So if Crowie can pull off a double and win Kona after Vegas where does that leave his legacy in Triathlon?
yes
unique.
It will prove what we already know; he is a fantastic triathlete.
And with that amazing 1.11 run yesterday I think they will have work cut out for them to beat him. And without Macca in the race, who is going to attack from the main group this year? Maybe Raelert will, but I dont think he will be in topp shape after Roth and injuries(?).
And as much as I would love to see Rasmus win, I dont think he can match Crowies running either this year.
Who else can match him??
What’s more likely, Crowie pulling the double or Macca making the Aussie Olympic Team?
What’s more likely, Crowie pulling the double or Macca making the Aussie Olympic Team?
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Well Macca making the Olympic team doesn’t necessarily depend on talent and one great result…
No amount of politics at Triathlon Australia will help Crowie in Kona…
So,while I believe both will happen,Macca is the odds on favourite for your challenge…
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…they probably need to be more worried about his bike…he was only 3:30 down on Lieto after coming back from a flat. That’s really less than 2 minutes. He rode back to the group with all the heavy hitters yesterday after the flat.
I don’t think that Tissink, VanHoenacker, Weiss, Bracht, Ralaert will ride away that easily in Kona. But that’s why they have races so we can find these things out in real life.
Dev
I who is going to attack from the main group this year? Maybe Raelert will, but I dont think he will be in topp shape after Roth and injuries(?).
And as much as I would love to see Rasmus win, I dont think he can match Crowies running either this year.
Who else can match him??
I thought we all knew Lance will win
Agree completely! He was awesome yesterday, and has to be the favorite going into Kona - at least he’s my pick for sure.
It’s great to see that he is more than recovered from the virus that put him out of IM Australia.
Go Crowie! I think he’ll pull off the double. From the sound of this race his bike is even better and the run is still one of the best.
…they probably need to be more worried about his bike…he was only 3:30 down on Lieto after coming back from a flat. That’s really less than 2 minutes. He rode back to the group with all the heavy hitters yesterday after the flat.
Dev
Good point. The flat tire is getting surprisingly little attention, when the T2 deficit is being discussed. Less than 2 min down on Lieto after he makes a move must be ideal race scenario for a runner of Crowie’s ability. Now how this play’s out next month is another discussion.
If you read my xtri article on the race, it was really nice watching Crowie and Lieto interact post race. They shook hands, and said something along the lines of “we do this again in 4 weeks”. The two guys seems to have a ton of respect for each other.
Very true about his bike is the thing to worry about. He is a pretty serious guy, and is in Kona to win not place. He knows what must be done. He also broke the old IMCDA course record (Lovato 2005 4:38:49/Crowie 2011 4:38:44) in order to stay within striking distance of Maik Twelsiek when he shattered the old record. His cool mathematical calculations will be at work, i.e., after Vegas he said something like he just increased by 4% until he caught back up. Macca recently said in an interview that if it comes down to Raelert vs Crowie in a marathon race, he’s going “all in” on Crowie…I think I agree with that.
I think its crowies race to lose this year. I think its definately possible the run course record goes down this year. its between Marino Vanhoenacker and crowie. No matter how good biking shape crowie is he still cant ride with marino and marino can run mid 2:40s. So if marino has a good swim it will be a race. Hoping Lieto can make things interesting and Twelseik gets a top 10 this year.
What do you think of A. Raelert?
Phenominal year this year but sad to see his kona prep disrupted by that injury. Sounded bad but then he did IM Regensburg for charity so still unsure about him.
Yeah, I’m predicting: 1. Crowie 2. Marino #3 is kind of tough. Either Raelert or Lieto, possibly Faris.
I agree. Crowie is “Mr. Consistency” and it’s pretty safe to say he will be FOP swim (non super swimmer breakaway,i.e. Potts and co). His bike is the semi-unknown. Will it be 4:37-39? Sub 4:35? Of course wind and temp are factors, so, will he minimize bike damage in an impressive standout fashion? I am thinking yes. He can do sub 2:40, but how sub 2:40? If his mathematical calculations say he needs 2:36, will he tear it up? Was supposedly on 2:36 pace last year until his math told him he needed better, and he also said if he sped up, he knew Macca had a couple more minutes up his sleeve, so the 2:35 he statistically needed would probably not have won…
What about Raynard Tissink? After he went with Macca last year, he saw what happened, 5th. He may be able to take some minutes off that 2:52 run. Eneko llanos? He’s got a mid 2:40’s run, but biked with alexander last year. Llanos can go low 4:30’s on the bike. Timo? He has that killer final 10K, good bike/run too…went 4:29 last year…
Oh yeah, that should have started with, “I agree with the 1,2 prediction…”
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