidized by taxpayers.

Funny, isn’t it? Pundits tell us that the welfare state is doomed by globalization, that programs like national health insurance have become unsustainable. But Canada’s universal health insurance system is handling international competition just fine. It’s our own system, which penalizes companies that treat their workers well, that’s in trouble.

I’m sure that some readers will respond to everything I’ve just said by asking why, if the Canadians are so smart, they aren’t richer. But I’ll have to leave the issue of America’s comparative economic performance for another day.

For now, let me just point out that treating people decently is sometimes a competitive advantage. In America, basic health insurance is a privilege; in Canada, it’s a right. And in the auto industry, at least, the good jobs are heading north.

Toyota has been investing in Canada since 1988. This doesn’t strike me as news. Its also not surprising that he leaves out the fact that Toyota announced in May they’ll be increasing their investment in Kentucky to build hybrid vehicles. There’s also a new facility in Texas slated to begin production in 2006.

Now Toyota executives might very well be disappointed in the quality of the workforce in the U.S. vs. Canada. What’s Krugman’s solution? Spend more money on education.

I’m not buying it. Today the NY Post had an article on a Dept. of Education report that spending doesn’t correlate well with student performance at all. According to the O.E.C.D., the U.S. spends the third highest amount per student on secondary education behind only Austria and Switzerland (roughly $7700 student/year). Yet our test scores continually lag other nations which spend considerably less. How does increasing government expenditures in the this area solve the causes of this discrepancy?

And at the risk of blowing this up into a healthcare reform thread, Krugman bemoans how taxpayers will be hurt by subsidizing these uninsured workers without acknowledging that if the U.S. were to adopt a single-payer healthcare system taxpayers will not just be picking up the check for these workers but for everyone else as well.

Is this the same Toyota that is running commercials bragging about having 200,000 US workers in various plants in the US?

I think all the plants are in the red states. Correct me if I am wrong. I doubt any blue state even made the top 10 list.

We lost a competition to Canada. Too bad, but we win most of them. US and Canada auto manufacturing is very tightly integrated. I would expect a large player like Japan to have bets in both countries.

How come I don’t hear Krugman commenting on the terrible US economy any more?

This is just a left-wing dude trying to use a story about Toyota to bash the right. This article has nothing to do with Toyota, the economy, or anything really.